Result
1:3
19/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 30
- Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One, FOX Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (438/502) | 84% (411/489) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 2.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (438/502) | 84% (411/489) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (22/42) | 40% (18/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (76/101) | 68% (82/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.06 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 33 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.93 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.07 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', Mboula U. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Gory A. ⚽,
- 30', Diallo H. ↓, Kvilitaia G. ↑,
- 31', 1 - 1, Kvilitaia G. ⚽, Sane S. (A),
- 38', Kouao K. 🟨,
- 45+1', Kebbal I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 57', Mboula U. ↓, Sarr B. ↑,
- 62', Gory A. 🟨,
- 66', Gory A. ↓, Marchetti V. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Otavio ⚽, Immobile C. (A),
- 74', Yegbe T. ↓, Pandore J. ↑,
- 75', Mbala N. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
- 75', Deminguet J. ↓, Stambouli B. ↑,
- 77', Immobile C. ↓, Geubbels W. ↑,
- 77', Traore H. ↓, Camara A. ↑,
- 88', Koleosho L. ↓, Cafaro M. ↑,
- 88', De Smet T. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
- 89', 1 - 3, Kebbal I. ⚽, Coppola D. (A),
Chances of winning
Metz
30.8% | Draw
27.1% | Paris FC
42.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Paris FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris FC than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Metz - Paris FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.13 ↓
(3.32) |
3.53 ↑
(3.4) |
2.27 ↑
(2.16) |
4.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Metz - Paris FC?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). Paris FC will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 40.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paris FC: 24.7% – 66.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 3.
- Recent form of Metz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Paris FC is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Paris FC might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Metz: Ba O.
(Injury)
Colin M.
(Injury)
Mangondo J.
(Knee Injury)
Munongo B.
(Knee Injury)
Traore B.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Paris FC: Alakouch S.
(Injury)
Hamel P.
(Calf Injury)
Krasso J.
(Knee Injury)
Lees-Melou P.
(Yellow Cards)
Riou R.
(Injury)
Simon M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Metz: Abuashvili G.
(Inactive)
Guerti I.
(Injury)
Sarr B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Paris FC: Cafaro M.
(Inactive)
De Smet T.
(Inactive)
Kolodziejczak T.
(Inactive)
Lopez J.
(Back Injury)
Marchetti V.
(Lower Back Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Metz won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:13. (average 2.2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 2.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Paris FC?
Metz has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris FC won against Metz?
Paris FC has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Paris FC were as follows:
31.08.2025
Paris FC
-
Metz
3:2
18.01.2025
Metz
-
Paris FC
3:1
14.09.2024
Paris FC
-
Metz
1:2
12.11.2022
Paris FC
-
Metz
1:4
Latest results of Paris FC
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 30 | 22 | 3 | 5 | 68:25 | 43 | 69 |
| 2 | Lens | 30 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 60:32 | 28 | 63 |
| 3 | Lyon | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 48:32 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Lille | 31 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 50:34 | 16 | 57 |
| 5 | Rennes | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 56 |
| 6 | Marseille | 31 | 16 | 5 | 10 | 59:41 | 18 | 53 |
| 7 | Monaco | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 54:47 | 7 | 51 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 49:39 | 10 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 31 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 42:47 | -5 | 41 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 43:44 | -1 | 38 |
| 11 | Brest | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41:47 | -6 | 38 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 31 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 40:47 | -7 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 31 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 29:42 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Nice | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35:57 | -22 | 30 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 31 | 5 | 10 | 16 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Nantes | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 26:51 | -25 | 20 |
| 18 | Metz | 31 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 31:70 | -39 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
