Result
1:1
12/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 4
- Referee: Ahmadov R. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, Ruan Renato (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 56', Bogomolskiy E. 🟨,
- 63', Martins Junior ↓, Djibrilla I. ↑,
- 63', Bogomolskiy E. ↓, Guima ↑,
- 69', Matheus Silva ↓, Dani Bolt ↑,
- 75', Jankovic M. 🟨,
- 78', Djibrilla I. 🟨,
- 78', Leandro Andrade ↓, Kashchuk O. ↑,
- 78', Jankovic M. ↓, Addai E. ↑,
- 79', Volkovi D. ↓, Alasgarov N. ↑,
- 79', Hacyly H. ↓, Mutsinzi A. ↑,
- 80', Aliyev Q. 🟨,
- 82', 1 - 1, Kady Borges ⚽,
- 85', Papunashvili G. ↓, Mickels L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Qarabağ Agdam
59.3% | Draw
25.2% | Zira
15.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Qarabağ Agdam has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-2%)
Qarabağ Agdam - Zira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.45) |
3.63 ↓
(3.84) |
5.91 ↓
(6.64) |
9.4%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, Qarabağ is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Qarabağ won 13 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 38:13. (average 1.9:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Qarabağ won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 1.5:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Qarabağ Agdam won against Zira?
Qarabağ Agdam has won 9 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zira won against Qarabağ Agdam?
Zira has won 2 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Qarabağ Agdam - Zira were as follows:
06.04.2025
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Zira
1:0
02.02.2025
Zira
-
Qarabağ Agdam
3:2
10.11.2024
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Zira
4:0
01.09.2024
Zira
-
Qarabağ Agdam
1:3
02.06.2024
Qarabağ Agdam
-
Zira
2:1
Latest results of Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Turan Tovuz | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 13:7 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:3 | 10 | 16 |
| 3 | Zira | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15:10 | 5 | 16 |
| 4 | Araz | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 14:13 | 1 | 16 |
| 5 | Sabah Baku | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:5 | 7 | 15 |
| 6 | Sumqayit | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 14 |
| 7 | Imisli FK | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10:9 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Neftci Baku | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Shamakhi | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Gabala | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
| 11 | Karvan | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6:19 | -13 | 5 |
| 12 | Kapaz | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6:24 | -18 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
