Result
1:2
01/09/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 9
- Referee: Marquez C. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (328/406) | 79% (245/310) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (328/406) | 79% (245/310) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (21/48) | 45% (29/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (95/141) | 70% (70/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (4/23) | 0% (0/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (4/6) | 92% (11/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Barrios M. (Pen),
- 9', Torres D. 🟨,
- 23', Murillo E. 🟨,
- 30', Tamayo K. 🟨,
- 34', Garcia M. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
- 35', Murillo E. ↓, Lopez E. ↑,
- 42', Aguirre J. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Mosquera H. ⚽, Perlaza E. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Tamayo K. ↓, Castano J. ↑,
- 50', Perlaza E. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 2, Barrios M. ⚽, Zapata Ramirez J. A. (A),
- 56', Perlaza E. ↓, Tamayo S. ↑,
- 56', Rodriguez A. ↓, Rodallega H. ↑,
- 61', Cuesta Santos J. D. 🟨,
- 66', Sosa J. ↓, Scarpeta Silgado I. R. ↑,
- 67', Torres D. ↓, Moreno Y. ↑,
- 72', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
- 77', Zapata Ramirez J. A. ↓, Gomez P. ↑,
- 77', Zuleta M. ↓, Palacios L. ↑,
- 82', Sanchez L. ↓, Garcia Castillo A. ↑,
- 87', Mejia R. 🟨,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/evtushhw
Chances of winning
Independiente Santa Fe
41.1% | Draw
30.8% | Once Caldas
28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Santa Fe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Independiente Santa Fe's form might have worsened.Once Caldas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Once Caldas's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente Santa Fe than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Independiente Santa Fe, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Once Caldas than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Once Caldas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↑
(2.01) |
3.21 ↑
(3.03) |
3.44 ↓
(4.26) |
1.4%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Santa Fe will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Once Caldas will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Santa Fe (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 20).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 5.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Santa Fe may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- Santa Fe will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santa Fe won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Fe won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Santa Fe won against Once Caldas?
Independiente Santa Fe has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Once Caldas won against Independiente Santa Fe?
Once Caldas has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Santa Fe - Once Caldas were as follows:
16.06.2025
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Once Caldas
1:0
05.06.2025
Once Caldas
-
Independiente Santa Fe
1:2
15.03.2025
Once Caldas
-
Independiente Santa Fe
0:1
08.11.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Once Caldas
2:1
23.05.2024
Independiente Santa Fe
-
Once Caldas
1:0
Latest results of Independiente Santa Fe
Latest results of Once Caldas
Colombian Primera A Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bucaramanga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 3 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24:16 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Ind. Medellin | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:15 | 6 | 21 |
| 5 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20:15 | 5 | 20 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 14:9 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | Llaneros | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | Dep. Cali | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 17 |
| 9 | Santa Fe | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Alianza | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 16 |
| 12 | Pereira | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 14 |
| 13 | Millonarios | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 14 |
| 14 | America De Cali | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9:10 | -1 | 13 |
| 15 | Envigado | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 9:11 | -2 | 12 |
| 16 | Aguilas | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | U. Magdalena | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:20 | -8 | 11 |
| 18 | La Equidad | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 11 |
| 19 | Chico | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10:21 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )
