Result
5:1
09/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.93 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (350/426) | 72% (202/279) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.93 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.28 | 1.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 21 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 43 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (350/426) | 72% (202/279) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (29/52) | 31% (17/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (117/158) | 49% (39/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.55 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 76% (13/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 68 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.23 | 4.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.23 | -0.72 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 8', Nene 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Liu Junshuai ⚽, Lin Chuangyi (A),
- 12', 2 - 0, Wellington Silva ⚽, Lamkel Ze D. (A),
- 18', 2 - 1, Taty Maritu O. ⚽, Pedro H. (A),
- 37', Li Songyi 🟨,
- 42', Taty Maritu O. 🟥,
- 45+4', Jin Yangyang 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 52', Luo Senwen ↓, Xiao Kun ↑,
- 53', Wei Suowei ↓, Jin Yonghao ↑,
- 56', Lin Chuangyi ↓, Che Shiwei ↑,
- 58', Xiao Kun 🟨,
- 59', Chen Yuhao ↓, Zhang Chenliang ↑,
- 59', Luo Jing ↓, Han Zilong ↑,
- 72', 3 - 1, Che Shiwei ⚽, Jin Yangyang (A),
- 73', 4 - 1, Lamkel Ze D. ⚽,
- 79', Li Songyi ↓, Duan Dezhi ↑,
- 79', Ionita II A. ↓, Ye Chugui ↑,
- 85', Nene ↓, Zhang Yufeng ↑,
- 87', Liu Junshuai ↓, Li Hailong ↑,
- 87', Wellington Silva ↓, Zheng Long ↑,
- 90+4', 5 - 1, Lamkel Ze D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Qingdao Hainiu
43.3% | Draw
27.2% | Yunnan Yukun
29.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qingdao Hainiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qingdao Hainiu's performance.Yunnan Yukun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yunnan Yukun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (-12%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qingdao Hainiu that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (+13.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yunnan Yukun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Qingdao Hainiu - Yunnan Yukun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↓
(2.97) |
4.13 ↑
(3.64) |
3.91 ↑
(2.22) |
-10.6%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Qingdao Hainiu - Yunnan Yukun?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Yunnan Yukun: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 9).
- Recent form of Qingdao Hainiu has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Yunnan Yukun has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Yunnan Yukun is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Qingdao Hainiu: Zhang Chi
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Tsui Wang-Kit
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Yunnan Yukun: Taty Maritu O.
(Injury)
Yi Teng
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Qingdao Hainiu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Qingdao Hainiu won against Yunnan Yukun?
Qingdao Hainiu has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yunnan Yukun won against Qingdao Hainiu?
Yunnan Yukun has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Hainiu - Yunnan Yukun were as follows:
06.04.2025
Yunnan Yukun
-
Qingdao Hainiu
1:0
Latest results of Qingdao Hainiu
Latest results of Yunnan Yukun
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Port | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 51:27 | 24 | 47 |
| 2 | Shanghai Shenhua | 20 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 47:25 | 22 | 45 |
| 3 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 39:16 | 23 | 43 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 20 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 44:25 | 19 | 42 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 31 |
| 6 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 27:29 | -2 | 30 |
| 7 | Zhejiang Professional | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 42:34 | 8 | 29 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 33:38 | -5 | 29 |
| 9 | Dalian Yingbo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 29 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 26:28 | -2 | 27 |
| 11 | Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
| 12 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 33:40 | -7 | 19 |
| 13 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 20 | 5 | 2 | 13 | 25:46 | -21 | 17 |
| 14 | Meizhou Hakka | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 26:44 | -18 | 16 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 20:32 | -12 | 14 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 16:36 | -20 | 9 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
