Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
03/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KNVB Beker - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.13
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
77% (270/351)83% (378/458)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.79
Total shots
913
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1536
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
77% (270/351)83% (378/458)
Long passes
47% (29/62)46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
62% (56/90)77% (103/134)
Crosses
29% (2/7)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.981.00
Throw-ins
1922
Fouls
1114
Tackles
56% (15/27)87% (13/15)
Duels won
5648
Clearances
1619
Interceptions
145
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.790.84
Goals prevented
-1.21-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Kostons K. , Floranus S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Mijnans S. , Parrott T. (A),
  • 63', Mbayo D. , Shoretire S. ,
  • 79', Faberski J. , Thomas R. ,
  • 79', Buurmeester Z. , Fichtinger N. ,
  • 79', Jensen I. , Daal R. ,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Mijnans S. , de Wit M. (A),
  • 87', Chavez Garcia M. , Dijkstra E. ,
  • 88', Weslley Patati , Sadiq I. ,
  • 90', Floranus S. , Gooijer T. ,
  • 90', Monteiro J. , Buitink T. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 3, Sadiq I. , Dijkstra E. (A),
  • 90+7', Fichtinger N. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Sadiq I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Zwolle
17.1%
Draw
21.4%
AZ Alkmaar
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.4% 26.7% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 22.3% 40.9%

Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.4
(3.75)
4.33
(3.43)
1.53
(1.87)
7.2%
(9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Zwolle (votes: 1 - 50%). AZ (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: AZ Alkmaar will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 0.
    • Zwolle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • AZ's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Zwolle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, AZ is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:45. (average 0.9:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    24.09.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle 2:2
    09.02.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle 2:0
    20.09.2024 Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar 1:2
    20.01.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle 2:2
    24.09.2023 Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar 0:3
    Latest results of Zwolle
    28.11.2025 Zwolle - Heerenveen 2:1
    23.11.2025 Groningen - Zwolle 2:2
    08.11.2025 Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam 1:0
    02.11.2025 Heracles Almelo - Zwolle 8:2
    28.10.2025 Helmond Sport - Zwolle 1:4
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    30.11.2025 Twente - AZ Alkmaar 1:0
    27.11.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Shelbourne 2:0
    23.11.2025 Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar 3:1
    09.11.2025 AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven 1:5
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1NAC BredaBye
    4ByeHeracles
    5De ForestersVV Scherpenzeel2 : 3
    6HoogeveenVelocitas6 : 1
    8ByeFC Emmen
    9HelmondBye
    12ByeZwolle
    16ByeAZ Alkmaar
    17SV JulianaMeerssen0 : 2
    18GemertHuizen2 : 1
    20ByeSittard
    21Harkemase BoysSparta Nijkerk0 : 1
    22KloetingeDVO3 : 0
    24ByeAlmere City
    25EemdijkDongen4 : 0
    26EmmenExcelsior 312 : 5
    28ByeAFC
    29Rijnsburgse BoysBye
    32ByeNijmegen
    33Willem IIBye
    36ByeDordrecht
    37Sparta RotterdamBye
    40ByeGroningen
    41USV HerculesGOES4 : 0
    42ByeSpakenburg
    43ErpVV DOVO0 : 4
    44TECSV Poortugaal3 : 2
    45RaalteHVV Hollandia4 : 1
    46SteDoCoDVS '33 Ermelo0 : 2
    48ByeTwente
    49HoekRijnvogels6 : 4
    50Blauw GeelVVOG2 : 1
    52ByeEindhoven FC
    53LisseWestlandia1 : 0
    54VV ZwaluwenUrk1 : 2
    56ByeTelstar
    57AalsmeerHZVV Hoogeveen2 : 4
    58ByeExcelsior Maassluis
    60ByeExcelsior
    64ByeAjax
    65WalcherenNoordwijk1 : 3
    66ByeHardenberg
    68ByeOss
    72ByeUtrecht
    73Olde VesteHSC '210 : 3
    74't ZandMierlo-Hout4 : 2
    75HFCBye
    76UNAARC1 : 2
    77WaalwijkBye
    80ByeCambuur
    81TOGBUDI'191 : 3
    82SportlustSportclub 254 : 1
    83Kozakken BoysKampong4 : 0
    84ByeBarendrecht
    85De TreffersBye
    86ByeRKAV Volendam
    88ByeMaastricht
    89Den BoschBye
    92ByeDen Haag
    93KatwijkBye
    96ByeVitesse
    97Quick BoysBye
    100ByeFC Volendam
    101HeinoGroene Ster3 : 4
    102IJsselmeervogelsGenemuiden0 : 1
    103HalsterenACV Assen3 : 1
    104AWCASWH0 : 2
    105PSVBye
    109ADO 20 HeemskerkRoosendaal0 : 2
    110ByeGVVV
    112ByeDe Graafschap
    113FeyenoordBye
    117VenloBye
    120ByeHeerenveen
    121VVSBCapelle1 : 2
    122ScheveningenStaphorst2 : 0
    124ByeRoda
    128ByeG.A. Eagles

    1/64-finals
    1NAC BredaBye
    2ByeHeracles
    3VV ScherpenzeelHoogeveen3 : 4
    4ByeFC Emmen
    5HelmondBye
    6ByeZwolle
    8ByeAZ Alkmaar
    9MeerssenGemert0 : 1
    10ByeSittard
    11Sparta NijkerkKloetinge4 : 3
    12ByeAlmere City
    13EemdijkExcelsior 312 : 1
    14ByeAFC
    15Rijnsburgse BoysBye
    16ByeNijmegen
    17Willem IIBye
    18ByeDordrecht
    19Sparta RotterdamBye
    20ByeGroningen
    21USV HerculesSpakenburg1 : 3
    22VV DOVOTEC1 : 0
    23RaalteDVS '33 Ermelo1 : 0
    24ByeTwente
    25HoekBlauw Geel1 : 0
    26ByeEindhoven FC
    27LisseUrk4 : 1
    28ByeTelstar
    29HZVV HoogeveenExcelsior Maassluis1 : 5
    30ByeExcelsior
    32ByeAjax
    33NoordwijkHardenberg0 : 2
    34ByeOss
    36ByeUtrecht
    37HSC '21't Zand3 : 1
    38HFCARC5 : 0
    39WaalwijkBye
    40ByeCambuur
    41UDI'19Sportlust0 : 1
    42Kozakken BoysBarendrecht2 : 3
    43De TreffersRKAV Volendam6 : 3
    44ByeMaastricht
    45Den BoschBye
    46ByeDen Haag
    47KatwijkBye
    48ByeVitesse
    49Quick BoysBye
    50ByeFC Volendam
    51Groene SterGenemuiden1 : 2
    52HalsterenASWH3 : 2
    53PSVBye
    55RoosendaalGVVV0 : 1
    56ByeDe Graafschap
    57FeyenoordBye
    59VenloBye
    60ByeHeerenveen
    61CapelleScheveningen5 : 1
    62ByeRoda
    64ByeG.A. Eagles

    1/32-finals
    1NAC BredaHeracles1 : 4
    2HoogeveenFC Emmen1 : 0
    3HelmondZwolle1 : 4
    4ByeAZ Alkmaar
    5GemertSittard0 : 1
    6Sparta NijkerkAlmere City0 : 2
    7EemdijkAFC1 : 2
    8Rijnsburgse BoysNijmegen2 : 3
    9Willem IIDordrecht7 : 0
    10Sparta RotterdamGroningen5 : 2
    11SpakenburgVV DOVO5 : 1
    12RaalteTwente1 : 4
    13HoekEindhoven FC3 : 2
    14LisseTelstar0 : 5
    15Excelsior MaassluisExcelsior1 : 0
    16ByeAjax
    17HardenbergOss0 : 2
    18ByeUtrecht
    19HSC '21HFC3 : 0
    20WaalwijkCambuur3 : 2
    21SportlustBarendrecht1 : 0
    22De TreffersMaastricht3 : 1
    23Den BoschDen Haag4 : 3
    24KatwijkVitesse2 : 1
    25Quick BoysFC Volendam1 : 2
    26GenemuidenHalsteren1 : 0
    27PSVBye
    28GVVVDe Graafschap4 : 2
    29FeyenoordBye
    30VenloHeerenveen0 : 3
    31CapelleRoda1 : 5
    32ByeG.A. Eagles

    1/16-finals
    1HeraclesHoogeveen
    2ZwolleAZ Alkmaar1 : 3
    3SittardAlmere City
    4AFCNijmegen
    5Willem IISparta Rotterdam
    6SpakenburgTwente
    7HoekTelstar
    8Excelsior MaassluisAjax
    9OssUtrecht
    10HSC '21Waalwijk
    11SportlustDe Treffers
    12Den BoschKatwijk
    13FC VolendamGenemuiden
    14PSVGVVV
    15FeyenoordHeerenveen
    16RodaG.A. Eagles