Result
29/04/2023 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV |
Chances of winning
Marítimo
39.7% | Draw
29.1% | Vitoria Guimarães
31.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marítimo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.39 ↓
(2.65) |
3.24 ↑
(3.15) |
3.02 ↑
(2.65) |
5.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
Marítimo will win
(12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation) and 7).
- Marítimo has the most likely position - 16 (69.54%), project points - 28, currently - 22, a chance of relegated (41%), not chance of qualify for ucl.
- Guimarães has the most likely position - 6 (23.69%), project points - 48, currently - 41, not chance of relegated, not chance of qualify for ucl.
- This event has quality 46, small importance 17, match rating 32. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 0.
- Recent matches Marítimo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Guimarães has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Marítimo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 23 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 22-26.
- Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 15-11.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Marítimo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Marítimo?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marítimo - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
13.11.2022
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Marítimo
1:0
Latest results of Marítimo
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 59:14 | 45 | 76 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 73:17 | 56 | 71 |
| 3 | Benfica | 29 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 61:18 | 43 | 69 |
| 4 | Braga | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 55:27 | 28 | 52 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 36:25 | 11 | 47 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 44:30 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | Estoril | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 51:50 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
| 10 | Alverca | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:48 | -17 | 33 |
| 12 | Arouca | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 37:58 | -21 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31:41 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:52 | -24 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 21:46 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 | AFS | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 19:62 | -43 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
