Result
0:0
05/03/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 30
- Referee: Frances R. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Lugo
26.4% | Draw
31.9% | Zaragoza
41.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Lugo - Zaragoza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.57 ↑
(3.25) |
2.91 ↓
(3) |
2.25 ↑
(2.2) |
6.8%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Lugo - Zaragoza?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Lugo will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 17).
- Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (46.22%), has project points - 35, has currently - 22, has a very good chance of relegated (97%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Zaragoza has the most likely position - 17 (10.3%), has project points - 51, has currently - 34, has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has small quality 26, small importance 18, small match rating 22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 1.
- Lugo has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Zaragoza is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Zaragoza could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Zaragoza will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lugo won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-25.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-15.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Zaragoza?
Lugo has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zaragoza won against Lugo?
Zaragoza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Zaragoza were as follows:
04.09.2022
Zaragoza
-
Lugo
1:2
Latest results of Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Santander | 31 | 18 | 5 | 8 | 62:44 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Dep. La Coruna | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:35 | 13 | 55 |
| 3 | Almeria | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 59:43 | 16 | 55 |
| 4 | Malaga | 31 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 54 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 40:24 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Castellon | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 50:38 | 12 | 50 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 36:26 | 10 | 50 |
| 8 | Eibar | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 33:30 | 3 | 45 |
| 9 | Gijon | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 42:39 | 3 | 45 |
| 10 | Ceuta | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 39:50 | -11 | 44 |
| 11 | Albacete | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 39:40 | -1 | 42 |
| 12 | Cordoba | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 41 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 44:43 | 1 | 40 |
| 14 | Granada CF | 31 | 9 | 12 | 10 | 37:34 | 3 | 39 |
| 15 | Andorra | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz CF | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 31:39 | -8 | 38 |
| 17 | Leganes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 36:34 | 2 | 37 |
| 18 | Valladolid | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 36:45 | -9 | 36 |
| 19 | Huesca | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 30:45 | -15 | 31 |
| 20 | Zaragoza | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 27:43 | -16 | 30 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 29:50 | -21 | 28 |
| 22 | Mirandes | 31 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 30:50 | -20 | 27 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
