Result
2:1
13/09/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Kazakhstan | Qazsport |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
---|
38% | 62% |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 4 |
Total shots |
---|
23 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 5 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 16 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 13 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 12 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Kuat I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 56', Astanov S. 🟨,
- 57', Capatina M. ↓, Khalmatov M. ↑,
- 64', Karaman D. ↓, Martins G. ↑,
- 64', Adil A. ↓, Baltabekov A. ↑,
- 66', Everton ↓, Joao Paulino ↑,
- 66', Astanov E. ↓, Naumets V. ↑,
- 69', 🟨,
- 71', 1 - 0, Zhaksybaev U. ⚽,
- 73', 2 - 0, Khalmatov M. (Pen),
- 87', Lobjanidze E. (Pen),
- 88', 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 1, Adilio ⚽,
- 90+1', 🟨,
- 90+1', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Ordabasy 45.9% | Draw 30.6% | Zhenis 23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ordabasy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ordabasy's performance.Zhenis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zhenis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ordabasy than the current prediction. (-9.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ordabasy that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zhenis than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zhenis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ordabasy - Zhenis Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.03 ↓ (2.57) |
3.05 ↑ (2.71) |
3.99 ↑ (3.14) |
7.1% (7.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ordabasy - Zhenis?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ordabasy (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Ordabasy will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 7).
- Recent performances by Ordabasy have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Zhenis is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Ordabasy is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ordabasy won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Ordabasy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Ordabasy won against Zhenis?
Ordabasy has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zhenis won against Ordabasy?
Zhenis has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ordabasy - Zhenis were as follows:
30.05.2025
Zhenis
-
Ordabasy
2:2
26.10.2024
Ordabasy
-
Zhenis
1:2
23.06.2024
Zhenis
-
Ordabasy
1:3
Latest results of Ordabasy
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Astana | 24 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 60:26 | 34 | 53 |
2 | Kairat Almaty | 23 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 46:18 | 28 | 52 |
3 | Tobol | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 41:22 | 19 | 50 |
4 | Aktobe | 24 | 13 | 3 | 8 | 34:22 | 12 | 42 |
5 | Yelimay Semey | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 38:26 | 12 | 42 |
6 | Zhenis | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 34:27 | 7 | 34 |
7 | Okzhetpes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 32:33 | -1 | 32 |
8 | Ordabasy | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 31 |
9 | Kyzylzhar | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 24:31 | -7 | 24 |
10 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 23 | 4 | 9 | 10 | 18:35 | -17 | 21 |
11 | Ulytau | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 17:38 | -21 | 21 |
12 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 21:39 | -18 | 20 |
13 | Atyrau | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:41 | -22 | 18 |
14 | Turan | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 19:48 | -29 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League