Result
3:1
14/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 26
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 27', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 32', 3 - 0, ⚽,
- 39', 3 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Leioa
71.1% | Draw
19% | Zarautz KE
9.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Leioa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Zarautz KE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leioa than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarautz KE than the current prediction. (+1%)
Leioa - Zarautz KE Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.29 ↓
(1.37) |
4.81 ↑
(4.19) |
9.22 ↑
(7.95) |
9.3%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).
- Leioa is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Zarautz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Leioa is the clear favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Leioa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Leioa won against Zarautz KE?
Leioa has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zarautz KE won against Leioa?
Zarautz KE has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Leioa - Zarautz KE were as follows:
02.11.2025
Zarautz KE
-
Leioa
1:1
Latest results of Zarautz KE
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portugalete | 27 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 58:17 | 41 | 67 |
| 2 | Leioa | 27 | 16 | 4 | 7 | 40:25 | 15 | 52 |
| 3 | Touring KE | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 36:26 | 10 | 47 |
| 4 | Lagun Onak | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 41:26 | 15 | 46 |
| 5 | Derio | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 46 |
| 7 | Alaves C | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 42 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 42 |
| 9 | UD Aretxabaleta | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 44:44 | 0 | 38 |
| 10 | Durango | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 29:28 | 1 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad C | 27 | 11 | 3 | 13 | 29:35 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Santurtzi | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 27:35 | -8 | 31 |
| 13 | Pasaia | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 20:32 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Eibar C | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Anorga | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 26:49 | -23 | 27 |
| 16 | Zamudio | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 28:43 | -15 | 26 |
| 17 | Zarautz KE | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 22:50 | -28 | 22 |
| 18 | SD Deusto | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18:33 | -15 | 21 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
