Grêmio Novorizontino vs Operário Ferroviario – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B
Result
3:0
12/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 32
  • Referee: Policarpo Bento A. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.502.14
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
63
Passes
82% (323/396)81% (353/435)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
2.502.14
xG on target (xGOT)
2.860.94
Total shots
1211
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
46
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
55
Hit the Woodwork
11
Big Chances
43
Corner Kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
27
Free Kicks
1114
Passes
82% (323/396)81% (353/435)
Long passes
55% (28/51)36% (26/73)
Passes in final third
62% (73/117)66% (65/98)
Crosses
9% (2/22)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.160.59
Throw-ins
1924
Fouls
1411
Tackles
50% (4/8)83% (10/12)
Duels won
3240
Clearances
1627
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
20
xGOT faced
0.942.86
Goals prevented
0.94-0.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Luis Oyama 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Patrick Brey ↓, Matheus Frizzo ↑,
  • 46', Nathan Fogaca ↓, Lucca ↑,
  • 46', Pablo Dyego ↓, Bruno Jose ↑,
  • 47', Patrick 🟨,
  • 49', Ademilson (Pen),
  • 64', 1 - 0, Lucca ⚽,
  • 67', Rodrigo Rodrigues ↓, Kleiton ↑,
  • 67', Ademilson ↓, Leo Gaucho ↑,
  • 67', Cristiano ↓, Gabriel Feliciano ↑,
  • 72', Giraldo J. ↓, Vitor Pernambuco ↑,
  • 74', Gabriel Feliciano 🟨,
  • 76', 2 - 0, Lucca ⚽, Cesar Martins (A),
  • 81', Luis Oyama ↓, Jean Irmer ↑,
  • 82', Zuluaga J. 🟨,
  • 83', Tavinho ↓, Ruiz O. ↑,
  • 85', Zuluaga J. ↓, Jean Lucas ↑,
  • 87', 3 - 0, Jean Irmer ⚽, Lucca (A),
  • 90', Neto Paraiba 🟨,
  • 90+3', Cesar Martins 🟨,

Chances of winning


Grêmio Novorizontino
49.1%		Draw
30.5%		Operário Ferroviario
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 29.8% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2% 28.8% 19.1%

Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.9 ↑
(1.83)		 3.08 ↓
(3.1)		 4.58 ↓
(4.7)		 6.9%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Operário PR will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 54% – 99.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Novorizontino (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 13).
    • Novorizontino is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Operário PR is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Operário PR may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Novorizontino is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Novorizontino: Dantas (Yellow Cards) Marlon (Inactive) Nathan Fogaca (Injury) Rai Ramos (Inactive) Renato Palm (Knee Injury) Robson (Red Card) Vitinho (Inactive) Waguininho (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Operário PR: Brenno Pereira (Inactive) Filipe Claudino (Injury) Pedro Vilhena (Yellow Cards) Thales Oleques (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Novorizontino: Caio Dantas (Inactive) Romulo (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Operário PR: Leo Cittadini (Injury) Marcos Paulo (Muscle Injury) Talles (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novorizontino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Novorizontino won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario were as follows:
    23.06.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino 2:0
    09.11.2024 Grêmio Novorizontino - Operário Ferroviario 0:1
    23.07.2024 Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:0
    06.11.2022 Operário Ferroviario - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:3
    Latest results of Grêmio Novorizontino
    08.10.2025 Cuiabá - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1 ✺
    04.10.2025 Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino 1:0 ✺
    28.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Vila Nova 1:1 ✺
    23.09.2025 Paysandu - Grêmio Novorizontino 0:1 ✺
    19.09.2025 Grêmio Novorizontino - Athletic Club 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Operário Ferroviario
    08.10.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Athletic Club 1:4 ✺
    05.10.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Remo 0:1 ✺
    27.09.2025 Athletico Paranaense - Operário Ferroviario 1:0 ✺
    24.09.2025 Operário Ferroviario - Amazonas 2:1 ✺
    18.09.2025 Botafogo SP - Operário Ferroviario 1:1 ✺
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba381911839:231668
    2Athletico-PR381981153:431065
    3Chapecoense-SC381881252:351762
    4Remo381614851:391262
    5Criciuma3817101147:331461
    6Goias3817101142:37561
    7Novorizontino381515843:321160
    8CRB381681445:40556
    9Avai3814141050:401056
    10Cuiaba3814121243:44-154
    11Atletico GO3813131239:38152
    12Operario-PR3812121440:44-448
    13Vila Nova FC3811141340:44-447
    14America MG3812101641:44-346
    15Athletic Club381281843:53-1044
    16Botafogo SP3810121632:52-2042
    17Ferroviaria388161443:52-940
    18Amazonas388121838:55-1736
    19Volta Redonda388121826:43-1736
    20Paysandu PA385132036:52-1628

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