Result
3:1
25/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | QQ Sports |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.67 | 1.09 |
Ball Possession |
---|
27% | 73% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
67% (139/208) | 87% (488/559) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.67 | 1.09 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.85 | 1.30 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 10 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
11 | 35 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
11 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
67% (139/208) | 87% (488/559) |
Long passes |
---|
25% (14/55) | 57% (31/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
56% (40/71) | 73% (116/158) |
Crosses |
---|
15% (2/13) | 39% (12/31) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.26 | 1.58 |
Throw-ins |
---|
17 | 28 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 11 |
Tackles |
---|
81% (13/16) | 60% (6/10) |
Duels won |
---|
41 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
41 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.30 | 1.85 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.30 | -1.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 4', 1 - 0, Nagato K. ⚽,
- 13', 2 - 0, Yan ⚽, Yamane R. (A),
- 25', Uenaka A. 🟨,
- 27', 3 - 0, Yan ⚽, Anderson Lopes (A),
- 36', 3 - 1, Leo Ceara ⚽, Araki R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Misao K. ↓, Shibasaki G. ↑,
- 61', Nagato K. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
- 62', Araki R. ↓, Matsumura Y. ↑,
- 69', Anzai K. 🟨,
- 73', Leo Ceara ↓, Tagawa K. ↑,
- 74', Funabashi Y. ↓, Higuchi Y. ↑,
- 74', Tono D. ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
- 80', Cavric A. ↓, Mizoguchi S. ↑,
- 83', Uenaka A. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
- 83', Yan ↓, Elber ↑,
- 90+2', Suzuki T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Yokohama F. Marinos 35.9% | Draw 26.7% | Kashima Antlers 37.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yokohama F. Marinos's performance.Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kashima Antlers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yokohama F. Marinos that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kashima Antlers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.65 ↓ (3.1) |
3.51 ↑ (3.4) |
2.51 ↑ (2.15) |
6% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers?
Users Predictions:
Kashima Antlers will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashima Antlers will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 4.
- Yokohama FM has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Kashima is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Kashima may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Yokohama FM has had a series of home games.
- Kashima might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Noguchi R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Quinones J.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Miyaichi R.
(Injury)
Walsh S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Kashima: Morooka S.
(Inactive)
Sekigawa I.
(Inactive)
Shimoda Y.
(Foot Injury)
Tokuda H.
(Broken ankle)
- We predict that Kashima will win today's game, with odds of 2.13.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 36:36. (average 1.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Kashima Antlers?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kashima Antlers won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Kashima Antlers has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashima Antlers were as follows:
14.07.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Kashima Antlers
4:1
01.06.2024
Kashima Antlers
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
3:2
24.09.2023
Kashima Antlers
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:2
18.03.2023
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Kashima Antlers
2:1
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Latest results of Kashima Antlers
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Vissel Kobe | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 34:22 | 12 | 46 |
2 | Kashima Antlers | 24 | 14 | 2 | 8 | 36:24 | 12 | 44 |
3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 33:23 | 10 | 44 |
4 | Kyoto | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 42 |
6 | Machida | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 40 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 38 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 32:24 | 8 | 38 |
9 | Cerezo Osaka | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 37:33 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Gamba Osaka | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Avispa Fukuoka | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 21:23 | -2 | 32 |
12 | Okayama | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 30 |
13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 30 |
14 | FC Tokyo | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:34 | -7 | 29 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 28 |
16 | Verdy | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 15:24 | -9 | 28 |
17 | Shonan Bellmare | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 20:37 | -17 | 24 |
18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 23:32 | -9 | 21 |
19 | Yokohama FC | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League