Result
2:3
29/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (233/316) | 81% (387/479) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.26 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 41 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (233/316) | 81% (387/479) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (23/61) | 30% (21/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (46/86) | 64% (105/165) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 22% (4/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 2.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.26 | 1.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.74 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Carlinhos Junior (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 48', 1 - 1, Tanimura K. ⚽, Watanabe K. (A),
- 58', 1 - 2, Tanimura K. ⚽, Croux J. (A),
- 61', Ishikawa D. ↓, Goya H. ↑,
- 61', Carlinhos Junior ↓, Himeno M. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 3, Inoue T. ⚽,
- 74', Kobayashi Y. ↓, Shinada M. ↑,
- 74', Tsukui T. ↓, Sugiyama N. ↑,
- 77', Kondo T. ↓, Asada H. ↑,
- 77', Watanabe K. ↓, Deng T. ↑,
- 80', Issaka Z. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
- 86', Tanimura K. ↓, David D. ↑,
- 86', Croux J. ↓, Higuchi A. ↑,
- 90', Inoue T. ↓, Sekitomi K. ↑,
- 90+8', 2 - 3, Goya H. ⚽, Sugiyama N. (A),
Chances of winning
JEF United Chiba
31% | Draw
28.6% | Yokohama F. Marinos
40.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
JEF United Chiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for JEF United Chiba, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yokohama F. Marinos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
JEF United Chiba - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3 ↑
(2.69) |
3.28 ↑
(3.26) |
2.34 ↓
(2.54) |
6.7%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba - Yokohama F. Marinos?
Users Predictions:
Yokohama F. Marinos will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place)).
- JEF United is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Yokohama FM has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in JEF United: Ueda Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Injury)
Matsubara K.
(Inactive)
Suzuki T.
(Knee Injury)
Tono D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in JEF United: Tanaka K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, JEF United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has JEF United Chiba won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
JEF United Chiba has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against JEF United Chiba?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between JEF United Chiba - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
14.03.2026
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
JEF United Chiba
2:0
Latest results of JEF United Chiba
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 13 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 32 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 13 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27:13 | 29 |
| 3 | Machida | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 20:18 | 24 |
| 4 | Verdy | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19:16 | 21 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 20:23 | 20 |
| 6 | Mito | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:27 | 16 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 18:19 | 15 |
| 8 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 13 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 20:24 | 15 |
| 9 | Kashiwa Reysol | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16:20 | 11 |
| 10 | Chiba | 13 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13:24 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 26 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 13 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 23:19 | 22 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 14 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 23:21 | 22 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 13 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21:18 | 20 |
| 5 | Kyoto | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19:16 | 19 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 16:18 | 17 |
| 8 | Okayama | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 17:24 | 17 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 14 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 17:25 | 17 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:20 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
