Result
2:1
07/02/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 21
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 40', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 76', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 90+8', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Leioa
54.1% | Draw
27.9% | Zamudio
18% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leioa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Zamudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zamudio than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Leioa - Zamudio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.64) |
3.26 ↓
(3.44) |
5.05 ↑
(4.98) |
9.9%
(10.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 13).
- Leioa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Zamudio has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Leioa is considered a favorite.
- We predict that Leioa will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Leioa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Leioa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Leioa won against Zamudio?
Leioa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zamudio won against Leioa?
Zamudio has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Zamudio were as follows:
27.09.2025
Zamudio
-
Leioa
1:0
Latest results of Zamudio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
