Result
2:1
28/11/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eredivisie - Round 14
- Referee: Teuben S. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (261/347) | 80% (354/443) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.11 | 2.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (261/347) | 80% (354/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (27/72) | 42% (28/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (54/99) | 75% (107/142) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 2.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 48% (10/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 69 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 47 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.57 | 2.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.57 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 28', 1 - 0, Oosting T. ⚽, Kostons K. (A),
- 34', de Rooij K. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 1, Meerveld R. ⚽, Brouwers L. (A),
- 40', 2 - 1, Shoretire S. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 51', Graves S. 🟨,
- 65', Willemsen M. 🟨,
- 67', Oosting T. ↓, Buurmeester Z. ↑,
- 70', Braude O. ↓, Egbring M. ↑,
- 70', Rivera M. ↓, Sejk V. ↑,
- 70', Meerveld R. ↓, Linday M. ↑,
- 77', Egbring M. 🟨,
- 80', Willemsen M. ↓, Gurbuz E. ↑,
- 88', Trenskow J. ↓, Bochniewicz P. ↑,
- 88', Monteiro J. ↓, Reiziger G. ↑,
- 89', de Rooij K. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
- 89', Shoretire S. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,
- 90+6', Faberski J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zwolle
26.1% | Draw
24.4% | Heerenveen
49.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Zwolle - Heerenveen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.67 ↑
(2.8) |
3.92 ↑
(3.65) |
1.95 ↓
(2.31) |
3.9%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Zwolle - Heerenveen?
Users Predictions:
Heerenveen will win
(40 of 46 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.23% – 96.69%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Heerenveen will win (13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Heerenveen is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Zwolle: Garcia MacNulty A.
(Red Card)
Schendelaar J.
(Injury)
Velanas O.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Zwolle: Lagsir S.
(Inactive)
van der Haar D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Heerenveen: Smans L.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zwolle won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 22:24. (average 1.1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zwolle won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.3:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Zwolle won against Heerenveen?
Zwolle has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Heerenveen won against Zwolle?
Heerenveen has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zwolle - Heerenveen were as follows:
09.10.2025
Heerenveen
-
Zwolle
4:1
16.02.2025
Zwolle
-
Heerenveen
1:1
06.10.2024
Heerenveen
-
Zwolle
1:1
03.03.2024
Heerenveen
-
Zwolle
2:0
13.01.2024
Zwolle
-
Heerenveen
2:2
Latest results of Heerenveen
Dutch Eredivisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSV | 15 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 46:17 | 29 | 40 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 41:18 | 23 | 34 |
| 3 | Nijmegen | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 39:25 | 14 | 27 |
| 4 | Ajax | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28:20 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 | AZ Alkmaar | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 28:24 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 | Groningen | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 21:21 | 0 | 23 |
| 7 | Utrecht | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 22 |
| 8 | Twente | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 23:20 | 3 | 21 |
| 9 | Sparta Rotterdam | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 17:28 | -11 | 20 |
| 10 | G.A. Eagles | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 25:26 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 | Sittard | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 18 |
| 12 | Heerenveen | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 17 |
| 13 | Excelsior | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 14:26 | -12 | 16 |
| 14 | Zwolle | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 19:36 | -17 | 16 |
| 15 | FC Volendam | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:27 | -8 | 14 |
| 16 | Heracles | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 23:37 | -14 | 14 |
| 17 | NAC Breda | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 15:24 | -9 | 12 |
| 18 | Telstar | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
Eredivisie (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Eerste Divisie
