Result
0:2
23/02/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ekstraklasa - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Sporty TV |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Poland | CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Ukraine | Sport 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.01 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 70% | 30% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (396/496) | 60% (131/220) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.45 | 1.01 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.71 | 1.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 48 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (396/496) | 60% (131/220) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/53) | 28% (19/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (109/166) | 44% (27/62) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (6/41) | 56% (5/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.41 | 0.80 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 76 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.43 | 0.71 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.57 | 0.71 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Grzybek M. ⚽, Diaz J. (A),
- 27', 0 - 2, Regula M. ⚽,
- 45+4', Dabrowski D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cirkovic A. ↓, Sezonienko K. ↑,
- 46', Wojtowicz T. ↓, Kludka B. ↑,
- 54', Grzybek M. 🟨,
- 61', Michalski D. ↓, Orlikowski I. ↑,
- 69', Diaz J. ↓, Radwanski A. ↑,
- 69', Regula M. ↓, Sypek J. ↑,
- 71', Neugebauer T. ↓, Kurminowski D. ↑,
- 78', Corluka J. 🟨,
- 87', Zhelizko I. 🟨,
- 89', Grzybek M. ↓, Makowski T. ↑,
- 89', Szabo L. ↓, Kosidis M. ↑,
- 89', 🟨,
- 90+4', Kosidis M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lechia Gdańsk
54.2% | Draw
24.8% | Zagłębie Lubin
20.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lechia Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lechia Gdańsk's performance.Zagłębie Lubin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lechia Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lechia Gdańsk that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Lubin than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.91) |
3.79 ↑
(3.07) |
4.45 ↑
(3.71) |
6.6%
(11.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Lechia (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Lechia Gdańsk will win
(16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.81% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Lechia (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Lechia is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Lechia: Vojtko M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Zagłębie Lubin: Diaz J.
(Inactive)
Hladun D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Kocaba F.
(Yellow Cards)
Lawniczak A.
(Inactive)
Popielec C.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lechia won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:32. (average 1.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lechia won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.7:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lechia Gdańsk won against Zagłębie Lubin?
Lechia Gdańsk has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zagłębie Lubin won against Lechia Gdańsk?
Zagłębie Lubin has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lechia Gdańsk - Zagłębie Lubin were as follows:
15.08.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
6:2
17.02.2025
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
1:3
11.08.2024
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:1
06.05.2023
Lechia Gdańsk
-
Zagłębie Lubin
1:3
24.10.2022
Zagłębie Lubin
-
Lechia Gdańsk
0:3
Latest results of Lechia Gdańsk
Latest results of Zagłębie Lubin
Polish Ekstraklasa Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jagiellonia | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 37:24 | 13 | 37 |
| 2 | Zaglebie | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 35:27 | 8 | 35 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 36:31 | 5 | 35 |
| 4 | Gornik Zabrze | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
| 5 | Rakow | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 34 |
| 6 | Wisla Plock | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 24:18 | 6 | 33 |
| 7 | Cracovia | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 8 | Korona Kielce | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:24 | 3 | 30 |
| 9 | Radomiak Radom | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 36:33 | 3 | 28 |
| 10 | Pogon Szczecin | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 32:35 | -3 | 28 |
| 11 | Lechia Gdansk | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 44:43 | 1 | 27 |
| 12 | GKS Katowice | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 28:31 | -3 | 27 |
| 13 | Motor Lublin | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 30:37 | -7 | 27 |
| 14 | Piast Gliwice | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 23:26 | -3 | 26 |
| 15 | Arka Gdynia | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Legia | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 25:27 | -2 | 24 |
| 17 | Widzew Lodz | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 24 |
| 18 | Termalica B-B | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:39 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
