Yokohama F. Marinos vs Shimizu S-Pulse: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Japan J1 League Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse
Result
2:3
16/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 12
Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.97
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
85
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
82% (457/554)80% (335/420)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.020.97
xG on target (xGOT)
2.260.66
Total shots
1612
Shots on target
85
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
2223
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
82% (457/554)80% (335/420)
Long passes
27% (14/52)33% (18/54)
Passes in final third
69% (117/169)75% (100/133)
Crosses
21% (4/19)41% (7/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.671.05
Fouls
1511
Tackles
67% (8/12)53% (8/15)
Duels won
4251
Clearances Total
2529
Interceptions
714
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
26
xGOT faced
0.662.26
Goals prevented
-1.340.21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 29', 1 - 0, Tono D. , Uenaka A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 46', Yajima S. , Yumiba M. ,
  • 46', Haneda K. , Inui T. ,
  • 46', Ahmedov A. , Kitagawa K. ,
  • 51', 2 - 0, Uenaka A. , Inoue K. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 1, Nakahara H. ,
  • 66', Nakahara H. , Matsuzaki K. ,
  • 70', 2 - 2, Jean Claude (Own goal),
  • 81', Inoue K. , Elber ,
  • 82', 2 - 3, Inui T. ,
  • 84', Yan , Amano J. ,
  • 86', Amano J. 🟨,
  • 88', Yumiba M. 🟨,
  • 90', Uno Z. , Ohata R. ,
  • 90+2', Deng T. 🟨,
  • 90+3', Capixaba 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Yokohama F. Marinos
41%
Draw
29.1%
Shimizu S-Pulse
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.4% 29.2% 33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.5% 28.4% 32.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (2.51)
    3.23
    (3.22)
    3.14
    (2.81)
    6.1%
    (6.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Yokohama FM (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Yokohama F. Marinos will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.12%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Yokohama FM won 4.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Recently Yokohama FM have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Noguchi R. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Shimizu: Kitazume K. (Red Card) Saito S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Quinones J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Shimizu: Yamahara R. (Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Yokohama FM won 13 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 40:22 (average 2:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Yokohama FM won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:9 (average 1.8:0.8).
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashiwa Reysol23128331:201144
    2Vissel Kobe23134632:211143
    3Kyoto23125638:271141
    4Kashima Antlers23132833:221141
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima23123827:18939
    6Kawasaki Frontale23108537:241338
    7Machida23114833:25837
    8Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    9Cerezo Osaka2396834:30433
    10Gamba Osaka23941027:30-331
    11Okayama2386919:20-130
    12Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    13Nagoya Grampus2377928:30-228
    14Verdy2377915:23-828
    15Shimizu S-Pulse23761027:32-527
    16FC Tokyo23751124:32-826
    17Shonan Bellmare22651116:30-1423
    18Yokohama FC23541414:28-1419
    19Albirex Niigata23471224:39-1519
    20Yokohama F. Marinos23461320:32-1218

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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