Montehermoso vs Llerenense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
19/04/2026 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Quijada C. ,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Martinez D. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 65', 2 - 1, Marrero M. ,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Peguero G. ,

Chances of winning


Montehermoso
40%
Draw
28%
Llerenense
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.4% 27.6% 29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 25.4% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montehermoso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
  • Llerenense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llerenense than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • Montehermoso - Llerenense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.26
    (2.13)
    3.23
    (3.27)
    2.82
    (3.03)
    10.5%
    (10.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 11).
    • Montehermoso is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Llerenense has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Montehermoso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Montehermoso will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Montehermoso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:7. (average 0:3.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Montehermoso won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montehermoso - Llerenense were as follows:
    26.03.2023 Montehermoso - Llerenense 0:2
    26.11.2022 Llerenense - Montehermoso 5:0
    Latest results of Montehermoso
    12.04.2026 Badajoz - Montehermoso 4:0
    05.04.2026 Montehermoso - Pueblonuevo 1:1
    28.03.2026 Montijo - Montehermoso 4:0
    22.03.2026 Montehermoso - Moralo 1:2
    15.03.2026 Diocesano - Montehermoso 0:0
    Latest results of Llerenense
    12.04.2026 Llerenense - Villanovense 0:2
    28.03.2026 Llerenense - Jerez 1:1
    22.03.2026 Llerenense - Badajoz 0:3
    15.03.2026 Pueblonuevo - Llerenense 2:0
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Don Benito33217569:214870
    2CD Badajoz33225661:273468
    3Azuaga33188753:302362
    4Moralo331710653:312261
    5Jaraiz331511752:331956
    6Cabeza del Buey331412744:291554
    7Villafranca331661141:36554
    8Villanovense331581045:351053
    9Montijo331271441:41043
    10Jerez CF33717951:50138
    11Puebla339111335:47-1238
    12Llerenense331081532:43-1138
    13Santa Amalia33971729:50-2134
    14Gevora33891632:50-1833
    15Pueblonuevo33861928:55-2730
    16Diocesano336111629:59-3029
    17Montehermoso33582023:61-3823
    18CD Calamonte333131724:44-2022

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