Result
2:2
18/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.59 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (132/238) | 80% (388/482) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.59 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 23 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 55% (132/238) | 80% (388/482) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (19/70) | 35% (23/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 49% (55/112) | 62% (91/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/24) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 23 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 67 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Sakuragawa S. ⚽, Fukumori A. (A),
- 45+4', Mateus ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Tokumoto S. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
- 59', Lukian ↓, Kubota R. ↑,
- 59', Fukumori A. ↓, Ito M. ↑,
- 64', Nogami Y. ↓, Yamagishi Y. ↑,
- 68', Sakuragawa S. ↓, Suzuki M. ↑,
- 69', Nduka B. 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 1, Inagaki S. (Pen),
- 73', Ito M. 🟨,
- 74', Morishima T. 🟨,
- 79', Joao Paulo ↓, Adailton ↑,
- 79', Kimura Y. ↓, Kawazura A. ↑,
- 80', 1 - 2, Sato Y. ⚽,
- 83', Takeda Y. 🟨,
- 90+4', 2 - 2, Ito M. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Yokohama FC
41.3% | Draw
32.4% | Nagoya Grampus
26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yokohama FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Yokohama FC's performance.Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nagoya Grampus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yokohama FC than the current prediction. (-8.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yokohama FC that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nagoya Grampus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yokohama FC - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.45 ↓
(2.95) |
3.17 ↑
(3.03) |
4.04 ↑
(2.57) |
-2.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Yokohama FC - Nagoya Grampus?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Yokohama FC will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yokohama FC: 29% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FC won 0.
- Recent form of Yokohama FC has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Nagoya is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Yokohama FC may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Yokohama FC: Leo Bahia
(Knee Injury)
Miyata I.
(Muscle Injury)
Murata T.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Nagoya: Kodama T.
(Finger Injury)
Schmidt D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Nakayama K.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Yokohama FC won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Yokohama FC won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama FC won against Nagoya Grampus?
Yokohama FC has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Yokohama FC?
Nagoya Grampus has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yokohama FC - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
29.03.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Yokohama FC
2:1
22.05.2024
Yokohama FC
-
Nagoya Grampus
1:3
02.09.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Yokohama FC
1:1
19.04.2023
Yokohama FC
-
Nagoya Grampus
0:2
05.04.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Yokohama FC
3:2
Latest results of Yokohama FC
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 61 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 13 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 41 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare ✔ | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30:56 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
