Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos
Result
1:3
16/08/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.252.24
Ball Possession
64%36%
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
87% (490/563)79% (250/318)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.252.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.771.75
Total shots
1816
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
89
Blocked Shots
41
Shots inside the Box
118
Shots outside the Box
78
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
2617
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
87% (490/563)79% (250/318)
Long passes
31% (11/36)30% (19/63)
Passes in final third
68% (107/158)78% (78/100)
Crosses
19% (5/26)18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.330.96
Throw-ins
249
Fouls
1018
Tackles
88% (7/8)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4245
Clearances
1138
Interceptions
56
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.751.77
Goals prevented
-1.250.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 3', Miyaichi R. 🟨,
  • 16', 0 - 1, Tsunoda R. , Kato R. (A),
  • 23', Watanabe K. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 2, David D. , Watanabe K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Tsunoda R. , Yamane R. ,
  • 46', Matsuzaki K. , Inui T. ,
  • 46', Yajima S. , Kitagawa K. ,
  • 46', Hasukawa S. , Yamahara R. ,
  • 61', Watanabe K. , Jean Claude ,
  • 61', David D. , Tanimura K. ,
  • 67', Kato R. 🟨,
  • 70', Yamane R. 🟨,
  • 76', Takahashi T. , Stephens A. ,
  • 77', Yan , Inoue K. ,
  • 78', Shimamoto Y. , Miyamoto K. ,
  • 80', 0 - 3, Tanimura K. , Jean Claude (A),
  • 83', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
  • 84', Inoue K. 🟨,
  • 85', Matsubara K. , Yamamura K. ,
  • 90', 1 - 3, Kitagawa K. , Yamahara R. (A),
  • 90+5', Yamahara R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shimizu S-Pulse
44.9%
Draw
25.8%
Yokohama F. Marinos
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.9% 24.6% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9% 24.1% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.93)
    3.66
    (3.75)
    3.2
    (3.36)
    6.2%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Shimizu S-Pulse will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shimizu S-Pulse will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Shimizu has had a series of away games.
    • Shimizu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Suzuki T. (Yellow Cards) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Watanabe T. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:41. (average 1.3:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.4:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:3
    Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
    Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers32204852:282464
    2Vissel Kobe32186843:271660
    3Kyoto31168754:332156
    4Kashiwa Reysol311511543:291456
    5Machida32167948:331555
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima32167937:221555
    7Kawasaki Frontale31149855:401551
    8Urawa Reds321310939:32749
    9Gamba Osaka321541346:47-149
    10Cerezo Osaka3111101048:45343
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3210101234:38-440
    12Okayama321171428:34-640
    13FC Tokyo311171333:42-940
    14Avispa Fukuoka329101331:37-637
    15Nagoya Grampus32991438:47-936
    16Verdy32991420:35-1536
    17Yokohama F. Marinos31771729:41-1228
    18Yokohama FC31771720:36-1628
    19Shonan Bellmare31671828:55-2725
    20Albirex Niigata32491929:54-2521

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League