Result
15/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 5
- Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
Ukraine | Sport 2 |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Chances of winning
Zagłębie Lubin 40.4% | Draw 26.1% | Lechia Gdańsk 33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lechia Gdańsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.35 ↑ (2.2) |
3.6 ↑ (3.2) |
2.79 ↓ (3.15) |
6.1% (8.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Lechia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lechia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Zagłębie Lubin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M.
(Broken Leg)
Orlikowski I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lechia: Pllana B.
(Inactive)
Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Corluka J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
17.02.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:3
11.08.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:1
06.05.2023
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:3
24.10.2022
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
0:3
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Wisla Plock | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
2 | Legia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 7 |
3 | Radomiak Radom | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 7 |
4 | Widzew Lodz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
5 | Termalica B-B | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 7 |
6 | Cracovia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 7 |
7 | Jagiellonia | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 6 |
8 | Gornik Zabrze | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
9 | Lech Poznan | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 6 |
10 | Arka Gdynia | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 5 |
11 | Korona Kielce | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
12 | Pogon Szczecin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 4 |
13 | Motor Lublin | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
14 | Rakow | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
15 | Zaglebie | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 2 |
16 | GKS Katowice | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 1 |
17 | Piast Gliwice | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | Lechia Gdansk | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | -3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1