Result
1:0
21/03/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 27
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.79 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (275/366) | 71% (218/308) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.24 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (275/366) | 71% (218/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 27% (13/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (50/90) | 51% (41/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 0.70 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 33 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 70% (7/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.24 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.76 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Elimbi M. ↓, Espigares A. ↑,
- 41', Serginho 🟨,
- 42', Caseres F. 🟨,
- 44', Moreira A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Welinton Torrao ↓, Vinicius Lopes ↑,
- 61', Serginho ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
- 74', Gabriel Silva ↓, Brenner ↑,
- 74', Fernando ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
- 75', Esteves L. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
- 77', Petit 🟨,
- 85', Varela G. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 85', Moreira A. ↓, Toure T. ↑,
- 90+6', 1 - 0, Vinicius Lopes ⚽, Tavares J. (A),
- 90+6', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Venancio F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Santa Clara
39.4% | Draw
32.1% | Gil Vicente
28.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Santa Clara's performance.Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gil Vicente might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Santa Clara that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gil Vicente could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Santa Clara - Gil Vicente Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.41 ↓
(2.83) |
2.96 ↓
(3.15) |
3.31 ↑
(2.78) |
5.6%
(3.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Santa Clara - Gil Vicente?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Santa Clara will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Gil Vicente will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Santa Clara: 9.6% – 70.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Gil Vicente: Bamba M.
(Inactive)
Garcia S.
(Yellow Cards)
Mutombo J.
(Inactive)
Ze Carlos
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Santa Clara: Gabriel Silva
(Injury)
MT
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Santa Clara won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.1:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santa Clara won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Santa Clara won against Gil Vicente?
Santa Clara has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gil Vicente won against Santa Clara?
Gil Vicente has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santa Clara - Gil Vicente were as follows:
03.11.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Santa Clara
1:0
15.03.2025
Gil Vicente
-
Santa Clara
0:1
25.10.2024
Santa Clara
-
Gil Vicente
2:1
06.05.2023
Santa Clara
-
Gil Vicente
3:2
29.12.2022
Gil Vicente
-
Santa Clara
1:0
Latest results of Santa Clara
Latest results of Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 29 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 59:14 | 45 | 76 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 28 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 73:17 | 56 | 71 |
| 3 | Benfica | 29 | 20 | 9 | 0 | 61:18 | 43 | 69 |
| 4 | Braga | 28 | 15 | 7 | 6 | 55:27 | 28 | 52 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 36:25 | 11 | 47 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 44:30 | 14 | 46 |
| 7 | Estoril | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 51:50 | 1 | 37 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 35:43 | -8 | 36 |
| 9 | Moreirense | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
| 10 | Alverca | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 32:47 | -15 | 35 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 31:48 | -17 | 33 |
| 12 | Arouca | 29 | 9 | 5 | 15 | 37:58 | -21 | 32 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 26:37 | -11 | 28 |
| 14 | Estrela | 29 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 33:48 | -15 | 28 |
| 15 | Nacional | 29 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 31:41 | -10 | 25 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 28 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 28:52 | -24 | 25 |
| 17 | Tondela | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 21:46 | -25 | 21 |
| 18 | AFS | 29 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 19:62 | -43 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
