Result
5:2
27/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 10
- Referee: Tanashev I. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 10 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.75 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (382/426) | 84% (312/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.54 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 17 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (382/426) | 84% (312/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (28/49) | 53% (20/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (89/112) | 80% (81/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 72% (21/29) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 2.54 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | -2.46 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 22', 1 - 0, Glushenkov M. ⚽, Cassierra M. (A),
- 34', 2 - 0, Glushenkov M. ⚽, Pedrinho (A),
- 41', Pedrinho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 2)
- 46', Bubanja V. ↓, Revazov A. ↑,
- 46', Oganesyan S. ↓, Kamilov V. ↑,
- 47', Kamilov V. 🟨,
- 65', Barrios W. 🟨,
- 68', Savelyev M. ↓, Alexandre Jesus ↑,
- 73', Luiz Henrique ↓, Mostovoy A. ↑,
- 73', Cassierra M. ↓, Sobolev A. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 0, Sobolev A. ⚽,
- 75', Thompson J. ↓, Rybchinskiy D. ↑,
- 77', 4 - 0, Glushenkov M. ⚽,
- 78', Barrios W. ↓, Shilov V. ↑,
- 78', Pedrinho ↓, Drkusic V. ↑,
- 81', Chichinadze A. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 1, Tsenov E. ⚽,
- 88', 4 - 2, Kamilov V. ⚽, Du Queiroz (A),
- 90', Sobolev A. 🟨,
- 90+2', 5 - 2, Glushenkov M. ⚽, Wendel (A),
Chances of winning
Zenit
83.3% | Draw
11.5% | Orenburg
5.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zenit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Orenburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Zenit - Orenburg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.16
(1.16) |
8.35 ↑
(6.4) |
18.8 ↑
(17) |
3.7%
(7.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Zenit - Orenburg?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Zenit will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 4.
- Zenit has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Orenburg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Orenburg has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Zenit is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Zenit: Karavaev V.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Moskvichev B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Orenburg: Kvekveskiri I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Zenit: Wendel
(Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 11 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 32:11. (average 2.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zenit won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:2. (average 3:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Zenit won against Orenburg?
Zenit has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Zenit?
Orenburg has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zenit - Orenburg were as follows:
26.08.2025
Orenburg
-
Zenit
3:5
23.11.2024
Orenburg
-
Zenit
0:1
05.10.2024
Zenit
-
Orenburg
1:0
21.04.2024
Zenit
-
Orenburg
1:0
30.09.2023
Orenburg
-
Zenit
3:1
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 26:16 | 10 | 23 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:7 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 11 | 21 |
| 4 | Zenit | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Rubin Kazan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 7 | Baltika | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 17 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Akron Togliatti | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 13:22 | -9 | 7 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 9:22 | -13 | 6 |
| 16 | Sochi | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:25 | -18 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
