Result
2:1
23/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Second stage - Main - Round 18
- Referee: Scerri J. (Mlt)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 22', Mayron 🟨,
- 43', Fontanella M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 51', 0 - 1, Cejas P. ⚽,
- 56', Kontchou C. ↓, Montero Y. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
- 67', Fontanella M. ↓, Etim A. ↑,
- 68', Forte M. ↓, Micallef L. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 1, Vinicius Baiano ⚽,
- 80', Soldo M. ↓, Eviparker T. ↑,
- 83', Theo Kruger 🟨,
- 85', Pisani J. ↓, Dalli C. ↑,
- 88', Joao Moura ↓, Hudson M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Naxxar Lions
34.3% | Draw
28.5% | Żabbar St. Patrick
37.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Naxxar Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Naxxar Lions's performance.Żabbar St. Patrick has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Żabbar St. Patrick might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naxxar Lions than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Naxxar Lions that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Żabbar St. Patrick than the current prediction. (+11.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Żabbar St. Patrick could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Naxxar Lions - Żabbar St. Patrick Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.64 ↓
(3.65) |
3.17 ↓
(3.61) |
2.43 ↑
(1.87) |
10.5%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Naxxar Lions - Żabbar St. Patrick?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Żabbar (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DC - Naxxar (1.51) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Naxxar (votes: 4 - 80%). Żabbar (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 1.
- Naxxar is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Żabbar has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Żabbar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Naxxar won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.2:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Naxxar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Naxxar Lions won against Żabbar St. Patrick?
Naxxar Lions has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Żabbar St. Patrick won against Naxxar Lions?
Żabbar St. Patrick has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Naxxar Lions - Żabbar St. Patrick were as follows:
08.01.2026
Żabbar St. Patrick
-
Naxxar Lions
1:2
13.09.2025
Żabbar St. Patrick
-
Naxxar Lions
1:1
05.04.2025
Żabbar St. Patrick
-
Naxxar Lions
2:0
01.03.2025
Naxxar Lions
-
Żabbar St. Patrick
1:1
08.12.2024
Naxxar Lions
-
Żabbar St. Patrick
0:3
Latest results of Naxxar Lions
Latest results of Żabbar St. Patrick
Maltese Premier League Table
Second stage - Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Floriana | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16:4 | 12 | 20 |
| 2 | Hamrun | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11:1 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Marsaxlokk | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:9 | -1 | 14 |
| 4 | Gzira | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Naxxar | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 13 |
| 6 | Valletta | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:4 | 7 | 12 |
| 7 | Sliema | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 | Birkirkara | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 9 | Hibernians | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 10 |
| 10 | Zabbar | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:10 | -4 | 5 |
| 11 | Tarxien | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
| 12 | Mosta | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1:16 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Premier League (Second stage ~ Top 6: )
Premier League (Second stage ~ Play Out: )
