Result
3:1
25/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.09 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 27% | 73% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (139/208) | 87% (488/559) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.09 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (139/208) | 87% (488/559) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 25% (14/55) | 57% (31/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (40/71) | 73% (116/158) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (2/13) | 39% (12/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.26 | 1.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 41 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Nagato K. ⚽,
- 13', 2 - 0, Yan ⚽, Yamane R. (A),
- 25', Uenaka A. 🟨,
- 27', 3 - 0, Yan ⚽, Anderson Lopes (A),
- 36', 3 - 1, Leo Ceara ⚽, Araki R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Misao K. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
- 61', Nagato K. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
- 62', Araki R. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 69', Anzai K. 🟨,
- 73', Leo Ceara ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
- 74', Funabashi Y. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
- 74', Tono D. ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
- 80', Cavric A. ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
- 83', Uenaka A. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
- 83', Yan ↓, Elber ↑,
- 90+2', Suzuki T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Yokohama F. Marinos
35.9% | Draw
26.7% | Kashima Antlers
37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yokohama F. Marinos's performance.Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kashima Antlers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yokohama F. Marinos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kashima Antlers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(3.1) |
3.51 ↑
(3.4) |
2.51 ↑
(2.15) |
6%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers?
Users Predictions:
Kashima Antlers will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 4.
- Yokohama FM has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kashima is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Kashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Yokohama FM has had a series of home games.
- Kashima might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Noguchi R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Quinones J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Miyaichi R.
(Injury)
Walsh S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kashima: Morooka S.
(Inactive)
Sekigawa I.
(Inactive)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- We predict that Kashima will win today's game, with odds of 2.13.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 36:36. (average 1.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Kashima Antlers?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Kashima Antlers has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
14.07.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Kashima Antlers
4:1
01.06.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
3:2
24.09.2023
Kashima Antlers
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:2
18.03.2023
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Kashima Antlers
2:1
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 33 | 20 | 5 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 65 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 57:35 | 22 | 60 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 48:33 | 15 | 60 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 33 | 18 | 6 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 60 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | 39:23 | 16 | 58 |
| 6 | Machida | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | 60:45 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 33 | 14 | 10 | 9 | 40:32 | 8 | 52 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 50 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 50:49 | 1 | 43 |
| 11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 33 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 35:39 | -4 | 41 |
| 12 | Okayama | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Tokyo | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 36:46 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 40 |
| 15 | Nagoya Grampus | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 40:48 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Verdy | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 21:35 | -14 | 39 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 32:44 | -12 | 31 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 21:37 | -16 | 31 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 33 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 28:57 | -29 | 25 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 33 | 4 | 10 | 19 | 30:55 | -25 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
