Once Caldas vs Independiente Santa Fe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

25/01/2026 at 20:20 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Estadio Palogrande (Manizales).

Primera A - Apertura - Round 2
Referee: Roldan W. (Col)
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.13	0.50
Ball possession
59%	41%
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
5	5
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
8	5
Passes
87% (446/512)	80% (285/355)
Yellow cards
2	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.13	0.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.12	0.88
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
5	5
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked shots
3	3
Shots inside the box
7	2
Shots outside the box
9	10
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
0	1
Corner kicks
8	5
Touches in opposition box
25	11
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free kicks
7	9
Passes
87% (446/512)	80% (285/355)
Long passes
58% (30/52)	51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
77% (113/147)	60% (65/109)
Crosses
30% (8/27)	21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.27	0.50
Throw ins
16	18
Fouls
9	7
Tackles
89% (8/9)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
25	28
Clearances
21	23
Interceptions
9	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
4	4
xGOT faced
0.88	1.12
Goals prevented
-0.12	0.12

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
58', Cardona J. 🟨,
62', Mafla C. 🟨,
63', Fernandez O. ↓, Fagundez F. ↑,
63', Velasquez Y. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
63', Beltran J. ↓, Quinones J. ↑,
72', Barrios M. ↓, Quinones D. ↑,
74', Rodallega H. ↓, Bustos N. ↑,
77', 0 - 1, Fagundez F. ⚽, Bustos N. (A),
82', Sanchez L. ↓, Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↑,
85', Palacios L. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
85', Murillo E. ↓, Zapata A. ↑,
87', Mosquera E. 🟨,
90', Quinones J. 🟨,
90+3', 1 - 1, Cuesta Rodriguez K. A. ⚽, Gomez P. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/bdz3epjm

Chances of winning

Once Caldas
42.2%

Draw
30.5%

Independiente Santa Fe
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

30.4%

27.7%

Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.22)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)	3.42 ↑ (3.35)	7.2% (7.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe?

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Once Caldas will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Once Caldas: 19% – 81%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +0.25 - Once Caldas (1.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Once Caldas (1.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Once Caldas (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Once Caldas (1.57) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Once Caldas (3.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Once Caldas (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Once Caldas (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Once Caldas (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Once Caldas (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Once Caldas will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Once Caldas (votes: 13 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 1.
Santa Fe is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Santa Fe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Once Caldas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Once Caldas won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:19. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Once Caldas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 0.9:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Independiente Santa Fe?

Once Caldas has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Once Caldas?

Independiente Santa Fe has won 7 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe were as follows:

01.09.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas 1:2

16.06.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas 1:0

05.06.2025 Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2

15.03.2025 Once Caldas - Independiente Santa Fe 0:1

08.11.2024 Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas 2:1

Latest results of Once Caldas

19.01.2026 Cúcuta Deportivo - Once Caldas 1:2 ✺

13.01.2026 América de Cali - Once Caldas 1:1 ✺

13.11.2025 Deportivo Cali - Once Caldas 1:1 ✺

09.11.2025 Once Caldas - Deportivo Pasto 1:0 ✺

29.10.2025 Millonarios - Once Caldas 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe

21.01.2026 Independiente Santa Fe - Junior Barranquilla 3:0 ✺

18.01.2026 Independiente Santa Fe - Rionegro Águilas 1:1 ✺

15.01.2026 Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe 1:1 ✺

08.12.2025 Independiente Santa Fe - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0 ✺

03.12.2025 Fortaleza CEIF - Independiente Santa Fe 1:2 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

2026

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Dep. Pasto	4	3	0	1	5:5	0	9
2	Bucaramanga	4	2	2	0	10:4	6	8
3	Deportes Tolima	4	2	2	0	6:2	4	8
4	America De Cali	4	2	1	1	6:3	3	7
5	Inter Bogotu00e1	4	2	1	1	5:6	-1	7
6	Atl. Nacional	2	2	0	0	6:1	5	6
7	Dep. Cali	4	2	0	2	7:4	3	6
8	Llaneros	4	1	3	0	5:3	2	6
9	Santa Fe	4	1	3	0	5:4	1	6
10	Once Caldas	4	1	3	0	5:4	1	6
11	Fortaleza	4	1	3	0	3:2	1	6
12	Junior	3	2	0	1	5:5	0	6
13	Aguilas	4	1	2	1	5:5	0	5
14	Jaguares de Cordoba	3	1	1	1	4:4	0	4
15	Cucuta	4	0	2	2	5:7	-2	2
16	Pereira	4	0	2	2	4:7	-3	2
17	Ind. Medellin	4	0	2	2	3:6	-3	2
18	Millonarios	4	0	1	3	3:6	-3	1
19	Chico	4	0	1	3	1:7	-6	1
20	Alianza	4	0	1	3	1:9	-8	1

Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )