Willem II vs VVV-Venlo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
2:1
23/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 24
  • Referee: de Beuckelaer A. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.420.88
Ball possession
48%52%
Total shots
258
Shots on target
92
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
81
Passes
82% (333/407)78% (351/450)
Yellow cards
11
Expected goals (xG)
2.420.88
xG on target (xGOT)
1.930.84
Total shots
258
Shots on target
92
Shots off target
103
Blocked shots
63
Shots inside the box
176
Shots outside the box
82
Hit the woodwork
01
Big chances
52
Corner kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
3813
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
31
Free kicks
1213
Passes
82% (333/407)78% (351/450)
Long passes
53% (34/64)45% (23/51)
Passes in final third
71% (90/127)63% (64/101)
Crosses
37% (10/27)7% (1/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.550.46
Throw ins
1220
Fouls
1312
Tackles
40% (6/15)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
2429
Interceptions
1310
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
17
xGOT faced
0.841.93
Goals prevented
-0.16-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', Davis M. ↓, Sbai Y. ↑,
  • 35', 1 - 0, Doodeman N. ⚽, Et Taibi A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 63', Verheydt T. ↓, Baartmans S. ↑,
  • 69', Wehmeyer L. ↓, Matoug N. ↑,
  • 69', Kromah L. ↓, Ait Mouhou N. ↑,
  • 71', Haen D. 🟨,
  • 75', Et Taibi A. ↓, Ciranni A. ↑,
  • 75', El Allouchi M. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,
  • 77', van Oorschot D. ↓, Kluskens J. ↑,
  • 77', Sbai Y. ↓, van Zijl B. ↑,
  • 79', 1 - 1, Zandbergen D. ⚽, van Zijl B. (A),
  • 84', Doodeman N. ↓, Culum A. ↑,
  • 84', Besselink G. ↓, van Aalst U. ↑,
  • 88', 2 - 1, Behounek R. ⚽, Tjoe a On N. (A),
  • 89', Blancquart G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Willem II
50.5%		Draw
24.3%		VVV-Venlo
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.9% 24.2% 23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2% 24.8% 23.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Willem II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • VVV-Venlo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Willem II than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVV-Venlo than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
    •

    Willem II - VVV-Venlo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.85 ↑
    (1.75)    		 3.8 ↑
    (3.75)    		 3.68 ↓
    (3.8)    		 7.6%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Willem II - VVV-Venlo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Willem II will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Venlo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Willem II: 25.1% – 83.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.25 - Venlo (2.22) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.75 - Venlo (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.5 - Venlo (1.93) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Venlo (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • In this match, Willem II is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Willem II: Lachkar A. (Groin Injury) Mathieu D. (Knee Injury) van Berkel N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Venlo: Timber D. (Knee Injury) Triep J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Willem II: Schuurman J. (Knock)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Willem II won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Willem II won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 1.5:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Willem II - VVV-Venlo were as follows:
    21.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - Willem II 0:2
    23.03.2024 Willem II - VVV-Venlo 2:0
    17.11.2023 VVV-Venlo - Willem II 1:3
    27.05.2023 Willem II - VVV-Venlo 2:2
    23.05.2023 VVV-Venlo - Willem II 3:2
    Latest results of Willem II
    18.01.2026 FC Eindhoven - Willem II 0:2 ✺
    21.12.2025 Helmond Sport - Willem II 2:2 ✺
    18.12.2025 Willem II - Sparta Rotterdam 1:5 ✺
    12.12.2025 Willem II - Cambuur 0:1 ✺
    06.12.2025 Willem II - Dordrecht 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of VVV-Venlo
    16.01.2026 VVV-Venlo - Jong AZ Alkmaar 1:3 ✺
    19.12.2025 VVV-Venlo - Dordrecht 3:1 ✺
    12.12.2025 Den Bosch - VVV-Venlo 0:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Waalwijk - VVV-Venlo 1:2 ✺
    28.11.2025 VVV-Venlo - ADO Den Haag 0:3 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag ✔ 36272782:354783
    2Cambuur ✔ 36229572:442875
    3Willem II361881054:411362
    4De Graafschap361791071:561560
    5Jong PSV361751465:59656
    6Almere City361741573:591455
    7Waalwijk3615101166:531355
    8Roda3614121057:50754
    9Den Bosch351481361:61050
    10Dordrecht3612111346:50-447
    11Eindhoven FC361351850:66-1644
    12Vitesse3615101163:531043
    13Venlo361261847:55-842
    14FC Emmen361181755:70-1541
    15Jong Utrecht351091652:61-939
    16Oss369111648:62-1438
    17Jong AZ361142159:73-1437
    18Maastricht369101741:71-3037
    19Helmond36991840:61-2136
    20Jong Ajax36882049:71-2232

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
    Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie
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