Detroit Red Wings vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:6
28/11/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4
germanyGermanyNHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV10, Viaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3628
Shots off target
1213
Shooting PCT
8.33% (3/36)21.43% (6/28)
Blocked Shots
416
Goalkeeper Saves
2233
Saves PCT
81.48% (22/27)91.67% (33/36)
Penalties
22
PIM
44
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)50% (1/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
50% (1/2)100% (2/2)
Hits
2015
Faceoffs Won
2730
Faceoffs %
47.3752.63
Giveaways
1112
Takeaways
74
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 11:29, 1 - 0, Compher J.T. (G), Rasmussen M. (A),
  • 16:31, DeBrincat A. (2 min),
  • 17:07, 1 - 1, Raddysh D. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 3)
  • 00:34, 1 - 2, Goncalves G. (G), Bjorkstrand O. (A), Paul N. (A2)
  • 03:01, 1 - 3, Gourde Y. (G),
  • 03:13, 2 - 3, Rasmussen M. (G), Compher J.T. (A),
  • 16:09, 2 - 4, Gourde Y. (G),
  • 18:26, 3 - 4, Larkin D. (G), Raymond L. (A), Edvinsson S. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 09:13, Hagel B. (2 min),
  • 11:32, Van Riemsdyk J. (2 min),
  • 11:32, Gourde Y. (2 min),
  • 12:37, 3 - 5, Guentzel J. (G), Raddysh D. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 17:13, 3 - 6, Hagel B. (G), Raddysh D. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Detroit Red Wings
36%
Draw
22.2%
Tampa Bay Lightning
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.9% 22.4% 41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.5% 22.1% 42.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Detroit Red Wings has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Detroit Red Wings than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.63)
    4.3
    (4.21)
    2.29
    (2.27)
    5%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Detroit will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 29%96%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 5.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tampa Bay Lightning will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 3.
    • Recent performances by Detroit have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tampa Bay is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Detroit: Edvinsson S. (Illness) Rasmussen M. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Cernak E. (Injury) Crozier M. (Injury) Hedman V. (Injury) McDonagh R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: Point B. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Detroit won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 55:56. (average 2.8:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Detroit won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 31:30. (average 2.8:2.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    17.10.2025 Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:1
    11.04.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings 3:4
    08.02.2025 Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:6
    25.01.2025 Detroit Red Wings - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:0
    18.01.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Detroit Red Wings 5:1
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
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    2Dallas Stars623171014216:17086
    3Minnesota Wild6324131016213:18284
    4Anaheim Ducks622015324211:21773
    5Vegas Golden Knights632181420207:20172
    6Utah Mammoth62267425196:16970
    7Edmonton Oilers63228825223:21668
    8Seattle Kraken61236923173:17967
    9San Jose Sharks601812525188:21065
    10Los Angeles Kings611691422160:18264
    11Nashville Predators62217826185:21364
    12Winnipeg Jets612141026175:18760
    13St. Louis Blues62222929162:21257
    14Chicago Blackhawks621851029166:20156
    15Calgary Flames61204730150:18555
    16Vancouver Canucks62136736163:23345


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes623010616220:17886
    2Tampa Bay Lightning60299418211:16280
    3Buffalo Sabres62316619214:18480
    4Detroit Red Wings632411721186:19077
    5Montreal Canadiens6122111018218:20676
    6Pittsburgh Penguins612741317205:18075
    7New York Islanders632312523186:18275
    8Boston Bruins61268522205:19473
    9Columbus Blue Jackets612210821196:19372
    10Ottawa Senators61246922205:19469
    11Washington Capitals63265725199:18969
    12Philadelphia Flyers611991122177:19167
    13Florida Panthers63256329191:21065
    14Toronto Maple Leafs631981125200:22165
    15New Jersey Devils622011229160:18664
    16New York Rangers61159829166:19256

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )