Result
0:0
05/03/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 30
- Referee: Frances R. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Lugo
26.4% | Draw
31.9% | Zaragoza
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Lugo - Zaragoza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.57 ↑
(3.25) |
2.91 ↓
(3) |
2.25 ↑
(2.2) |
6.8%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Lugo - Zaragoza?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 17).
- Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (46.22%), has project points - 35, has currently - 22, has a very good chance of relegated (97%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Zaragoza has the most likely position - 17 (10.3%), has project points - 51, has currently - 34, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 26, small importance 18, small match rating 22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 1.
- Lugo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Zaragoza is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Zaragoza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Zaragoza will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lugo won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-25.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-15.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Zaragoza?
Lugo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zaragoza won against Lugo?
Zaragoza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Zaragoza were as follows:
04.09.2022
Zaragoza
-
Lugo
1:2
Latest results of Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 2 | Castellon | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Almeria | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 53:40 | 13 | 49 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 44:31 | 13 | 49 |
| 5 | Malaga | 28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | 41:31 | 10 | 47 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 34:22 | 12 | 45 |
| 7 | Ceuta | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 36:39 | -3 | 44 |
| 8 | Burgos CF | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 30:26 | 4 | 43 |
| 9 | Gijon | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 42 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 38:37 | 1 | 41 |
| 11 | Eibar | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 12 | Andorra | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 35:40 | -5 | 35 |
| 13 | Albacete | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33:39 | -6 | 35 |
| 14 | Cadiz CF | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 35 |
| 15 | Leganes | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 29:28 | 1 | 34 |
| 16 | Real Sociedad B | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 38:39 | -1 | 34 |
| 17 | Granada CF | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:38 | -9 | 32 |
| 19 | Huesca | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 26:37 | -11 | 30 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 27:44 | -17 | 27 |
| 21 | Mirandes | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 28:45 | -17 | 24 |
| 22 | Zaragoza | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 23:41 | -18 | 24 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
