Result
6:2
15/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 5
- Referee: Frankowski B. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Ukraine | Sport 2 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 World | Sport 2 Baltic |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.82 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (198/268) | 78% (305/389) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.71 | 0.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.97 | 0.62 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (198/268) | 78% (305/389) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 37% (13/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (64/98) | 63% (63/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.77 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 80% (12/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.62 | 3.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.38 | -2.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Kludka B. ⚽, Dabrowski D. (A),
- 15', 2 - 0, Radwanski A. ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 1, Vojtko M. ⚽, Kapic R. (A),
- 2nd Half (4 - 1)
- 46', Sezonienko K. ↓, Awad M. ↑,
- 46', Kurminowski D. ↓, Bobcek T. ↑,
- 46', Viunnyk B. ↓, Glogowski M. ↑,
- 57', 2 - 2, Awad M. ⚽, Mena C. (A),
- 61', 3 - 2, Yakuba R. (Pen),
- 65', 4 - 2, Sypek J. ⚽, Kosidis M. (A),
- 72', Radwanski A. ↓, Wdowiak M. ↑,
- 72', Sypek J. ↓, Lucic L. ↑,
- 72', Regula M. ↓, Szmyt K. ↑,
- 73', Neugebauer T. ↓, Kalahur M. ↑,
- 73', Jaunzems A. ↓, Wojtowicz T. ↑,
- 80', Kludka B. ↓, Corluka J. ↑,
- 84', 5 - 2, Szmyt K. ⚽, Dabrowski D. (A),
- 90+2', 6 - 2, Nalepa M. ⚽, Dabrowski D. (A),
- 90+2', Kosidis M. ↓, Popielec C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zagłębie Lubin
40.4% | Draw
26.1% | Lechia Gdańsk
33.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lechia Gdańsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.2) |
3.6 ↑
(3.2) |
2.79 ↓
(3.15) |
6.1%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Zagłębie Lubin will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Lechia will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
- BTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 1.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Lechia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Zagłębie Lubin will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Grzybek M.
(Broken Leg)
Orlikowski I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Lechia: Pllana B.
(Inactive)
Sarnavskyi B.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Zagłębie Lubin: Corluka J.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie Lubin won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:35. (average 1.4:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zagłębie Lubin won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zagłębie Lubin - Lechia Gdańsk were as follows:
17.02.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:3
11.08.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:1
06.05.2023
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:3
24.10.2022
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
0:3
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:13 | 10 | 24 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Cracovia | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 20:12 | 8 | 21 |
| 4 | Korona Kielce | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 19 |
| 5 | Wisla Plock | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Lech Poznan | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | Widzew Lodz | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 16 |
| 8 | Legia | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 15 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 22:22 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 | Rakow | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 |
| 11 | Zaglebie | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 13 |
| 12 | Pogon Szczecin | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16:20 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Arka Gdynia | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7:19 | -12 | 12 |
| 14 | GKS Katowice | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 11 |
| 15 | Motor Lublin | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 21:27 | -6 | 10 |
| 17 | Termalica B-B | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 15:21 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 | Piast Gliwice | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
