Result
2:1
08/03/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belarus | Belarus 5 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 3.20 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (225/297) | 83% (424/510) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 3.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.99 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (225/297) | 83% (424/510) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (22/47) | 55% (36/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (91/133) | 71% (107/151) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 32% (8/25) | 53% (10/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.96 | 2.02 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.01 | 0.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 9', Gustavo Mantuan (Penalty Awarded),
- 11', 0 - 1, Sobolev A. ⚽, Jhon Jhon (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 62', Wendel ↓, Barrios W. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 1, Pedrinho (Own goal),
- 71', Savelyev M. ↓, Guzina G. ↑,
- 72', Guzina G. 🟨,
- 77', Puebla D. ↓, Bolotov E. ↑,
- 77', Du Queiroz ↓, Kul R. ↑,
- 78', Jhon Jhon ↓, Kondakov D. ↑,
- 78', Luiz Henrique ↓, Mostovoy A. ↑,
- 84', Gustavo Mantuan ↓, Erokhin A. ↑,
- 84', Glushenkov M. ↓, Duran J. ↑,
- 86', 2 - 1, Bolotov E. ⚽, Gurluk E. (A),
- 88', Gurluk E. ↓, Tataev A. ↑,
- 88', Thompson J. ↓, Kvekveskiri I. ↑,
- 90+4', Moufi F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Orenburg
13.7% | Draw
21.5% | Zenit
64.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)Zenit has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
Orenburg - Zenit Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.94 ↓
(8.4) |
4.41 ↓
(4.5) |
1.46 ↑
(1.34) |
5.4%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Orenburg - Zenit?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Zenit will win (votes: 4 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.25 - Zenit (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Zenit will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Zenit (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 0.
- Orenburg has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Zenit is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Recently, Orenburg has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Zenit is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Orenburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 13:43. (average 0.9:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Orenburg won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Orenburg won against Zenit?
Orenburg has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zenit won against Orenburg?
Zenit has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Orenburg - Zenit were as follows:
22.10.2025
Zenit
-
Orenburg
6:0
27.09.2025
Zenit
-
Orenburg
5:2
26.08.2025
Orenburg
-
Zenit
3:5
23.11.2024
Orenburg
-
Zenit
0:1
05.10.2024
Zenit
-
Orenburg
1:0
Latest results of Orenburg
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 47:16 | 31 | 49 |
| 2 | Zenit | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 41:15 | 26 | 48 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 48:30 | 18 | 44 |
| 4 | Baltika | 22 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 30:9 | 21 | 42 |
| 5 | CSKA Moscow | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 39 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 38 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 30 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 27:28 | -1 | 30 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 30 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 22 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 22 |
| 12 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 12:27 | -15 | 21 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 22:40 | -18 | 21 |
| 14 | Pari NN | 22 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 18:36 | -18 | 20 |
| 15 | Orenburg | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 21:33 | -12 | 18 |
| 16 | Sochi | 22 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 20:52 | -32 | 9 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
