Orenburg vs Zenit – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Premier League Orenburg - Zenit
Result
0:1
23/11/2024 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • RUSSIA: Premier League - Round 16
  • Referee: Karasev S. (Rus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3, Moja TV
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
montenegroMontenegroArena Premium 1
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaArena Premium 1
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
33%67%
Goal Attempts
615
Shots on Goal
38
Shots off Goal
37
Free Kicks
414
Corner Kicks
56
Offsides
36
Throw-ins
1720
Goalkeeper Saves
73
Fouls
154
Yellow Cards
11

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 19', Sobolev A. 🟨,
  • 31', Kovalenko A. 🟨,
  • 42', Erakovic S. , Gustavo Mantuan ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Sobolev A. , Cassierra M. ,
  • 57', Saharkhizan S. , Rybchinskiy D. ,
  • 60', Mostovoy A. , Gondou L. ,
  • 79', Karatas K. , Zotov G. ,
  • 79', Glushenkov M. , Artur ,
  • 79', Pedro Henrique , Erokhin A. ,
  • 89', Mansilla B. , Baranovsky A. ,
  • 89', Marin J. , Thompson J. ,
  • 90+6', 0 - 1, Erokhin A. ,

Chances of winning


Orenburg
12.8%
Draw
19.6%
Zenit
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.2% 18.1% 70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.4% 18.5% 69.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
  • Orenburg - Zenit Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.64
    (8.8)
    4.98
    (5.43)
    1.44
    (1.39)
    2.6%
    (1.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Orenburg - Zenit?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Zenit will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL and 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 1.
    • Orenburg is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Zenit is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Zenit could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Zenit is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Orenburg: Florentin G. (Injury) Martynov T. (Knee Injury) Prokhin D. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Zenit: Kerzhakov M. (Leg Injury) Latyshonok E. (Thigh Injury) Volkov S. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Orenburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 8:26 (average 0.7:2.4).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Orenburg won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1.2:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Zenit were as follows:
    05.10.2024 Zenit - Orenburg 1:0
    21.04.2024 Zenit - Orenburg 1:0
    30.09.2023 Orenburg - Zenit 3:1
    20.05.2023 Orenburg - Zenit 2:2
    11.09.2022 Zenit - Orenburg 8:0
    Latest results of Orenburg
    03.11.2024 Krasnodar - Orenburg 4:0
    27.10.2024 Orenburg - Rubin Kazan 1:2
    23.10.2024 Orenburg - Khimki 2:0
    20.10.2024 Orenburg - Krylya Sovetov 2:2
    Latest results of Zenit
    15.11.2024 Fenerbahçe - Zenit 2:1
    10.11.2024 Akhmat Grozny - Zenit 1:2
    06.11.2024 Zenit - Akhmat Grozny 3:0
    02.11.2024 Zenit - Dynamo Makhachkala 2:1
    27.10.2024 Zenit - Lokomotiv Moscow 1:1
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lokomotiv Moscow33008:359
    2Krylya Sovetov32107:257
    3Baltika32107:347
    4Krasnodar32015:236
    5Akron Togliatti31206:245
    6Rubin Kazan21104:224
    7Zenit21104:314
    8CSKA Moscow21102:114
    9Dynamo Moscow31112:204
    10Spartak Moscow31112:4-24
    11Orenburg30213:4-12
    12Dynamo Makhachkala20111:2-11
    13Akhmat Grozny20021:4-30
    14FK Rostov30032:7-50
    15Pari NN30032:8-60
    16Sochi20020:7-70

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL