Al-Ittihad Jeddah vs Al-Shabab Riyadh – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
27/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 11
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SupeSport ESPN 1, ZAP
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East, SPOTV 2 Asia
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT, SporTV 2
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 2
chinaChinaQQ Sports
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hungaryHungarySpiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
indiaIndiaFanCode, FanCode, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV 2, Vidio
italyItalySportitalia Solo Calcio
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kenyaKenyaGotv
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go, SPOTV 2
mexicoMexicoFOX One
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV 2
nigeriaNigeriaSupeSport ESPN 1
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV 2
polandPolandPolsat Sport 2
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 2, Prima TV
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah
singaporeSingaporeSPOTV 2
south-africaSouth-africaSupeSport ESPN
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 3, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
tanzaniaTanzaniaZBC 2 Tanzania
thailandThailandSPOTV 2, True Ball Thai 1, True ID
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
usaUsaFox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
vietnamVietnamSPOTV 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.380.75
Ball Possession
68%32%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
84
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
121
Passes
91% (556/614)78% (228/294)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.380.75
xG on target (xGOT)
3.371.55
Total shots
176
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
40
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
121
Touches in opposition box
4411
Accurate through passes
20
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
812
Passes
91% (556/614)78% (228/294)
Long passes
69% (29/42)38% (19/50)
Passes in final third
80% (168/209)60% (36/60)
Crosses
24% (8/33)60% (3/5)
Expected assists (xA)
2.910.37
Throw-ins
219
Fouls
128
Tackles
63% (5/8)57% (12/21)
Duels won
3850
Clearances
1535
Interceptions
49
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
1.553.37
Goals prevented
1.551.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 16', 1 - 0, Al Ghamdi A. , Roger (A),
  • 39', Al Gulaymish N. , Al Saadi N. ,
  • 43', Mitaj M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Matuq A. , Abdullah M. ,
  • 70', Abdullah M. 🟨,
  • 76', Al Subiani F. , Sierro V. ,
  • 82', Al Ghamdi A. , Al Bishi A. ,
  • 85', Makki A. , Al Sibyani H. K. A. ,
  • 86', 2 - 0, Bergwijn S. , Al Shanqiti M. (A),
  • 88', Bergwijn S. , Al Ghamdi H. ,
  • 88', Benzema K. , Al Shehri S. ,
  • 90+2', Al Shanqiti M. , Al Julaydan A. ,
  • 90+2', Kadesh H. , Sharahili A. ,

Chances of winning


Al-Ittihad Jeddah
67.1%
Draw
19.6%
Al-Shabab Riyadh
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.2% 22.3% 17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 21.7% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al-Ittihad Jeddah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Ittihad Jeddah's performance.
  • Al-Shabab Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Ittihad Jeddah than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Ittihad Jeddah that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al-Shabab Riyadh than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.55)
    4.82
    (4.18)
    7.09
    (5.32)
    7.1%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Al-Ittihad will win (votes: 13 - 86.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 13.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Al-Ittihad: 69.5%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Al-Ittihad (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Al-Ittihad Jeddah will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Al-Ittihad (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Recently, Al-Ittihad has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Al-Ittihad is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad won 11 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:26. (average 1.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Al-Ittihad won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 23:14. (average 2.1:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 4:1
    20.05.2025 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah 2:3
    01.04.2025 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 3:2
    22.01.2025 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 2:1
    26.04.2024 Al-Ittihad Jeddah - Al-Shabab Riyadh 1:3
    Latest results of Al-Ittihad Jeddah
    Latest results of Al-Shabab Riyadh
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Nassr26221371:195267
    2Al Hilal26197067:234464
    3Al Ahli SC26195251:193262
    4Al Qadsiah26186262:253760
    5Al Taawon26136747:331445
    6Al Ittihad26126841:34742
    7Al Ettifaq26116936:44-839
    8Neom SC26961131:36-533
    9Al Fayha26961134:41-733
    10Al Hazem26871129:47-1831
    11Al Khaleej26861244:44030
    12Al Shabab26781133:39-629
    13Al Fateh26771234:47-1328
    14Al Kholood26811734:48-1425
    15Damac264101224:42-1822
    16Al Riyadh26471525:49-2419
    17Al Okhdood26341922:57-3513
    18Al Najma26152023:61-388

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