Result
2:2
23/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 24
- Referee: Kuipers J. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 2.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (360/477) | 76% (325/426) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.88 | 2.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 2.94 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (360/477) | 76% (325/426) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (42/99) | 47% (35/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (64/105) | 60% (61/101) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (8/24) | 67% (2/3) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.94 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 43% (13/30) | 67% (4/6) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 70 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.94 | 1.11 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.94 | -0.89 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, den Boggende T. ⚽,
- 12', Eppink M. ↓, Eversen J. ↑,
- 44', Tran L. M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Klaasen R. ↓, El Basri N. ↑,
- 47', 0 - 2, El Arguioui R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 61', van Ommeren J. ↓, Plantinga V. ↑,
- 61', Agougil O. ↓, Dundas N. ↑,
- 61', El Arguioui R. ↓, Menzo B. ↑,
- 65', Tran L. M. ↓, Sy K. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 2, Braken S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 81', van der Wegen S. 🟨,
- 83', Kleinen M. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 83', Asante D. ↓, Kuipers M. ↑,
- 85', Dundas N. ↓, Ebite S. ↑,
- 90+1', Zaian A. ↓, Francis S. ↑,
- 90+2', van der Wegen S. 🟨,
- 90+6', 2 - 2, Breugelmans I. ⚽, Silva Timas I. (A),
Chances of winning
MVV Maastricht
37.7% | Draw
24% | Jong Utrecht
38.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)Jong Utrecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Utrecht than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
MVV Maastricht - Jong Utrecht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.49 ↓
(2.5) |
3.86 ↑
(3.37) |
2.43 ↓
(2.5) |
7.2%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Jong Utrecht?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Jong Utrecht will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jong Utrecht: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Jong Utrecht (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Jong Utrecht (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Jong Utrecht (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 2.
- Maastricht is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Jong Utrecht has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Jong Utrecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Maastricht: Coomans W.
(Yellow Cards)
Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Jong Utrecht: Iqbal Z.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.8:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:11. (average 2.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Jong Utrecht?
MVV Maastricht has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Jong Utrecht won against MVV Maastricht?
Jong Utrecht has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Jong Utrecht were as follows:
17.10.2025
Jong Utrecht
-
MVV Maastricht
3:1
18.04.2025
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong Utrecht
5:0
04.11.2024
Jong Utrecht
-
MVV Maastricht
4:3
19.01.2024
MVV Maastricht
-
Jong Utrecht
3:0
30.10.2023
Jong Utrecht
-
MVV Maastricht
1:1
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Latest results of Jong Utrecht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 69:30 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 55:29 | 26 | 57 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 52:41 | 11 | 48 |
| 4 | Jong PSV | 28 | 14 | 4 | 10 | 58:52 | 6 | 46 |
| 5 | Roda | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 47:41 | 6 | 45 |
| 6 | Willem II | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 38:36 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Dordrecht | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 40 |
| 8 | Almere City | 27 | 12 | 3 | 12 | 55:45 | 10 | 39 |
| 9 | Waalwijk | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 45:43 | 2 | 38 |
| 10 | Den Bosch | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 49:51 | -2 | 38 |
| 11 | Venlo | 28 | 11 | 4 | 13 | 38:42 | -4 | 37 |
| 12 | Eindhoven FC | 28 | 10 | 4 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 34 |
| 13 | Jong Utrecht | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 45:48 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Helmond | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 35:48 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Emmen | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 30 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 30 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 32:55 | -23 | 30 |
| 18 | Oss | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 27 |
| 19 | Vitesse | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 41:45 | -4 | 24 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
