Result
0:0
05/03/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 30
- Referee: Frances R. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Lugo 26.4% | Draw 31.9% | Zaragoza 41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lugo - Zaragoza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.57 ↑ (3.25) |
2.91 ↓ (3) |
2.25 ↑ (2.2) |
6.8% (9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Lugo - Zaragoza?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 17).
- Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (46.22%), has project points - 35, has currently - 22, has a very good chance of relegated (97%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Zaragoza has the most likely position - 17 (10.3%), has project points - 51, has currently - 34, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 26, small importance 18, small match rating 22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 1.
- Lugo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Zaragoza is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Zaragoza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Zaragoza will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lugo won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-25.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-15.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Zaragoza?
Lugo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zaragoza won against Lugo?
Zaragoza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Zaragoza were as follows:
04.09.2022
Zaragoza
-
Lugo
1:2
Latest results of Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 49:32 | 17 | 41 |
| 2 | Castellon | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 36:25 | 11 | 38 |
| 3 | Las Palmas | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 38 |
| 4 | Dep. La Coruna | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 37:25 | 12 | 37 |
| 5 | Almeria | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 41:32 | 9 | 36 |
| 6 | Malaga | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 35 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 35 |
| 8 | Cadiz CF | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 25:24 | 1 | 34 |
| 9 | Gijon | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 30:31 | -1 | 33 |
| 10 | Cordoba | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 27:25 | 2 | 32 |
| 11 | Ceuta | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 32 |
| 12 | Valladolid | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 28 |
| 13 | Andorra | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
| 14 | Albacete | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:34 | -7 | 27 |
| 15 | Leganes | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:23 | 0 | 26 |
| 16 | Eibar | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 23:26 | -3 | 25 |
| 17 | Cultural Leonesa | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24:34 | -10 | 25 |
| 18 | Real Sociedad B | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 29:31 | -2 | 24 |
| 19 | Granada CF | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 23:27 | -4 | 23 |
| 20 | Huesca | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 23 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 21:35 | -14 | 21 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 23:37 | -14 | 17 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation