Result
3:2
24/01/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 28
- Referee: Drysdale D. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.22 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (185/289) | 65% (153/237) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.28 | 1.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.11 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 64% (185/289) | 65% (153/237) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 24% (19/80) | 38% (23/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 46% (46/99) | 58% (69/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 11% (1/9) | 19% (7/37) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.07 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 29 | 33 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 79% (11/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 59 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
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| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 3.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.55 | 0.11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 6', Collinge D. 🟨,
- 11', 0 - 1, Pett T. ⚽,
- 36', 1 - 1, Glover R. ⚽,
- 42', Daniels D. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 1, Tshimanga K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Jaiyesimi D. ↓, Shelton M. ↑,
- 60', Pett T. ↓, Fondop-Talum M. ↑,
- 64', Tavares N. 🟥,
- 66', Hartigan A. ↓, Kizzi J. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 2, Stevens J. ⚽, Garner J. (A),
- 71', Slicker C. 🟨,
- 73', Chinedu P. ↓, Smith K. ↑,
- 81', Drummond K. ↓, Hawkes J. ↑,
- 83', Kanu I. ↓, Hawkins O. ↑,
- 87', 3 - 2, Tshimanga K. ⚽,
- 89', Stevens J. ↓, Taylor K. ↑,
- 89', Garner J. ↓, Quigley J. ↑,
- 90+4', Smith K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Barnet 49.5% | Draw 26.2% | Oldham Athletic 24.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Barnet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barnet than the current prediction. (+4.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Barnet - Oldham Athletic Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↑ (1.78) |
3.58 ↑ (3.55) |
3.86 ↓ (4.25) |
6.6% (7.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Barnet - Oldham Athletic?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Barnet will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Oldham will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Barnet: 9.6% – 70.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Oldham (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 13 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 1.
- Barnet has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Oldham is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Barnet is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Barnet: Kizzi J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Oldham: Conlon T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Barnet: Osadebe E.
(Inactive)
Stead C.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Oldham: Mellon M.
(Inactive)
Stevens J.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Barnet won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Barnet won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Barnet won against Oldham Athletic?
Barnet has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Oldham Athletic won against Barnet?
Oldham Athletic has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Barnet - Oldham Athletic were as follows:
27.09.2025
Oldham Athletic
-
Barnet
1:1
01.03.2025
Oldham Athletic
-
Barnet
0:3
09.11.2024
Barnet
-
Oldham Athletic
0:0
23.01.2024
Oldham Athletic
-
Barnet
2:0
22.11.2023
Barnet
-
Oldham Athletic
1:4
Latest results of Oldham Athletic
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 35 | 19 | 12 | 4 | 58:35 | 23 | 69 |
| 2 | Cambridge Utd | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 49:27 | 22 | 64 |
| 3 | MK Dons | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 63:34 | 29 | 62 |
| 4 | Swindon | 35 | 19 | 5 | 11 | 57:41 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:33 | 19 | 61 |
| 6 | Chesterfield | 35 | 14 | 14 | 7 | 55:44 | 11 | 56 |
| 7 | Crewe | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 52:41 | 11 | 56 |
| 8 | Grimsby | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 49:38 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Salford | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 55 |
| 10 | Barnet | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 53 |
| 11 | Walsall | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 42:37 | 5 | 53 |
| 12 | Colchester | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 48:38 | 10 | 49 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 44:42 | 2 | 48 |
| 14 | Oldham | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 36:30 | 6 | 46 |
| 15 | Accrington | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 37:36 | 1 | 46 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 41:41 | 0 | 44 |
| 17 | Shrewsbury | 35 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 34:54 | -20 | 38 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 33 | 10 | 6 | 17 | 34:55 | -21 | 36 |
| 19 | Tranmere | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 47:62 | -15 | 35 |
| 20 | Bristol Rovers | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 33:57 | -24 | 31 |
| 21 | Crawley | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 33:56 | -23 | 28 |
| 22 | Newport | 35 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 35:61 | -26 | 28 |
| 23 | Barrow | 33 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 33:51 | -18 | 27 |
| 24 | Harrogate | 35 | 6 | 9 | 20 | 25:52 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League