Result
3:2 penalties
16/01/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 21 | 36 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 27 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 9.52% (2/21) | 5.56% (2/36) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 34 | 19 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.44% (34/36) | 90.48% (19/21) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 30 | 35 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.15 | 53.85 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 17:03, 1 - 0, Neighbours J. (G), Kyrou J. (A), Fowler C. (A2)
- 17:33, 2 - 0, Bjugstad N. (G), Buchnevich P. (A),
- 18:40, Goncalves G. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 08:03, Toropchenko A. (2 min),
- 09:51, Walker N. (2 min),
- 09:59, 2 - 1, Kucherov N. (G), Hagel B. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
- 11:01, 2 - 2, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
- 13:05, Guentzel J. (2 min),
- 19:30, Schenn B. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 0)
- 1, Goncalves G. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Neighbours J. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Guentzel J. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Kyrou J. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Kucherov N. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
St. Louis Blues
25.7% | Draw
22.6% | Tampa Bay Lightning
51.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Louis Blues's form might have worsened.Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Lightning's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis Blues than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Louis Blues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Lightning, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
St. Louis Blues - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.64 ↑
(3.04) |
4.22 ↑
(4.18) |
1.86 ↓
(2.04) |
4.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for St. Louis Blues - Tampa Bay Lightning?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. St. Louis will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 2.
- In recent matches, St. Louis has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tampa Bay is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
- Tampa Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in St. Louis: Holloway D.
(Ankle Injury)
Joseph M.
(Elbow Injury)
Krug T.
(Ankle Injury)
Suter P.
(Ankle Injury)
Thomas R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V.
(Elbow Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury)
McDonagh R.
(Injury)
Point B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sabourin S.
(Head Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Louis: Broberg P.
(Concussion)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 51:56. (average 2.6:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 3.1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis Blues won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
St. Louis Blues has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against St. Louis Blues?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis Blues - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
22.12.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
St. Louis Blues
4:1
19.12.2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
St. Louis Blues
3:1
05.11.2024
St. Louis Blues
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
3:2
19.12.2023
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
St. Louis Blues
6:1
14.11.2023
St. Louis Blues
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
5:0
Latest results of St. Louis Blues
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche ✔ | 81 | 47 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 300:203 | 119 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars ✔ | 82 | 38 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 279:226 | 112 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild ✔ | 82 | 31 | 15 | 12 | 24 | 272:240 | 104 |
| 4 | Vegas Golden Knights ✔ | 82 | 30 | 9 | 17 | 26 | 265:250 | 95 |
| 5 | Utah Mammoth ✔ | 81 | 33 | 10 | 6 | 32 | 265:235 | 92 |
| 6 | Edmonton Oilers ✔ | 81 | 31 | 9 | 11 | 30 | 276:268 | 91 |
| 7 | Anaheim Ducks ✔ | 81 | 25 | 17 | 6 | 33 | 268:284 | 90 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Kings ✔ | 81 | 22 | 13 | 20 | 26 | 224:244 | 90 |
| 9 | Nashville Predators | 81 | 28 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 243:264 | 86 |
| 10 | San Jose Sharks | 81 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 35 | 245:291 | 84 |
| 11 | St. Louis Blues | 81 | 32 | 4 | 12 | 33 | 226:255 | 84 |
| 12 | Winnipeg Jets | 81 | 28 | 7 | 12 | 34 | 230:254 | 82 |
| 13 | Seattle Kraken | 81 | 26 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 226:261 | 79 |
| 14 | Calgary Flames | 81 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 39 | 209:258 | 75 |
| 15 | Chicago Blackhawks | 82 | 22 | 7 | 14 | 39 | 213:275 | 72 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 81 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 48 | 215:310 | 58 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes ✔ | 82 | 39 | 14 | 7 | 22 | 296:240 | 113 |
| 2 | Buffalo Sabres ✔ | 82 | 42 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 288:241 | 109 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Lightning ✔ | 82 | 40 | 10 | 6 | 26 | 290:231 | 106 |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens ✔ | 82 | 34 | 14 | 10 | 24 | 283:256 | 106 |
| 5 | Boston Bruins ✔ | 82 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 27 | 272:250 | 100 |
| 6 | Ottawa Senators ✔ | 82 | 38 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 278:246 | 99 |
| 7 | Pittsburgh Penguins ✔ | 82 | 34 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 293:268 | 98 |
| 8 | Philadelphia Flyers ✔ | 82 | 27 | 16 | 12 | 27 | 250:243 | 98 |
| 9 | Washington Capitals | 82 | 37 | 6 | 9 | 30 | 263:244 | 95 |
| 10 | Detroit Red Wings | 82 | 30 | 11 | 10 | 31 | 241:258 | 92 |
| 11 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 82 | 28 | 12 | 12 | 30 | 253:253 | 92 |
| 12 | New York Islanders | 82 | 29 | 14 | 5 | 34 | 233:241 | 91 |
| 13 | New Jersey Devils | 82 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 37 | 230:254 | 87 |
| 14 | Florida Panthers | 82 | 32 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 251:276 | 84 |
| 15 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 82 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 36 | 253:299 | 78 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 82 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 39 | 238:250 | 77 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Minnesota Wild is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Vegas Golden Knights is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Utah Mammoth is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Edmonton Oilers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Anaheim Ducks is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Los Angeles Kings is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Carolina Hurricanes is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Buffalo Sabres is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Tampa Bay Lightning is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Montreal Canadiens is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Boston Bruins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Ottawa Senators is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh Penguins is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Philadelphia Flyers is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
