Result
2:1
30/06/2025 at 07:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (469/523) | 63% (126/201) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.04 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 47 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (469/523) | 63% (126/201) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (34/52) | 41% (22/54) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (161/193) | 43% (31/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 16% (5/31) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.37 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 39% (9/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.36 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.64 | -0.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', Ye Chugui 🟨,
- 30', 0 - 1, Ye Chugui ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Fan Shuangjie ↓, Zhang Yuning ↑,
- 55', 1 - 1, Abreu F. ⚽, Zhang Yuning (A),
- 62', Ye Chugui ↓, Han Zilong ↑,
- 68', Nene 🟨,
- 71', Pedro H. ↓, Zhang Yufeng ↑,
- 71', Ionita II A. ↓, Li Songyi ↑,
- 72', Muhmet N. ↓, Fang Hao ↑,
- 73', Tsui Wang-Kit 🟨,
- 76', Fang Hao 🟨,
- 79', Tsui Wang-Kit ↓, Zhang Xiangshuo ↑,
- 80', Serginho ↓, Zhang Xizhe ↑,
- 83', 2 - 1, Zhang Xizhe (Pen),
- 89', Wu Shaocong ↓, Li Lei ↑,
- 90+9', Han Zilong 🟨,
- 90+11', Zhang Xizhe 🟨,
Chances of winning
Beijing Guoan
68.3% | Draw
18.8% | Yunnan Yukun
12.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beijing Guoan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Yunnan Yukun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beijing Guoan than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.36 ↓
(1.42) |
4.97 ↑
(4.8) |
7.3 ↑
(6.1) |
7.1%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Beijing Guoan will win (votes: 11 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Beijing Guoan: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Beijing Guoan (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: ) and 7).
- Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.
- Beijing Guoan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Beijing Guoan is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Beijing Guoan: Han Jiaqi
(Knee Injury)
He Yupeng
(Inactive)
Spajic U.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Li Songyi
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Yunnan Yukun: Yi Teng
(Inactive)
- We predict that Beijing Guoan will win today's game, with odds of 1.36.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Beijing Guoan won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Beijing Guoan won against Yunnan Yukun?
Beijing Guoan has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yunnan Yukun won against Beijing Guoan?
Yunnan Yukun has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Beijing Guoan - Yunnan Yukun were as follows:
22.02.2025
Yunnan Yukun
-
Beijing Guoan
0:2
Latest results of Beijing Guoan
Latest results of Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 18 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 42:19 | 23 | 44 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 41:23 | 18 | 38 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 38:20 | 18 | 38 |
| 4 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 35:15 | 20 | 37 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 36:29 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:27 | -2 | 28 |
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 35:28 | 7 | 26 |
| 8 | Dalian Yingbo | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 19:24 | -5 | 26 |
| 9 | Yunnan Yukun | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26:28 | -2 | 25 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24:27 | -3 | 23 |
| 11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25:34 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 22:38 | -16 | 17 |
| 13 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 27:33 | -6 | 16 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 22:39 | -17 | 13 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 15:29 | -14 | 11 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 15:34 | -19 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
