Dallas Stars vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
18/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+, MTV Sub, MTV Urheilu 2, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Vinter
germanyGermanySky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Vinter
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+, Victory+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2026
Shots off target
616
Shooting PCT
5% (1/20)15.38% (4/26)
Blocked shots
1412
Goalkeeper Saves
2219
Saves PCT
88% (22/25)95% (19/20)
Penalties
33
PIM
66
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)100% (3/3)
Hits
1521
Faceoffs Won
2919
Faceoffs %
60.4239.58
Giveaways
1317
Takeaways
36
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 04:00, 1 - 0, Back O. (G), Lundkvist N. (A), Bourque M. (A2)
  • 05:24, Cernak E. (2 min),
  • 08:04, 1 - 1, James D. (G), Guentzel J. (A), D'Astous C. (A2)
  • 18:04, Hryckowian J. (2 min),
  • 18:04, Carlile D. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 2)
  • 06:16, Robertson J. (2 min),
  • 11:04, 1 - 2, Hagel B. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 14:20, Cernak E. (2 min),
  • 18:50, 1 - 3, Guentzel J. (G), James D. (A), Bjorkstrand O. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 07:26, Blackwell C. (2 min),
  • 17:59, 1 - 4, Holmberg P. (G), Gourde Y. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Dallas Stars
36.5%
Draw
23%
Tampa Bay Lightning
40.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 23.3% 38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 21.4% 41.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Dallas Stars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dallas Stars than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+1%)
  • Dallas Stars - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.52)
    4.17
    (4.16)
    2.36
    (2.54)
    4.9%
    (3.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Dallas Stars - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 15.2%64.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Dallas (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 2.
    • Recent performances by Dallas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tampa Bay is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Dallas: Bichsel L. (Lower-Body Injury) Heiskanen M. (Personal Reasons) Seguin T. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Elbow Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) Point B. (Lower-Body Injury) Sabourin S. (Head Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: McDonagh R. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 44:59. (average 2.2:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 24:25. (average 2.4:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Dallas Stars - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    30.10.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Dallas Stars 2:1
    20.03.2025 Dallas Stars - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:3
    23.11.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Dallas Stars 2:4
    04.12.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Dallas Stars 4:0
    02.12.2023 Dallas Stars - Tampa Bay Lightning 8:1
    Latest results of Dallas Stars
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche60383910230:14991
    2Dallas Stars61317914212:16585
    3Minnesota Wild6223131016209:18082
    4Vegas Golden Knights622181419205:19772
    5Anaheim Ducks612014324205:21271
    6Utah Mammoth62267425196:16970
    7Edmonton Oilers62228824220:21068
    8Seattle Kraken61236923173:17967
    9San Jose Sharks591812425186:20764
    10Los Angeles Kings611691422160:18264
    11Nashville Predators62217826185:21364
    12Winnipeg Jets612141026175:18760
    13Chicago Blackhawks611851028163:19556
    14St. Louis Blues61221929159:21055
    15Calgary Flames61204730150:18555
    16Vancouver Canucks61126736157:23043


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes612910616214:17584
    2Tampa Bay Lightning60299418211:16280
    3Buffalo Sabres62316619214:18480
    4Detroit Red Wings622411720185:18777
    5Montreal Canadiens602211918213:20075
    6Pittsburgh Penguins612741317205:18075
    7New York Islanders632312523186:18275
    8Boston Bruins61268522205:19473
    9Columbus Blue Jackets612210821196:19372
    10Ottawa Senators61246922205:19469
    11Washington Capitals63265725199:18969
    12Philadelphia Flyers611991122177:19167
    13Toronto Maple Leafs631981125200:22165
    14New Jersey Devils622011229160:18664
    15Florida Panthers62246329188:20963
    16New York Rangers61159829166:19256

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )