Result
1:3
16/08/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (490/563) | 79% (250/318) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 2.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.75 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (490/563) | 79% (250/318) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (11/36) | 30% (19/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (107/158) | 78% (78/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 18% (2/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.96 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 88% (7/8) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.75 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.25 | 0.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', Miyaichi R. 🟨,
- 16', 0 - 1, Tsunoda R. ⚽, Kato R. (A),
- 23', Watanabe K. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 2, David D. ⚽, Watanabe K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Tsunoda R. ↓, Yamane R. ↑,
- 46', Matsuzaki K. ↓, Inui T. ↑,
- 46', Yajima S. ↓, Kitagawa K. ↑,
- 46', Hasukawa S. ↓, Yamahara R. ↑,
- 61', Watanabe K. ↓, Jean Claude ↑,
- 61', David D. ↓, Tanimura K. ↑,
- 67', Kato R. 🟨,
- 70', Yamane R. 🟨,
- 76', Takahashi T. ↓, Stephens A. ↑,
- 77', Yan ↓, Inoue K. ↑,
- 78', Shimamoto Y. ↓, Miyamoto K. ↑,
- 80', 0 - 3, Tanimura K. ⚽, Jean Claude (A),
- 83', Matheus Bueno 🟨,
- 84', Inoue K. 🟨,
- 85', Matsubara K. ↓, Yamamura K. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Kitagawa K. ⚽, Yamahara R. (A),
- 90+5', Yamahara R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shimizu S-Pulse
44.9% | Draw
25.8% | Yokohama F. Marinos
29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shimizu S-Pulse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)Yokohama F. Marinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimizu S-Pulse than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.93) |
3.66 ↓
(3.75) |
3.2 ↓
(3.36) |
6.2%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 6 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Shimizu S-Pulse will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shimizu S-Pulse will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Shimizu has had a series of away games.
- Shimizu is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Shimizu: Takahashi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Suzuki T.
(Yellow Cards)
Tono D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Watanabe T.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shimizu won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 25:41. (average 1.3:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shimizu won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.4:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Shimizu S-Pulse won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Shimizu S-Pulse has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Shimizu S-Pulse?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shimizu S-Pulse - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
16.04.2025
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Shimizu S-Pulse
2:3
Latest results of Shimizu S-Pulse
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 48 |
| 2 | Kashima Antlers | 26 | 15 | 3 | 8 | 38:25 | 13 | 48 |
| 3 | Kashiwa Reysol | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 35:23 | 12 | 47 |
| 4 | Machida | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 39:25 | 14 | 46 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 30:18 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 | Vissel Kobe | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 44 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41:32 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:37 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Gamba Osaka | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 29:35 | -6 | 34 |
| 12 | Okayama | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 31 |
| 14 | Verdy | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 16:25 | -9 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 30:37 | -7 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 22:41 | -19 | 25 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 26:34 | -8 | 24 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 16:32 | -16 | 22 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26:45 | -19 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
