Result
1:0
05/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue Professionnelle 1 - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Tunisia | Diwan Sport, Watania 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Dagdoug H. ⚽,
- 41', Charfi S. 🟥,
- 45', Jertila M. ↓, Ghanmi H. ↑,
- 45+5', Ben Choug F. 🟨,
- 45+11', Cristo 🟨,
- 45+11', Ben Choug F. 🟥,
- 45+11', Tajourii A. 🟨,
- 45+15', Nshuti I. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 67', Kante M. ↓, Ben Seghaier M. ↑,
- 67', Aouani R. ↓, Chaabani M. ↑,
- 80', Dagdoug H. ↓, Naouali G. ↑,
- 80', Anane M. ↓, Chouchane M. ↑,
- 88', Mahersi G. ↓, Labidi Z. ↑,
- 90+9', Gbo C. ↓, Bouslama M. ↑,
- 90+11', Naouali G. 🟨,
- 90+13', Chouchane M. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Étoile du Sahel
48.4% | Draw
29.7% | Zarzis
21.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Étoile du Sahel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Étoile du Sahel's performance.Zarzis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zarzis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Étoile du Sahel than the current prediction. (-15%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Étoile du Sahel that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zarzis than the current prediction. (+12.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zarzis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Étoile du Sahel - Zarzis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.68) |
3.17 ↑
(2.84) |
4.29 ↑
(2.72) |
6.2%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Étoile du Sahel - Zarzis?
Users Predictions:
Étoile du Sahel will win
(8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Étoile du Sahel will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Étoile du Sahel won 2.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Étoile du Sahel may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Étoile du Sahel won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Étoile du Sahel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Étoile du Sahel won against Zarzis?
Étoile du Sahel has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zarzis won against Étoile du Sahel?
Zarzis has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Étoile du Sahel - Zarzis were as follows:
09.03.2025
Étoile du Sahel
-
Zarzis
0:1
24.11.2024
Zarzis
-
Étoile du Sahel
2:3
Latest results of Étoile du Sahel
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Esperance Tunis | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 39:7 | 32 | 50 |
| 2 | Club Africain | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 33:8 | 25 | 48 |
| 3 | Stade Tunisien | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 27:7 | 20 | 44 |
| 4 | CS Sfaxien | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 29:11 | 18 | 42 |
| 5 | Monastir | 22 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Etoile Sahel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 22:18 | 4 | 33 |
| 7 | JS Omrane | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 28 |
| 8 | Zarzis | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 20:23 | -3 | 27 |
| 9 | Metlaoui | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 27 |
| 10 | AS Marsa | 22 | 8 | 1 | 13 | 20:24 | -4 | 25 |
| 11 | CA Bizertin | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 12:20 | -8 | 25 |
| 12 | Ben Guerdane | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 14:19 | -5 | 24 |
| 13 | JS Kairouan | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 15:33 | -18 | 21 |
| 14 | Olympique Beja | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 11:34 | -23 | 18 |
| 15 | AS Gabes | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 10:25 | -15 | 17 |
| 16 | Soliman | 22 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 9:25 | -16 | 13 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
