Zwolle vs AZ Alkmaar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
03/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KNVB Beker - 1/16-finals
  • Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.13
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
913
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
77% (270/351)83% (378/458)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.13
xG on target (xGOT)
0.841.79
Total shots
913
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
23
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1536
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
53
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
77% (270/351)83% (378/458)
Long passes
47% (29/62)46% (25/54)
Passes in final third
62% (56/90)77% (103/134)
Crosses
29% (2/7)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.981.00
Throw-ins
1922
Fouls
1114
Tackles
56% (15/27)87% (13/15)
Duels won
5648
Clearances
1619
Interceptions
145
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
1.790.84
Goals prevented
-1.21-0.16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Kostons K. , Floranus S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 53', 1 - 1, Mijnans S. , Parrott T. (A),
  • 63', Mbayo D. , Shoretire S. ,
  • 79', Faberski J. , Thomas R. ,
  • 79', Buurmeester Z. , Fichtinger N. ,
  • 79', Jensen I. , Daal R. ,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Mijnans S. , de Wit M. (A),
  • 87', Chavez Garcia M. , Dijkstra E. ,
  • 88', Weslley Patati , Sadiq I. ,
  • 90', Floranus S. , Gooijer T. ,
  • 90', Monteiro J. , Buitink T. ,
  • 90+2', 1 - 3, Sadiq I. , Dijkstra E. (A),
  • 90+7', Fichtinger N. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Sadiq I. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Zwolle
17.1%
Draw
21.4%
AZ Alkmaar
61.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.4% 26.7% 49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2% 22.3% 40.9%

Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
5.4
(3.75)
4.33
(3.43)
1.53
(1.87)
7.2%
(9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Zwolle (votes: 1 - 50%). AZ (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: AZ Alkmaar will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 0.
    • Zwolle is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • AZ's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Zwolle may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, AZ is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:45. (average 0.9:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar were as follows:
    24.09.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle 2:2
    09.02.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle 2:0
    20.09.2024 Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar 1:2
    20.01.2024 AZ Alkmaar - Zwolle 2:2
    24.09.2023 Zwolle - AZ Alkmaar 0:3
    Latest results of Zwolle
    28.11.2025 Zwolle - Heerenveen 2:1
    23.11.2025 Groningen - Zwolle 2:2
    08.11.2025 Zwolle - Sparta Rotterdam 1:0
    02.11.2025 Heracles Almelo - Zwolle 8:2
    28.10.2025 Helmond Sport - Zwolle 1:4
    Latest results of AZ Alkmaar
    30.11.2025 Twente - AZ Alkmaar 1:0
    27.11.2025 AZ Alkmaar - Shelbourne 2:0
    23.11.2025 Heerenveen - AZ Alkmaar 3:1
    09.11.2025 AZ Alkmaar - PSV Eindhoven 1:5
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/128-finals
    1FeyenoordBye
    5VenloBye
    8ByeHeerenveen
    9Olde VesteHSC '210 : 3
    10't ZandMierlo-Hout4 : 2
    11HFCBye
    12UNAARC1 : 2
    13WaalwijkBye
    16ByeCambuur
    17HelmondBye
    20ByeZwolle
    24ByeAZ Alkmaar
    25AalsmeerHZVV Hoogeveen2 : 4
    26ByeExcelsior Maassluis
    28ByeExcelsior
    32ByeAjax
    33WalcherenNoordwijk1 : 3
    34ByeHardenberg
    36ByeOss
    40ByeUtrecht
    41USV HerculesGOES4 : 0
    42ByeSpakenburg
    43ErpVV DOVO0 : 4
    44TECSV Poortugaal3 : 2
    45RaalteHVV Hollandia4 : 1
    46SteDoCoDVS '33 Ermelo0 : 2
    48ByeTwente
    49Willem IIBye
    52ByeDordrecht
    53Sparta RotterdamBye
    56ByeGroningen
    57Quick BoysBye
    60ByeFC Volendam
    61HeinoGroene Ster3 : 4
    62IJsselmeervogelsGenemuiden0 : 1
    63HalsterenACV Assen3 : 1
    64AWCASWH0 : 2
    65Den BoschBye
    68ByeDen Haag
    69KatwijkBye
    72ByeVitesse
    73PSVBye
    77ADO 20 HeemskerkRoosendaal0 : 2
    78ByeGVVV
    80ByeDe Graafschap
    81SV JulianaMeerssen0 : 2
    82GemertHuizen2 : 1
    84ByeSittard
    85Harkemase BoysSparta Nijkerk0 : 1
    86KloetingeDVO3 : 0
    88ByeAlmere City
    89HoekRijnvogels6 : 4
    90Blauw GeelVVOG2 : 1
    92ByeEindhoven FC
    93LisseWestlandia1 : 0
    94VV ZwaluwenUrk1 : 2
    96ByeTelstar
    97TOGBUDI'191 : 3
    98SportlustSportclub 254 : 1
    99Kozakken BoysKampong4 : 0
    100ByeBarendrecht
    101De TreffersBye
    102ByeRKAV Volendam
    104ByeMaastricht
    105EemdijkDongen4 : 0
    106EmmenExcelsior 312 : 5
    108ByeAFC
    109Rijnsburgse BoysBye
    112ByeNijmegen
    113VVSBCapelle1 : 2
    114ScheveningenStaphorst2 : 0
    116ByeRoda
    120ByeG.A. Eagles
    121NAC BredaBye
    124ByeHeracles
    125De ForestersVV Scherpenzeel2 : 3
    126HoogeveenVelocitas6 : 1
    128ByeFC Emmen

    1/64-finals
    1FeyenoordBye
    3VenloBye
    4ByeHeerenveen
    5HSC '21't Zand3 : 1
    6HFCARC5 : 0
    7WaalwijkBye
    8ByeCambuur
    9HelmondBye
    10ByeZwolle
    12ByeAZ Alkmaar
    13HZVV HoogeveenExcelsior Maassluis1 : 5
    14ByeExcelsior
    16ByeAjax
    17NoordwijkHardenberg0 : 2
    18ByeOss
    20ByeUtrecht
    21USV HerculesSpakenburg1 : 3
    22VV DOVOTEC1 : 0
    23RaalteDVS '33 Ermelo1 : 0
    24ByeTwente
    25Willem IIBye
    26ByeDordrecht
    27Sparta RotterdamBye
    28ByeGroningen
    29Quick BoysBye
    30ByeFC Volendam
    31Groene SterGenemuiden1 : 2
    32HalsterenASWH3 : 2
    33Den BoschBye
    34ByeDen Haag
    35KatwijkBye
    36ByeVitesse
    37PSVBye
    39RoosendaalGVVV0 : 1
    40ByeDe Graafschap
    41MeerssenGemert0 : 1
    42ByeSittard
    43Sparta NijkerkKloetinge4 : 3
    44ByeAlmere City
    45HoekBlauw Geel1 : 0
    46ByeEindhoven FC
    47LisseUrk4 : 1
    48ByeTelstar
    49UDI'19Sportlust0 : 1
    50Kozakken BoysBarendrecht2 : 3
    51De TreffersRKAV Volendam6 : 3
    52ByeMaastricht
    53EemdijkExcelsior 312 : 1
    54ByeAFC
    55Rijnsburgse BoysBye
    56ByeNijmegen
    57CapelleScheveningen5 : 1
    58ByeRoda
    60ByeG.A. Eagles
    61NAC BredaBye
    62ByeHeracles
    63VV ScherpenzeelHoogeveen3 : 4
    64ByeFC Emmen

    1/32-finals
    1FeyenoordBye
    2VenloHeerenveen0 : 3
    3HSC '21HFC3 : 0
    4WaalwijkCambuur3 : 2
    5HelmondZwolle1 : 4
    6ByeAZ Alkmaar
    7Excelsior MaassluisExcelsior1 : 0
    8ByeAjax
    9HardenbergOss0 : 2
    10ByeUtrecht
    11SpakenburgVV DOVO5 : 1
    12RaalteTwente1 : 4
    13Willem IIDordrecht7 : 0
    14Sparta RotterdamGroningen5 : 2
    15Quick BoysFC Volendam1 : 2
    16GenemuidenHalsteren1 : 0
    17Den BoschDen Haag4 : 3
    18KatwijkVitesse2 : 1
    19PSVBye
    20GVVVDe Graafschap4 : 2
    21GemertSittard0 : 1
    22Sparta NijkerkAlmere City0 : 2
    23HoekEindhoven FC3 : 2
    24LisseTelstar0 : 5
    25SportlustBarendrecht1 : 0
    26De TreffersMaastricht3 : 1
    27EemdijkAFC1 : 2
    28Rijnsburgse BoysNijmegen2 : 3
    29CapelleRoda1 : 5
    30ByeG.A. Eagles
    31NAC BredaHeracles1 : 4
    32HoogeveenFC Emmen1 : 0

    1/16-finals
    1FeyenoordHeerenveen2 : 3
    2HSC '21Waalwijk0 : 9
    3ZwolleAZ Alkmaar1 : 3
    4Excelsior MaassluisAjax2 : 7
    5OssUtrecht0 : 2
    6SpakenburgTwente3 : 6
    7Willem IISparta Rotterdam1 : 5
    8FC VolendamGenemuiden2 : 0
    9Den BoschKatwijk2 : 1
    10PSVGVVV3 : 0
    11SittardAlmere City2 : 3
    12HoekTelstar1 : 4
    13SportlustDe Treffers0 : 1
    14AFCNijmegen1 : 3
    15RodaG.A. Eagles1 : 2
    16HeraclesHoogeveen4 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1HeerenveenWaalwijk
    2AZ AlkmaarAjax
    3UtrechtTwente
    4Sparta RotterdamFC Volendam
    5Den BoschPSV
    6Almere CityTelstar
    7De TreffersNijmegen
    8G.A. EaglesHeracles