Result
1:3
14/03/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Referee: Hajiyev F. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Montiel J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', 0 - 2, Duran C. ⚽,
- 56', Muradov R. ↓, Nuriyev C. ↑,
- 57', Alicanov E. ↓, Hacyly H. ↑,
- 63', Martins Junior ↓, Aydin E. ↑,
- 63', Konate B. ↓, Papunashvili G. ↑,
- 66', Henrique Gelain 🟨,
- 70', 1 - 2, Nuriyev C. ⚽,
- 72', 1 - 3, Kady Borges ⚽,
- 73', Montiel J. ↓, Jankovic M. ↑,
- 76', Volkovi D. ↓, Mickels L. ↑,
- 85', Zoubir A. ↓, Qurbanly M. ↑,
- 90+2', Dani Bolt ↓, Huseynov A. ↑,
- 90+2', Cafarquliyev E. ↓, Bayramov T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Zira
16.6% | Draw
24.8% | Qarabağ Agdam
58.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zira's form might have worsened.Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Qarabağ Agdam's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zira than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (-13.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Qarabağ Agdam, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Zira - Qarabağ Agdam Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.52 ↑
(3.22) |
3.7 ↑
(3.31) |
1.56 ↓
(2.11) |
9.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Zira - Qarabağ Agdam?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Zira will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Qarabağ will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Qarabağ (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zira won 1.
- Zira is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Qarabağ has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Qarabağ may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Qarabağ has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Qarabağ is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zira won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 14:37. (average 0.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zira won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.8:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Zira won against Qarabağ Agdam?
Zira has won 2 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Zira?
Qarabağ Agdam has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zira - Qarabağ Agdam were as follows:
06.12.2025
Zira
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:1
12.09.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Zira
1:1
06.04.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Zira
1:0
02.02.2025
Zira
-
Qarabağ Agdam
3:2
10.11.2024
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Zira
4:0
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 60:17 | 43 | 62 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 24 | 16 | 4 | 4 | 48:18 | 30 | 52 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 32:17 | 15 | 48 |
| 4 | Zira | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 42 |
| 5 | Araz | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:43 | -9 | 39 |
| 6 | Neftci Baku | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 39:22 | 17 | 37 |
| 7 | Sumqayit | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 32 |
| 8 | Shamakhi | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 30 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 18:36 | -18 | 22 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 25 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 21:48 | -27 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 23:42 | -19 | 16 |
| 12 | Karvan | 25 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 16:49 | -33 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
