Result
2:2
07/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 15
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Kike ⚽,
- 12', Lozano M. 🟨,
- 45+1', Valdepenas V. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 1, Yanez D. ⚽,
- 55', Merchan D. 🟨,
- 61', Monerris A. ↓, Eslava J. ↑,
- 61', Carbonell J. ↓, Lopez S. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 2, Cestero Sancho J. ⚽,
- 73', Claveria P. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
- 79', Buron L. 🟨,
- 83', Ramos C. ↓, Farrell J. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 2, Kike (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Zamora
48.6% | Draw
29.2% | Real Madrid Castilla
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Zamora - Real Madrid Castilla Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.05) |
3.29 ↑
(3.05) |
4.36 ↑
(3.59) |
4.7%
(9.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Zamora - Real Madrid Castilla?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1).
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Zamora may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Zamora won against Real Madrid Castilla?
Zamora has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid Castilla won against Zamora?
Real Madrid Castilla has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zamora - Real Madrid Castilla were as follows:
Latest results of Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tenerife | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 47:15 | 32 | 58 |
| 2 | Celta Vigo B | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 42:31 | 11 | 49 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 32:20 | 12 | 41 |
| 4 | Lugo | 26 | 10 | 10 | 6 | 26:22 | 4 | 40 |
| 5 | Ponferradina | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 28:22 | 6 | 39 |
| 6 | AD Merida | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 36:34 | 2 | 39 |
| 7 | Ath Bilbao B | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 28:29 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Real Madrid B | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 32:34 | -2 | 38 |
| 9 | Barakaldo | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 10 | Unionistas | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
| 11 | Racing Club Ferrol | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 37 |
| 12 | Zamora | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
| 13 | Arenas Getxo | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 30:37 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Real Aviles | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 39:45 | -6 | 32 |
| 15 | Ourense CF | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 31 |
| 16 | CF Talavera | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 28:37 | -9 | 28 |
| 17 | Cacereno | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 25:34 | -9 | 28 |
| 18 | Guadalajara | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:40 | -17 | 25 |
| 19 | Arenteiro | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:33 | -10 | 24 |
| 20 | Osasuna B | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 17:32 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
