Zagłębie Lubin vs Lechia Gdańsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Polish Ekstraklasa Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk
15/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ekstraklasa - Round 5
  • Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
polandPolandCANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 3
ukraineUkraineSport 2
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
worldWorldSport 2 Baltic

Chances of winning


Zagłębie Lubin
40.4%
Draw
26.1%
Lechia Gdańsk
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 28.8% 29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 27.7% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lechia Gdańsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.2)
    3.6
    (3.2)
    2.79
    (3.15)
    6.1%
    (8.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Lechia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
    • BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 1.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Lechia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Zagłębie Lubin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M. (Broken Leg) Orlikowski I. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Lechia: Pllana B. (Inactive) Sarnavskyi B. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Corluka J. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.3:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
    17.02.2025 Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk 1:3
    11.08.2024 Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin 1:1
    06.05.2023 Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin 1:3
    24.10.2022 Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk 0:3
    Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
    Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
    Polish Ekstraklasa Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Wisla Plock43107:2510
    2Legia32105:147
    3Radomiak Radom42119:637
    4Widzew Lodz42117:437
    5Termalica B-B42116:337
    6Cracovia421110:827
    7Jagiellonia32018:806
    8Gornik Zabrze42024:406
    9Lech Poznan32017:8-16
    10Arka Gdynia41213:305
    11Korona Kielce41124:5-14
    12Pogon Szczecin41127:9-24
    13Motor Lublin31115:7-24
    14Rakow31023:5-23
    15Zaglebie30213:4-12
    16GKS Katowice40133:9-61
    17Piast Gliwice20020:3-30
    18Lechia Gdansk40229:11-2-3

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1