Result
1:0
22/11/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 12
- Referee: Bayramov E. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 42', Martins Junior 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Ruan Renato (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 53', Aliyev Q. 🟨,
- 58', Sangare I. ↓, Owusu P. ↑,
- 63', Acka S. 🟨,
- 70', Djibrilla I. ↓, Henrique Gelain ↑,
- 70', Martins Junior ↓, Nuriyev C. ↑,
- 71', Amoah I. 🟨,
- 71', 🟨,
- 79', Papunashvili G. ↓, Bogomolskiy E. ↑,
- 79', Guima ↓, Ibrahimli I. ↑,
- 87', Mickels L. ↓, Alicanov E. ↑,
- 87', Massoumou D. J. ↓, Rashidov N. ↑,
- 87', Ahmadov E. ↓, Tagiyev E. ↑,
- 88', Damadayev S. ↓, Quimbila P. ↑,
- 90+3', Shahniyarov S. ↓, Iskandarov F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zira
65.9% | Draw
22.3% | Gabala
11.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Gabala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gabala than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Zira - Gabala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38
(1.38) |
4.09 ↓
(4.21) |
7.7 ↓
(7.86) |
9.8%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zira won 4.
- Zira has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gabala is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Zira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Zira is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zira won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:20. (average 1.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zira won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zira won against Gabala?
Zira has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gabala won against Zira?
Gabala has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zira - Gabala were as follows:
25.08.2025
Gabala
-
Zira
1:2
24.04.2024
Gabala
-
Zira
0:2
07.04.2024
Zira
-
Gabala
4:0
03.04.2024
Zira
-
Gabala
2:1
04.02.2024
Gabala
-
Zira
1:1
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
