Result
1:1
05/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
- Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Football Asia, Q Sport Asia |
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (190/250) | 88% (535/608) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 26 |
| Through passes |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (1/1) |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (190/250) | 88% (535/608) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (15/45) | 71% (34/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (36/57) | 80% (194/243) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (2/10) | 12% (3/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.99 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (9/13) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 53 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 33 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.04 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.04 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Nenakhov M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mostovoy A. ↓, Pedro ↑,
- 46', Mimovic O. ↓, Alip N. ↑,
- 49', Morozov E. ↓, Lucas Fasson ↑,
- 62', 1 - 0, Batrakov A. ⚽, Barinov D. (A),
- 69', Gondou L. ↓, Glushenkov M. ↑,
- 81', Pedro 🟨,
- 83', Vorobyev D. ↓, Suleymanov T. ↑,
- 83', Pinyaev S. ↓, Sarveli V. ↑,
- 83', Barrios W. ↓, Sobolev A. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 1, Sobolev A. ⚽,
- 90+2', Barinov D. 🟨,
- 90+3', Pedro 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lokomotiv Moscow
23.8% | Draw
26.5% | Zenit
49.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Moscow's form might have worsened.Zenit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Zenit's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+12.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotiv Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (-13.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zenit, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.06 ↑
(3.02) |
3.64 ↑
(3.63) |
1.94 ↓
(2.45) |
3.7%
(1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Zenit will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 6 and 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv won 2.
- Recent matches Lokomotiv is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Zenit is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Lokomotiv could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Zenit will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Lokomotiv: Barinov D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Zenit: Gustavo Mantuan
(Yellow Cards)
Karavaev V.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 26:36 (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotiv won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:7 (average 1:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Lokomotiv Moscow won against Zenit?
Lokomotiv Moscow has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zenit won against Lokomotiv Moscow?
Zenit has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lokomotiv Moscow - Zenit were as follows:
27.10.2024
Zenit
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:1
03.12.2023
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Zenit
3:1
24.09.2023
Zenit
-
Lokomotiv Moscow
1:2
09.04.2023
Lokomotiv Moscow
-
Zenit
1:2
Latest results of Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Zenit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Sochi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
