Result
1:5
12/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Norway | Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5% (1/20) | 19.23% (5/26) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 84% (21/25) | 95% (19/20) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 46 | 32 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 16.67% (2/12) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 83.33% (10/12) | 100% (9/9) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 32 | 10 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 31 | 17 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 64.58 | 35.42 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 01:10, 0 - 1, Holmberg P. (G), Girgensons Z. (A), Gourde Y. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 3)
- 00:33, 0 - 2, Guentzel J. (G), Cernak E. (A), Hagel B. (A2)
- 04:06, Abols R. (2 min),
- 04:29, 0 - 3, Point B. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
- 04:29, Sanheim T. (2 min),
- 04:29, Bjorkstrand O. (2 min),
- 05:40, 1 - 3, Dvorak C. (G),
- 07:39, Cernak E. (2 min),
- 13:01, Hagel B. (2 min),
- 16:18, D'Astous C. (2 min),
- 16:18, Konecny T. (2 min),
- 18:50, Seeler N. (2 min),
- 19:29, 1 - 4, Hagel B. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
- 19:59, Grebyonkin N. (2 min),
- 19:59, Gourde Y. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 03:46, Paul N. (5 min),
- 03:46, Crozier M. (5 min),
- 03:46, Crozier M. (10 min),
- 03:46, Abols R. (2 min),
- 03:46, Abols R. (5 min),
- 03:46, Grebyonkin N. (5 min),
- 03:46, Grebyonkin N. (10 min),
- 08:40, Hathaway G. (2 min),
- 10:36, Guentzel J. (2 min),
- 10:36, Konecny T. (2 min),
- 10:36, Konecny T. (10 min),
- 16:39, 1 - 5, Kucherov N. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Cirelli A. (A2)
Chances of winning
Philadelphia Flyers 31.7% | Draw 22.5% | Tampa Bay Lightning 45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Philadelphia Flyers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Philadelphia Flyers than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.99 ↑ (2.89) |
4.23 ↓ (4.28) |
2.07 ↓ (2.09) |
5.4% (5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Philadelphia will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 44.1% – 94.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Tampa Bay (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 2.
- Philadelphia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tampa Bay is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
- Tampa Bay will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Philadelphia: Drysdale J.
(Injury)
Foerster T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Konecny T.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V.
(Elbow Injury)
Lilleberg E.
(Injury)
McDonagh R.
(Injury)
Sabourin S.
(Head Injury)
- There are questionable in Philadelphia: Brink B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Grundstrom C.
(Illness)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Philadelphia won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 14 matches, and goals 41:75. (average 2.1:3.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Philadelphia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:39. (average 2.4:4.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Philadelphia Flyers won against Tampa Bay Lightning?
Philadelphia Flyers has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tampa Bay Lightning won against Philadelphia Flyers?
Tampa Bay Lightning has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Philadelphia Flyers - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
10.01.2026
Philadelphia Flyers
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
2:7
24.11.2025
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Philadelphia Flyers
3:0
13.03.2025
Philadelphia Flyers
-
Tampa Bay Lightning
4:3
07.11.2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Philadelphia Flyers
1:2
09.03.2024
Tampa Bay Lightning
-
Philadelphia Flyers
7:0
Latest results of Philadelphia Flyers
Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 2 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 2 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 2 : 2 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal