Znicz Pruszków vs Korona Kielce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
28/10/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Polish Cup - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
88
Shots on target
47
Corner Kicks
75
Yellow Cards
40
Red Cards
10
Total shots
88
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
41
Corner Kicks
75
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
611
Throw-ins
2520
Fouls
106

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 15', 0 - 1, Rubezic S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 47', 0 - 2, Rubezic S. ,
  • 55', Niski N. , Nono ,
  • 55', Davidovic S. , Blanik D. ,
  • 59', Okhronchuk V. 🟨,
  • 60', 0 - 3, Nikolov V. (Pen),
  • 61', Karol M. , Borecki M. ,
  • 61', Mak M. , Majewski R. ,
  • 64', Kaminski W. , Cebula M. ,
  • 74', Konieczny D. , Skladowski F. ,
  • 76', Skladowski F. 🟨,
  • 81', Popov V. , Matuszewski K. ,
  • 88', Skladowski F. 🟨,
  • 90', Jach J. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Znicz Pruszków
25.3%
Draw
25%
Korona Kielce
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.4% 23.2% 57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2% 24.7% 61.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Znicz Pruszków's performance.
  • Korona Kielce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Korona Kielce might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Znicz Pruszków that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Korona Kielce than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Korona Kielce could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Znicz Pruszków - Korona Kielce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.64
    (4.6)
    3.69
    (3.85)
    1.85
    (1.56)
    8.6%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Znicz Pruszków - Korona Kielce?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Znicz (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Korona Kielce will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Korona Kielce will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Znicz (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Korona (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Korona may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Korona is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Znicz Pruszków
    Latest results of Korona Kielce
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/64-finals
    1ZawiszaBye
    2ByeTychy
    3WikielecBye
    4PodbeskidzieR. Rzeszow2 : 1
    5Siarka TarnobrzegBye
    6Hutnik KrakowZaglebie Sosnowiec3 : 0
    7Bytom OdrzanskiBye
    8ByeWisla
    9AndrychowBye
    10ChojniczankaBielsko-Biala2 : 1
    11Legnica IIBye
    12Swit SzczecinLKS Lodz II2 : 1
    13OzimekBye
    14ByePruszkow
    15S. RzeszowBye
    16ByeKorona Kielce
    17LKS LomzaBye
    18ByeOdra Opole
    19Korona Kielce IIBye
    20ByePiast Gliwice
    21Gryf SlupskBye
    22ByePolonia Warszawa
    24ByeLech Poznan
    25Stal MielecBye
    26ByePuszcza
    27Grodzisk M.Wisla Pulawy3 : 0
    28ByeLechia Gdansk
    29Arka GdyniaBye
    30ByeMotor Lublin
    31Legia IIBye
    32ByeGornik Zabrze
    33Avia SwidnikBye
    34ByeRuch Chorzow
    35SwinoujscieBye
    36KKS KaliszGKS Jastrzebie0 : 2
    37Goczalkowice Zdroj IIBye
    38S. WolaSkra3 : 1
    39Warta PoznanOlimpia Elblag1 : 0
    40Polonia BytomZaglebie II7 : 1
    41SrodaBye
    42Wieczysta KrakowOl. Grudziadz0 : 1
    43T. MazowieckiBye
    44ByeSlask Wroclaw
    45RakowBye
    47LecznaBye
    48ByeCracovia
    49LKS LodzBye
    50ByeChrobry Glogow
    51GKS KatowiceBye
    52ByeWisla Plock
    53LegnicaBye
    54ByePogon Siedlce
    56ByeJagiellonia
    57LegiaBye
    59Kotwica KolobrzegBye
    60ByePogon Szczecin
    61Termalica B-B.Bye
    62ByeWidzew Lodz
    63Radomiak RadomBye
    64ByeZaglebie

    1/32-finals
    1ZawiszaTychy2 : 0
    2WikielecPodbeskidzie2 : 1
    3Siarka TarnobrzegHutnik Krakow0 : 1
    4Bytom OdrzanskiWisla0 : 1
    5AndrychowChojniczanka0 : 3
    6Legnica IISwit Szczecin1 : 3
    7OzimekPruszkow1 : 2
    8S. RzeszowKorona Kielce0 : 1
    9LKS LomzaOdra Opole0 : 2
    10Korona Kielce IIPiast Gliwice0 : 1
    11Gryf SlupskPolonia Warszawa1 : 0
    12ByeLech Poznan
    13Stal MielecPuszcza1 : 2
    14Grodzisk M.Lechia Gdansk0 : 1
    15Arka GdyniaMotor Lublin1 : 0
    16Legia IIGornik Zabrze0 : 3
    17Avia SwidnikRuch Chorzow3 : 1
    18SwinoujscieGKS Jastrzebie3 : 2
    19Goczalkowice Zdroj IIS. Wola3 : 1
    20Warta PoznanPolonia Bytom0 : 1
    21SrodaOl. Grudziadz1 : 3
    22T. MazowieckiSlask Wroclaw1 : 2
    23RakowBye
    24LecznaCracovia1 : 5
    25LKS LodzChrobry Glogow5 : 3
    26GKS KatowiceWisla Plock4 : 2
    27LegnicaPogon Siedlce2 : 0
    28ByeJagiellonia
    29LegiaBye
    30Kotwica KolobrzegPogon Szczecin0 : 3
    31Termalica B-B.Widzew Lodz2 : 3
    32Radomiak RadomZaglebie0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1ZawiszaWikielec3 : 0
    2Hutnik KrakowWisla0 : 1
    3ChojniczankaSwit Szczecin3 : 1
    4PruszkowKorona Kielce0 : 3
    5Odra OpolePiast Gliwice0 : 2
    6Gryf SlupskLech Poznan1 : 2
    7PuszczaLechia Gdansk1 : 3
    8Arka GdyniaGornik Zabrze1 : 2
    9Avia SwidnikSwinoujscie3 : 0
    10Goczalkowice Zdroj IIPolonia Bytom0 : 7
    11Ol. GrudziadzSlask Wroclaw0 : 1
    12RakowCracovia3 : 0
    13LKS LodzGKS Katowice1 : 2
    14LegnicaJagiellonia2 : 3
    15LegiaPogon Szczecin1 : 2
    16Widzew LodzZaglebie1 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1ZawiszaWisla4 : 1
    2ChojniczankaKorona Kielce2 : 1
    3Piast GliwiceLech Poznan0 : 2
    4Lechia GdanskGornik Zabrze1 : 3
    5Avia SwidnikPolonia Bytom4 : 2
    6Slask WroclawRakow1 : 2
    7GKS KatowiceJagiellonia3 : 1
    8Pogon SzczecinWidzew Lodz0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1ZawiszaChojniczanka2 : 1
    2Lech PoznanGornik Zabrze0 : 1
    3Avia SwidnikRakow1 : 2
    4GKS KatowiceWidzew Lodz2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ZawiszaGornik Zabrze
    2RakowGKS Katowice

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2