Result
2:2
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 27
- Referee: Qurbanov T. (Aze)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Azerbaijan | CBC Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 16', 1 - 0, Mickels J. ⚽,
- 32', 1 - 1, Ruan Renato (Penalty Awarded),
- 41', 1 - 2, Aydin E. ⚽,
- 45+2', Gomis I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 2, Ygor Nogueira ⚽,
- 55', Tiago Silva 🟨,
- 62', Djibrilla I. 🟨,
- 66', Isayev A. ↓, Malouda A. ↑,
- 73', Djibrilla I. ↓, Henrique Gelain ↑,
- 73', Aydin E. ↓, Mickels L. ↑,
- 76', Parris K. ↓, Mbina O. ↑,
- 80', Gomis I. ↓, Hacyly H. ↑,
- 82', Rakhmonaliyev U. 🟨,
- 90+4', Konate B. ↓, Alicanov E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sabah
54.3% | Draw
26.1% | Zira
19.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sabah has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sabah's form might have worsened.Zira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sabah than the current prediction. (+10%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sabah, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zira than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Zira, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sabah - Zira Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.51) |
3.5 ↓
(3.82) |
4.67 ↓
(6.11) |
9.4%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 2.
- Sabah is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Zira has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Sabah is the team to beat.
- We predict that Sabah will win today's game, with odds of 1.75.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sabah won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sabah won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sabah won against Zira?
Sabah has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Zira won against Sabah?
Zira has won 4 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sabah - Zira were as follows:
31.01.2026
Zira
-
Sabah
1:3
19.10.2025
Sabah
-
Zira
3:0
17.05.2025
Zira
-
Sabah
1:1
15.03.2025
Sabah
-
Zira
1:1
20.10.2024
Zira
-
Sabah
1:1
Azerbaijan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabah Baku | 27 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 66:21 | 45 | 66 |
| 2 | Qarabag | 26 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 55:18 | 37 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan Tovuz | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 35:19 | 16 | 52 |
| 4 | Zira | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 36:30 | 6 | 44 |
| 5 | Neftci Baku | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 44:24 | 20 | 43 |
| 6 | Araz | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 37:49 | -12 | 39 |
| 7 | Shamakhi | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
| 8 | Sumqayit | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 20:37 | -17 | 26 |
| 10 | Kapaz | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 22:54 | -32 | 21 |
| 11 | Gabala | 27 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 25:43 | -18 | 19 |
| 12 | Karvan | 27 | 2 | 5 | 20 | 20:57 | -37 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ I Liqa
