Orenburg vs Zenit – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian Cup Orenburg - Zenit
Result
3:5
26/08/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 3
  • Where to Watch on TV:
belarusBelarusBelarus 5
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
711
Corner Kicks
53
Yellow Cards
20
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
711
Shots off target
31
Corner Kicks
53
Free Kicks
714
Goalkeeper Saves
64

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 4)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Glushenkov M. , Cassierra M. (A),
  • 12', 0 - 2, Erokhin A. , Mikhailov Y. (A),
  • 22', 0 - 3, Santos D. , Glushenkov M. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 3, Bubanja V. ,
  • 32', 2 - 3, Tataev A. , Du Queiroz (A),
  • 41', Poroykov S. 🟨,
  • 43', 2 - 4, Cassierra M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Bubanja V. , Oganesyan S. ,
  • 46', Syshchenko M. , Kasimov A. ,
  • 55', Revazov A. 🟨,
  • 56', 2 - 5, Glushenkov M. ,
  • 63', Santos D. , Pedro ,
  • 63', Nino , Erakovic S. ,
  • 66', 3 - 5, Revazov A. , Guzina G. (A),
  • 68', Revazov A. , Kamilov V. ,
  • 68', Guzina G. , Alexandre Jesus ,
  • 73', Cassierra M. , Gorshkov Y. ,
  • 77', Zotov G. , Vedernikov D. ,
  • 83', Glushenkov M. , Shilov V. ,
  • 83', Alip N. , Mostovoy A. ,

Chances of winning


Orenburg
12.4%
Draw
18.6%
Zenit
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.7% 19.2% 69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3% 18.5% 71.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orenburg than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Orenburg - Zenit Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.69
    (8.4)
    5.12
    (5.12)
    1.38
    (1.42)
    5%
    (1.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Zenit may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Zenit is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 8:27. (average 0.7:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Zenit were as follows:
    23.11.2024 Orenburg - Zenit 0:1
    05.10.2024 Zenit - Orenburg 1:0
    21.04.2024 Zenit - Orenburg 1:0
    30.09.2023 Orenburg - Zenit 3:1
    20.05.2023 Orenburg - Zenit 2:2
    Latest results of Orenburg
    22.08.2025 Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny 2:2
    17.08.2025 Akron Tolyatti - Orenburg 1:2
    13.08.2025 Orenburg - Akhmat Grozny 2:1
    10.08.2025 Orenburg - Krasnodar 0:1
    Latest results of Zenit
    23.08.2025 Zenit - Dynamo Makhachkala 4:0
    16.08.2025 Spartak Moscow - Zenit 2:2
    12.08.2025 Zenit - Rubin Kazan 3:0
    09.08.2025 Akhmat Grozny - Zenit 1:0
    03.08.2025 Zenit - CSKA Moscow 1:1
    Russian Cup Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Zenit3300010:49
    2Akhmat Grozny310024:43
    3Rubin Kazan310022:53
    4Orenburg310025:83


    Group B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Krylya Sovetov311103:26
    2Krasnodar320019:46
    3Dynamo Moscow310113:64
    4Sochi301025:82


    Group C
    PlWWLLPts
    1Dynamo Makhachkala321005:28
    2Spartak Moscow320107:17
    3Pari NN310021:53
    4FK Rostov300031:60


    Group D
    PlWWLLPts
    1CSKA Moscow320105:27
    2Lokomotiv Moscow320015:26
    3Akron Togliatti311013:45
    4Baltika300031:60

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