Toronto Maple Leafs vs Minnesota Wild – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
3:6
19/01/2026 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldAmazon Prime Video, NHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3039
Shots off target
1216
Shooting PCT
10% (3/30)15.38% (6/39)
Blocked shots
1315
Goalkeeper Saves
3327
Saves PCT
86.84% (33/38)90% (27/30)
Penalties
33
PIM
68
Power-play Goals
12
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)66.67% (2/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
33.33% (1/3)66.67% (2/3)
Hits
2320
Faceoffs Won
2925
Faceoffs %
53.746.3
Giveaways
1212
Takeaways
44
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 03:58, Benoit S. (2 min),
  • 04:45, 0 - 1, Tarasenko V. (G), Hartman R. (A), Kaprizov K. (A2)
  • 10:29, 0 - 2, Hartman R. (G), Zuccarello M. (A), Kaprizov K. (A2)
  • 18:06, Spurgeon J. (2 min),
  • 18:24, 1 - 2, Tavares J. (G), Knies M. (A), Matthews A. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 3)
  • 04:36, Carlo B. (2 min),
  • 06:53, 1 - 3, Foligno M. (G), Faber B. (A), Hughes Q. (A2)
  • 08:24, 1 - 4, Tarasenko V. (G), Hughes Q. (A),
  • 10:18, Hughes Q. (2 min),
  • 17:23, Cowan E. (2 min),
  • 19:14, 1 - 5, Foligno M. (G), Faber B. (A), Yurov D. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 1)
  • 00:01, Woll J. ↓, Hildeby D. ↑,
  • 06:27, 2 - 5, Robertson N. (G), Roy N. (A), Cowan E. (A2)
  • 08:37, Tarasenko V. (2 min),
  • 15:02, 3 - 5, Matthews A. (G), Domi M. (A),
  • 17:22, 3 - 6, Foligno M. (G), Tarasenko V. (A), Sturm N. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
38.8%		Draw
22.7%		Minnesota Wild
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.1% 22.8% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44% 23.9% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Maple Leafs's form might have worsened.
  • Minnesota Wild has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota Wild's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota Wild than the current prediction. (-6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minnesota Wild, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Toronto Maple Leafs - Minnesota Wild Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.43 ↑
    (2.05)    		 4.22 ↑
    (4.14)    		 2.47 ↓
    (3.05)    		 5.3%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Minnesota Wild?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Minnesota will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 16.1% – 74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toronto Maple Leafs will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 3.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Minnesota may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Benoit S. (Upper-Body Injury) Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Nylander W. (Lower-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Bogosian Z. (Upper-Body Injury) Boldy M. (Injury) Brodin J. (Lower-Body Injury) Eriksson J. (Lower-Body Injury) Johansson M. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • We predict that Toronto will win today's game, with odds of 2.31.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 52:49. (average 2.6:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:24. (average 2.8:2.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Minnesota Wild were as follows:
    29.01.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Minnesota Wild 1:3
    03.11.2024 Minnesota Wild - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:1
    19.11.2023 Minnesota Wild - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    14.10.2023 Toronto Maple Leafs - Minnesota Wild 7:4
    24.02.2023 Toronto Maple Leafs - Minnesota Wild 2:1
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    17.01.2026 Winnipeg Jets - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4 ✺
    15.01.2026 Vegas Golden Knights - Toronto Maple Leafs 6:5 ✺
    13.01.2026 Utah Mammoth - Toronto Maple Leafs 6:1 ✺
    12.01.2026 Colorado Avalanche - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4 ✺
    10.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Vancouver Canucks 5:0 ✺
    Latest results of Minnesota Wild
    17.01.2026 Buffalo Sabres - Minnesota Wild 4:5 ✺
    15.01.2026 Minnesota Wild - Winnipeg Jets 2:6 ✺
    12.01.2026 Minnesota Wild - New Jersey Devils 2:5 ✺
    10.01.2026 Minnesota Wild - New York Islanders 3:4 ✺
    08.01.2026 Seattle Kraken - Minnesota Wild 2:3 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche60383910230:14991
    2Dallas Stars61317914212:16585
    3Minnesota Wild6223131016209:18082
    4Vegas Golden Knights622181419205:19772
    5Anaheim Ducks612014324205:21271
    6Utah Mammoth62267425196:16970
    7Edmonton Oilers62228824220:21068
    8Seattle Kraken61236923173:17967
    9San Jose Sharks591812425186:20764
    10Los Angeles Kings611691422160:18264
    11Nashville Predators62217826185:21364
    12Winnipeg Jets612141026175:18760
    13Chicago Blackhawks611851028163:19556
    14St. Louis Blues61221929159:21055
    15Calgary Flames61204730150:18555
    16Vancouver Canucks61126736157:23043


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes612910616214:17584
    2Tampa Bay Lightning60299418211:16280
    3Buffalo Sabres62316619214:18480
    4Detroit Red Wings622411720185:18777
    5Montreal Canadiens602211918213:20075
    6Pittsburgh Penguins612741317205:18075
    7New York Islanders632312523186:18275
    8Boston Bruins61268522205:19473
    9Columbus Blue Jackets612210821196:19372
    10Ottawa Senators61246922205:19469
    11Washington Capitals63265725199:18969
    12Philadelphia Flyers611991122177:19167
    13Toronto Maple Leafs631981125200:22165
    14New Jersey Devils622011229160:18664
    15Florida Panthers62246329188:20963
    16New York Rangers61159829166:19256

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