Result
3:2 penalties
16/01/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 21 | 36 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 27 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 9.52% (2/21) | 5.56% (2/36) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 34 | 19 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 94.44% (34/36) | 90.48% (19/21) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 30 | 35 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.15 | 53.85 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 17:03, 1 - 0, Neighbours J. (G), Kyrou J. (A), Fowler C. (A2)
- 17:33, 2 - 0, Bjugstad N. (G), Buchnevich P. (A),
- 18:40, Goncalves G. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 08:03, Toropchenko A. (2 min),
- 09:51, Walker N. (2 min),
- 09:59, 2 - 1, Kucherov N. (G), Hagel B. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
- 11:01, 2 - 2, Bjorkstrand O. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
- 13:05, Guentzel J. (2 min),
- 19:30, Schenn B. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 0)
- 1, Goncalves G. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Neighbours J. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Guentzel J. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Kyrou J. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Kucherov N. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
St. Louis Blues
25.7% | Draw
22.6% | Tampa Bay Lightning
51.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis Blues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Louis Blues's form might have worsened.Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tampa Bay Lightning's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis Blues than the current prediction. (+6.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Louis Blues, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tampa Bay Lightning, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
St. Louis Blues - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.64 ↑
(3.04) |
4.22 ↑
(4.18) |
1.86 ↓
(2.04) |
4.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for St. Louis Blues - Tampa Bay Lightning?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. St. Louis will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 2.
- In recent matches, St. Louis has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tampa Bay is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
- Tampa Bay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in St. Louis: Holloway D.
(Ankle Injury)
Joseph M.
(Elbow Injury)
Krug T.
(Ankle Injury)
Suter P.
(Ankle Injury)
Thomas R.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V.
(Elbow Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury)
McDonagh R.
(Injury)
Point B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Sabourin S.
(Head Injury)
- There are questionable in St. Louis: Broberg P.
(Concussion)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, St. Louis won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 51:56. (average 2.6:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:20. (average 3.1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Louis Blues won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
St. Louis Blues has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against St. Louis Blues?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Louis Blues - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
22.12.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
St. Louis Blues
4:1
19.12.2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
St. Louis Blues
3:1
05.11.2024
St. Louis Blues
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
3:2
19.12.2023
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
St. Louis Blues
6:1
14.11.2023
St. Louis Blues
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
5:0
Latest results of St. Louis Blues
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 2 : 4 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 4 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 3 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
