Result
1:3
16/08/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
China | K-Ball |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.25 | 2.24 |
Ball Possession |
---|
64% | 36% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Passes |
---|
87% (490/563) | 79% (250/318) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 5 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.25 | 2.24 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.77 | 1.75 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 16 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
8 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
11 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
26 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
18 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
87% (490/563) | 79% (250/318) |
Long passes |
---|
31% (11/36) | 30% (19/63) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (107/158) | 78% (78/100) |
Crosses |
---|
19% (5/26) | 18% (2/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.33 | 0.96 |
Throw-ins |
---|
24 | 9 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 18 |
Tackles |
---|
88% (7/8) | 67% (12/18) |
Duels won |
---|
42 | 45 |
Clearances |
---|
11 | 38 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 5 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.75 | 1.77 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-1.25 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', Miyaichi R. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Tsunoda R. ⚽, Kato R. (A),
- 23', Watanabe K. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 2, David D. ⚽, Watanabe K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Tsunoda R. ↓, Yamane R. ↑,
- 46', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
- 46', Yajima S. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
- 46', Hasukawa S. ↓, Yamahara R. ↑,
- 61', Watanabe K. ↓, Jean Claude ↑,
- 61', David D. ↓, Tanimura K. ↑,
- 67', Kato R. 🟨,
- 70', Yamane R. 🟨,
- 76', Takahashi T. ↓, Stephens A. ↑,
- 77', Yan ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
- 78', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Miyamoto K. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 3, Tanimura K. ⚽, Jean Claude (A),
- 83', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
- 84', Inoue K. 🟨,
- 85', Matsubara K. ↓, Yamamura K. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Kitagawa K. ⚽, Yamahara R. (A),
- 90+5', Yamahara R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shimizu S-Pulse 44.9% | Draw 25.8% | Yokohama F. Marinos 29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.1 ↑ (1.93) |
3.66 ↓ (3.75) |
3.2 ↓ (3.36) |
6.2% (8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Shimizu S-Pulse will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shimizu S-Pulse will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Shimizu has had a series of away games.
- Shimizu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Suzuki T.
(Yellow Cards)
Tono D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Watanabe T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:41. (average 1.3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.4:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
16.04.2025
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
2:3
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Kashima Antlers | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 52:28 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Vissel Kobe | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 43:27 | 16 | 60 |
3 | Kyoto | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:33 | 21 | 56 |
4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 43:29 | 14 | 56 |
5 | Machida | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 48:33 | 15 | 55 |
6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 37:22 | 15 | 55 |
7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 55:40 | 15 | 51 |
8 | Urawa Reds | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 49 |
9 | Gamba Osaka | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 46:47 | -1 | 49 |
10 | Cerezo Osaka | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 48:45 | 3 | 43 |
11 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | -4 | 40 |
12 | Okayama | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 28:34 | -6 | 40 |
13 | FC Tokyo | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 33:42 | -9 | 40 |
14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 31:37 | -6 | 37 |
15 | Nagoya Grampus | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 38:47 | -9 | 36 |
16 | Verdy | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 20:35 | -15 | 36 |
17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
18 | Yokohama FC | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 20:36 | -16 | 28 |
19 | Shonan Bellmare | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28:55 | -27 | 25 |
20 | Albirex Niigata | 32 | 4 | 9 | 19 | 29:54 | -25 | 21 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League