Qingdao Hainiu vs Yunnan Yukun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Chinese Super League Qingdao Hainiu - Yunnan Yukun
Result
5:1
09/08/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super League - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaMigu

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.931.07
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
269
Shots on target
103
Big Chances
74
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
82% (350/426)72% (202/279)
Yellow Cards
22
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.931.07
xG on target (xGOT)
4.281.23
Total shots
269
Shots on target
103
Shots off target
104
Blocked Shots
62
Shots inside the Box
215
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
74
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
4311
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1115
Passes
82% (350/426)72% (202/279)
Long passes
56% (29/52)31% (17/55)
Passes in final third
74% (117/158)49% (39/79)
Crosses
37% (7/19)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.850.55
Throw-ins
1818
Fouls
1511
Tackles
67% (10/15)76% (13/17)
Duels won
6863
Clearances
3432
Interceptions
513
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
1.234.28
Goals prevented
0.23-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 8', Nene 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Liu Junshuai , Lin Chuangyi (A),
  • 12', 2 - 0, Wellington Silva , Lamkel Ze D. (A),
  • 18', 2 - 1, Taty Maritu O. , Pedro H. (A),
  • 37', Li Songyi 🟨,
  • 42', Taty Maritu O. 🟥,
  • 45+4', Jin Yangyang 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 52', Luo Senwen , Xiao Kun ,
  • 53', Wei Suowei , Jin Yonghao ,
  • 56', Lin Chuangyi , Che Shiwei ,
  • 58', Xiao Kun 🟨,
  • 59', Chen Yuhao , Zhang Chenliang ,
  • 59', Luo Jing , Han Zilong ,
  • 72', 3 - 1, Che Shiwei , Jin Yangyang (A),
  • 73', 4 - 1, Lamkel Ze D. ,
  • 79', Li Songyi , Duan Dezhi ,
  • 79', Ionita II A. , Ye Chugui ,
  • 85', Nene , Zhang Yufeng ,
  • 87', Liu Junshuai , Li Hailong ,
  • 87', Wellington Silva , Zheng Long ,
  • 90+4', 5 - 1, Lamkel Ze D. ,

Chances of winning


Qingdao Hainiu
43.3%
Draw
27.2%
Yunnan Yukun
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.7% 25.9% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3% 25.5% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Qingdao Hainiu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Qingdao Hainiu's performance.
  • Yunnan Yukun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Yunnan Yukun might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qingdao Hainiu than the current prediction. (-12%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Qingdao Hainiu that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yunnan Yukun than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yunnan Yukun could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Qingdao Hainiu - Yunnan Yukun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.97)
    4.13
    (3.64)
    3.91
    (2.22)
    -10.6%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Qingdao Hainiu - Yunnan Yukun?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Qingdao Hainiu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Yunnan Yukun will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Yunnan Yukun: 11.9%76.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Yunnan Yukun (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 9).
    • Recent form of Qingdao Hainiu has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Yunnan Yukun has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Yunnan Yukun is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Qingdao Hainiu: Zhang Chi (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Yunnan Yukun: Tsui Wang-Kit (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Yunnan Yukun: Taty Maritu O. (Injury) Yi Teng (Injury)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Qingdao Hainiu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Qingdao Hainiu - Yunnan Yukun were as follows:
    06.04.2025 Yunnan Yukun - Qingdao Hainiu 1:0
    Latest results of Qingdao Hainiu
    Latest results of Yunnan Yukun
    Chinese Super League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shanghai Port26176363:382557
    2Chengdu Rongcheng26167353:223155
    3Shanghai Shenhua26166459:312854
    4Beijing Guoan26156557:391851
    5Shandong Taishan25126756:401642
    6Tianjin Jinmen Tiger25117735:32340
    7Zhejiang Professional26109754:421239
    8Dalian Yingbo25961026:38-1233
    9Yunnan Yukun25871038:49-1131
    10Qingdao West Coast2479831:37-630
    11Henan Songshan Longmen25851245:43229
    12Wuhan Three Towns26661432:54-2224
    13Shenzhen Xinpengcheng25621729:53-2420
    14Qingdao Hainiu24381323:37-1417
    15Changchun Yatai25451622:41-1917
    16Meizhou Hakka25451630:57-2717

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ Jia League