Result
2:1
31/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (372/456) | 80% (307/383) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.39 | 1.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (372/456) | 80% (307/383) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (18/47) | 35% (16/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (115/154) | 52% (38/73) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/13) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.76 | 0.65 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 88% (14/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.78 | 3.39 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.39 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 20', Hosoya M. (Pen),
- 24', Iwasaki Y. ↓, Sato S. ↑,
- 31', Matsuoka D. 🟨,
- 34', 0 - 1, Kamijima T. ⚽, Nago S. (A),
- 36', Hashimoto Y. 🟨,
- 45+5', 1 - 1, Kubo T. ⚽, Koyamatsu T. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 62', Nara T. 🟨,
- 64', Nakagawa N. 🟨,
- 69', Koizumi Y. ↓, Watai M. ↑,
- 72', Ando T. 🟨,
- 75', Sato S. ↓, Zahedi S. ↑,
- 75', Hashimoto Y. ↓, Oda I. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Segawa Y. (Pen),
- 80', Segawa Y. ↓, Nakama H. ↑,
- 80', Hosoya M. ↓, Kakita Y. ↑,
- 80', Koyamatsu T. ↓, Diego ↑,
- 85', Konno K. ↓, Shigemi M. ↑,
- 85', Kamijima T. ↓, Shichi T. ↑,
- 90+1', Kubo T. ↓, Inukai T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Kashiwa Reysol
54.6% | Draw
26.1% | Avispa Fukuoka
19.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kashiwa Reysol's performance.Avispa Fukuoka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avispa Fukuoka than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.73 ↓
(1.91) |
3.58 ↑
(3.41) |
4.84 ↑
(4.17) |
6.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka?
Users Predictions:
Kashiwa Reysol will win
(15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kashiwa Reysol will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 2.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Kashiwa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Avispa Fukuoka has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Kashiwa is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Avispa Fukuoka: Hisashi J.
(Knee Injury)
Ikeda J.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Kashiwa Reysol won against Avispa Fukuoka?
Kashiwa Reysol has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avispa Fukuoka won against Kashiwa Reysol?
Avispa Fukuoka has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kashiwa Reysol - Avispa Fukuoka were as follows:
15.02.2025
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Kashiwa Reysol
0:1
03.11.2024
Avispa Fukuoka
-
Kashiwa Reysol
2:1
02.06.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Avispa Fukuoka
0:2
22.05.2024
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Avispa Fukuoka
2:1
23.09.2023
Kashiwa Reysol
-
Avispa Fukuoka
1:3
Latest results of Kashiwa Reysol
Latest results of Avispa Fukuoka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 61 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 13 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 41 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare ✔ | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30:56 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
