Yokohama F. Marinos vs Kashima Antlers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers
Result
3:1
25/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 18
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.671.09
Ball Possession
27%73%
Total shots
817
Shots on target
46
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
410
Passes
67% (139/208)87% (488/559)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.671.09
xG on target (xGOT)
1.851.30
Total shots
817
Shots on target
46
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
614
Shots outside the Box
23
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
20
Corner Kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
1135
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
67% (139/208)87% (488/559)
Long passes
25% (14/55)57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
56% (40/71)73% (116/158)
Crosses
15% (2/13)39% (12/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.261.58
Throw-ins
1728
Fouls
1411
Tackles
81% (13/16)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4155
Clearances
4120
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
1.301.85
Goals prevented
0.30-1.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Nagato K. ,
  • 13', 2 - 0, Yan , Yamane R. (A),
  • 25', Uenaka A. 🟨,
  • 27', 3 - 0, Yan , Anderson Lopes (A),
  • 36', 3 - 1, Leo Ceara , Araki R. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Misao K. , Shibasaki G. ,
  • 61', Nagato K. , Suzuki T. ,
  • 62', Araki R. , Matsumura Y. ,
  • 69', Anzai K. 🟨,
  • 73', Leo Ceara , Tagawa K. ,
  • 74', Funabashi Y. , Higuchi Y. ,
  • 74', Tono D. , Inoue K. ,
  • 80', Cavric A. , Mizoguchi S. ,
  • 83', Uenaka A. , Amano J. ,
  • 83', Yan , Elber ,
  • 90+2', Suzuki T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Yokohama F. Marinos
35.9%
Draw
26.7%
Kashima Antlers
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.8% 27.2% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28% 25.6% 45.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yokohama F. Marinos's performance.
  • Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kashima Antlers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yokohama F. Marinos that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kashima Antlers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.65
    (3.1)
    3.51
    (3.4)
    2.51
    (2.15)
    6%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers?
  • Users Predictions: Kashima Antlers will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.11%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 4.
    • Yokohama FM has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Kashima is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Kashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Yokohama FM has had a series of home games.
    • Kashima might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury) Quinones J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Miyaichi R. (Injury) Walsh S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kashima: Morooka S. (Inactive) Sekigawa I. (Inactive) Shimoda Y. (Foot Injury) Tokuda H. (Broken ankle)
    • We predict that Kashima will win today's game, with odds of 2.13.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 36:36. (average 1.8:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
    14.07.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers 4:1
    01.06.2024 Kashima Antlers - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:2
    24.09.2023 Kashima Antlers - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:2
    18.03.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers 2:1
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Latest results of Kashima Antlers
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds24108632:24838
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2488821:23-232
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League