Yokohama F. Marinos vs Cerezo Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
30/11/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 37
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.942.27
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
68% (212/312)79% (407/515)
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.942.27
xG on target (xGOT)
1.641.76
Total shots
1415
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
56
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
810
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2235
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1218
Passes
68% (212/312)79% (407/515)
Long passes
32% (23/73)29% (20/70)
Passes in final third
57% (68/120)61% (85/139)
Crosses
44% (7/16)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.141.81
Throw-ins
2823
Fouls
1812
Tackles
38% (3/8)60% (9/15)
Duels won
3254
Clearances
2721
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
1.761.64
Goals prevented
0.76-1.36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 25', 1 - 0, Uenaka A. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Rafael Ratao (Pen),
  • 45+3', Kimura R. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Takahashi N. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 62', 2 - 1, Croux J. , Watanabe K. (A),
  • 65', Takahashi N. 🟨,
  • 67', Thiago Andrade , Ohata A. ,
  • 67', Kida H. , Vitor Bueno ,
  • 67', Okuda H. , Cools D. ,
  • 68', Deng T. 🟨,
  • 71', Inoue K. , Yuri Araujo ,
  • 71', Croux J. , Amano J. ,
  • 78', Shibayama M. , Homma S. ,
  • 78', Nakajima M. , Kagawa S. ,
  • 84', Uenaka A. , Onaiwu G. ,
  • 90+3', Sekitomi K. , Jean Claude ,
  • 90+3', Tanimura K. , David D. ,
  • 90+5', Jean Claude 🟨,
  • 90+6', 3 - 1, David D. , Yuri Araujo (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Yokohama F. Marinos
35.7%
Draw
24.9%
Cerezo Osaka
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.5% 24.9% 35.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Cerezo Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.66
    (2.38)
    3.78
    (3.78)
    2.42
    (2.65)
    5.3%
    (6.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Cerezo Osaka will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FM: 19%81%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 2.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Matsubara K. (Knee Injury) Quinones J. (Yellow Cards) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Watanabe T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Cerezo Osaka: Fernandes L. (Knee Injury) Hirano Y. (Knee Injury) Noborizato K. (Knee Injury) Uejo S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Cerezo Osaka: Rafael Ratao (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 22:35. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0
    24.08.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka 4:0
    27.04.2024 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:2
    12.11.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Cerezo Osaka 2:0
    01.04.2023 Cerezo Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:1
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Latest results of Cerezo Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers141012123:1034
    2FC Tokyo14832129:1332
    3Machida13542221:2025
    4Verdy13630420:1624
    5Kawasaki Frontale14521620:2520
    6Urawa Reds14503620:1918
    7Mito14244421:2818
    8Yokohama F. Marinos14501821:2616
    9Kashiwa Reysol143101016:2111
    10Chiba14203913:269


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe13713223:1826
    2Gamba Osaka15453328:2125
    3Nagoya Grampus14623325:2025
    4Cerezo Osaka14441517:1421
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima14521621:1920
    6Shimizu S-Pulse14424418:1920
    7Okayama14424418:2420
    8Kyoto13431520:1819
    9Avispa Fukuoka15333618:2718
    10V-Varen Nagasaki14501814:2216

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)