Pogoń Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/12/2025 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin).

Ekstraklasa - Round 18
Referee: Lasyk P. (Pol)
Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.89	0.83
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
7	2
Corner Kicks
9	7
Passes
76% (227/300)	80% (323/402)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.89	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.58	1.52
Total shots
15	10
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
8	4
Blocked Shots
3	1
Shots inside the Box
9	3
Shots outside the Box
6	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
7	2
Corner Kicks
9	7
Touches in opposition box
35	11
Accurate through passes
2	1
Offsides
7	2
Free Kicks
15	17
Passes
76% (227/300)	80% (323/402)
Long passes
40% (19/47)	31% (14/45)
Passes in final third
68% (97/142)	66% (59/89)
Crosses
16% (4/25)	11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.03	0.81
Throw-ins
14	12
Fouls
17	15
Tackles
85% (11/13)	57% (8/14)
Duels won
53	57
Clearances
27	28
Interceptions
9	8
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.52	1.58
Goals prevented
-0.48	-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
23', Mendy B. 🟨,
30', Alves R. 🟨,
30', Keramitsis D. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Greenwood S. ⚽,
40', 2 - 0, Mukairu P. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
52', Greenwood S. 🟨,
54', 2 - 1, Balde E. ⚽, Grzesik J. (A),
59', Kaput M. ↓, Donis C. ↑,
59', Lopes V. ↓, Baro R. ↑,
67', Pozo J. ↓, Przyborek A. ↑,
67', Maurides ↓, Tapsoba A. ↑,
67', Balde E. ↓, Wilson-Esbrand J. ↑,
69', Loncar D. 🟨,
75', Greenwood S. ↓, Ndiaye M. ↑,
76', 2 - 2, Tapsoba A. ⚽, Wilson-Esbrand J. (A),
82', Grzesik J. 🟨,
83', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
86', Mukairu P. ↓, Juwara M. ↑,
86', Koutris L. ↓, Smolinski K. ↑,
90', Wolski R. ↓, Leandro ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Pogoń Szczecin
45.4%

Draw
26.1%

Radomiak Radom
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.2%

28.4%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

26.8%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Szczecin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Radomiak Radom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pogoń Szczecin than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Radomiak Radom than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.93)	3.61 ↑ (3.14)	3.31 ↓ (3.52)	6.1% (12.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Users Predictions: Pogoń Szczecin will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Pogoń Szczecin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 1.
Pogoń Szczecin is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Radomiak is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Radomiak may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Pogoń Szczecin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Pogoń Szczecin: Leo Borges (Foot Injury)
There will not play in Radomiak: Molendowski M. (Inactive)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Pogoń Szczecin won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Pogoń Szczecin won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Pogoń Szczecin won against Radomiak Radom?

Pogoń Szczecin has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Radomiak Radom won against Pogoń Szczecin?

Radomiak Radom has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom were as follows:

20.07.2025 Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin 5:1

10.05.2025 Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0

08.11.2024 Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom 0:1

16.02.2024 Radomiak Radom - Pogoń Szczecin 0:4

13.08.2023 Pogoń Szczecin - Radomiak Radom 0:2

Latest results of Pogoń Szczecin

02.12.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Widzew Łódź 0:1 ✺

29.11.2025 GKS Katowice - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0 ✺

24.11.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Zagłębie Lubin 5:1 ✺

09.11.2025 Pogoń Szczecin - Jagiellonia Białystok 1:2 ✺

03.11.2025 Wisła Płock - Pogoń Szczecin 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Radomiak Radom

28.11.2025 Radomiak Radom - Górnik Zabrze 4:0 ✺

23.11.2025 Lech Poznań - Radomiak Radom 4:1 ✺

07.11.2025 Radomiak Radom - Cracovia 3:0 ✺

03.11.2025 Lechia Gdańsk - Radomiak Radom 1:2 ✺

27.10.2025 Radomiak Radom - Wisła Płock 1:1 ✺

Polish Ekstraklasa Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Jagiellonia	22	10	8	4	39:26	13	38
2	Zaglebie	23	10	8	5	37:27	10	38
3	Lech Poznan	23	10	8	5	40:34	6	38
4	Gornik Zabrze	23	10	4	9	33:31	2	34
5	Rakow	23	10	4	9	31:29	2	34
6	Cracovia	23	8	9	6	29:25	4	33
7	Wisla Plock	23	8	9	6	24:20	4	33
8	Pogon Szczecin	23	9	4	10	33:35	-2	31
9	Korona Kielce	23	8	6	9	27:26	1	30
10	GKS Katowice	22	9	3	10	31:32	-1	30
11	Motor Lublin	23	7	9	7	32:37	-5	30
12	Radomiak Radom	22	7	8	7	37:34	3	29
13	Piast Gliwice	23	8	5	10	26:28	-2	29
14	Lechia Gdansk	23	9	6	8	46:45	1	28
15	Arka Gdynia	22	7	5	10	21:38	-17	26
16	Legia	23	5	10	8	27:29	-2	25
17	Widzew Lodz	23	7	3	13	29:33	-4	24
18	Termalica B-B	23	5	7	11	27:40	-13	22

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