Shimizu S-Pulse vs Yokohama F. Marinos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/08/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

IAI Stadium Nihondaira (Shizuoka).

J1 League - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.25	2.24
Ball Possession
64%	36%
Total shots
18	16
Shots on target
6	6
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
6	4
Passes
87% (490/563)	79% (250/318)
Yellow Cards
2	5
Expected Goals (xG)
1.25	2.24
xG on target (xGOT)
1.77	1.75
Total shots
18	16
Shots on target
6	6
Shots off target
8	9
Blocked Shots
4	1
Shots inside the Box
11	8
Shots outside the Box
7	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
6	4
Touches in opposition box
26	17
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
18	10
Passes
87% (490/563)	79% (250/318)
Long passes
31% (11/36)	30% (19/63)
Passes in final third
68% (107/158)	78% (78/100)
Crosses
19% (5/26)	18% (2/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.33	0.96
Throw-ins
24	9
Fouls
10	18
Tackles
88% (7/8)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
42	45
Clearances
11	38
Interceptions
5	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
1.75	1.77
Goals prevented
-1.25	0.77

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', Miyaichi R. 🟨,
16', 0 - 1, Tsunoda R. ⚽, Kato R. (A),
23', Watanabe K. 🟨,
29', 0 - 2, David D. ⚽, Watanabe K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tsunoda R. ↓, Yamane R. ↑,
46', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
46', Yajima S. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
46', Hasukawa S. ↓, Yamahara R. ↑,
61', Watanabe K. ↓, Jean Claude ↑,
61', David D. ↓, Tanimura K. ↑,
67', Kato R. 🟨,
70', Yamane R. 🟨,
76', Takahashi T. ↓, Stephens A. ↑,
77', Yan ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
78', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Miyamoto K. ↑,
80', 0 - 3, Tanimura K. ⚽, Jean Claude (A),
83', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
84', Inoue K. 🟨,
85', Matsubara K. ↓, Yamamura K. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, Kitagawa K. ⚽, Yamahara R. (A),
90+5', Yamahara R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shimizu S-Pulse
44.9%

Draw
25.8%

Yokohama F. Marinos
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

24.6%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

24.1%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.93)	3.66 ↓ (3.75)	3.2 ↓ (3.36)	6.2% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Shimizu S-Pulse will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shimizu S-Pulse will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Shimizu has had a series of away games.
Shimizu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Suzuki T. (Yellow Cards) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Watanabe T. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:41. (average 1.3:2.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.4:2.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Yokohama F. Marinos?

Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Shimizu S-Pulse?

Yokohama F. Marinos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:

16.04.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Shimizu S-Pulse 2:3

Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse

10.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:0 ✺

06.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama FC 2:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Machida Zelvia - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:0 ✺

Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos

09.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

30.07.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Liverpool 1:3 ✺

20.07.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Nagoya Grampus 3:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Yokohama FC - Yokohama F. Marinos 0:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo 0:3 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	28	16	6	6	52:30	22	54
2	Kashiwa Reysol	28	15	8	5	42:28	14	53
3	Vissel Kobe	29	16	5	8	37:26	11	53
4	Kashima Antlers	28	16	4	8	41:27	14	52
5	Machida	29	15	5	9	45:31	14	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	29	15	5	9	34:20	14	50
7	Urawa Reds	28	13	8	7	39:30	9	47
8	Kawasaki Frontale	28	12	9	7	50:38	12	45
9	Gamba Osaka	29	12	4	13	38:44	-6	40
10	Cerezo Osaka	28	10	9	9	42:39	3	39
11	Okayama	28	11	6	11	26:28	-2	39
12	Avispa Fukuoka	28	9	10	9	28:28	0	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	28	8	9	11	31:36	-5	33
14	Verdy	28	8	8	12	16:28	-12	32
15	FC Tokyo	28	8	7	13	30:42	-12	31
16	Nagoya Grampus	28	7	8	13	34:42	-8	29
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	28	6	7	15	26:35	-9	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	28	6	7	15	26:47	-21	25
19	Yokohama FC	28	6	5	17	18:35	-17	23
20	Albirex Niigata	28	4	8	16	27:48	-21	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League