Yokohama F. Marinos vs Machida Zelvia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/08/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Nissan Stadium (Yokohama).

J1 League - Round 27
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
India	FanCode, FanCode
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.34	0.72
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
7	11
Shots on target
1	5
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	4
Passes
77% (280/362)	78% (280/360)
Yellow Cards
1	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.34	0.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.03	0.76
Total shots
7	11
Shots on target
1	5
Shots off target
5	5
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
3	9
Shots outside the Box
4	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	4
Touches in opposition box
17	22
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
20	11
Passes
77% (280/362)	78% (280/360)
Long passes
41% (21/51)	40% (29/73)
Passes in final third
66% (76/116)	66% (86/131)
Crosses
29% (4/14)	44% (11/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.48	1.57
Throw-ins
29	16
Fouls
12	21
Tackles
71% (10/14)	63% (5/8)
Duels won
60	54
Clearances
33	17
Interceptions
3	11
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	1
xGOT faced
0.76	0.03
Goals prevented
0.76	0.03

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Uenaka A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Duke M. 🟨,
58', Duke M. ↓, Na Sang-Ho ↑,
59', Mae H. ↓, Nakayama Y. ↑,
71', Croux J. ↓, Matsumura K. ↑,
78', Tanimura K. ↓, David D. ↑,
78', Uenaka A. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
81', Soma Y. 🟨,
82', Lavi N. ↓, Shimoda H. ↑,
82', Soma Y. ↓, Oh Se-Hun ↑,
89', Miyaichi R. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
90+4', Nishimura T. ↓, Numata T. ↑,
90+6', Okamura D. 🟨,
90+8', Okamura D. ↓, Dresevic I. ↑,
90+9', Kida T. ↓, Yamamura K. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Yokohama F. Marinos
24.6%

Draw
26.4%

Machida Zelvia
49.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

27.3%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.1%

28.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yokohama F. Marinos's form might have worsened.

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Machida Zelvia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yokohama F. Marinos, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.82 ↑ (2.54)	3.51 ↑ (3.42)	1.95 ↓ (2.6)	5.9% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia?

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Yokohama FM will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Machida Zelvia will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).
In recent matches, Yokohama FM has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Machida Zelvia is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Machida Zelvia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Machida Zelvia has had a series of home games.
Machida Zelvia might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Watanabe T. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Machida Zelvia: Fujio S. (Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Tsunoda R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Machida Zelvia: Nakayama Y. (Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FM won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.8:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FM won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Machida Zelvia?

Yokohama F. Marinos has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Machida Zelvia won against Yokohama F. Marinos?

Machida Zelvia has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia were as follows:

31.05.2025 Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos 0:3

20.07.2024 Machida Zelvia - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:2

15.06.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia 1:3

12.07.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Machida Zelvia 1:4

Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos

16.08.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:3 ✺

09.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

30.07.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Liverpool 1:3 ✺

20.07.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus 3:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Yokohama FC - Yokohama F. Marinos 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Machida Zelvia

20.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Gamba Osaka 3:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Cerezo Osaka 3:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Vissel Kobe 2:0 ✺

06.08.2025 Machida Zelvia - Kyoto Sanga 1:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	34	20	6	8	52:28	24	66
2	Kashiwa Reysol	34	17	12	5	53:33	20	63
3	Kyoto	34	17	10	7	58:36	22	61
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	34	17	8	9	39:23	16	59
6	Kawasaki Frontale	34	15	11	8	65:48	17	56
7	Machida	34	16	8	10	49:35	14	56
8	Urawa Reds	34	14	10	10	40:36	4	52
9	Gamba Osaka	34	15	5	14	46:52	-6	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	34	12	10	12	52:50	2	46
11	FC Tokyo	34	11	9	14	36:46	-10	42
12	Verdy	34	11	9	14	22:35	-13	42
13	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	34	10	11	13	38:44	-6	41
15	Okayama	34	11	8	15	30:37	-7	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	34	10	10	14	42:50	-8	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	34	9	7	18	36:44	-8	34
18	Yokohama FC	34	8	8	18	23:39	-16	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League