Result
4:1
21/03/2026 at 02:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | FanCode, FanCode |
 New-zealand | SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 5 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2, TNT Sports 6 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 1.11 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 34 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (399/482) | 81% (300/371) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.44 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.78 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 34 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 58 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (399/482) | 81% (300/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (17/41) | 29% (16/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (172/220) | 59% (41/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (6/27) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.25 | 0.38 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (10/18) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.78 | 2.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.22 | -1.65 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, James Ngor S. ⚽,
- 29', Eames H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (4 - 0)
- 46', Clarismario ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Velupillay N. ⚽, Roderick (A),
- 54', 2 - 1, Mata J. ⚽,
- 62', Blair N. ↓, Lavale O. ↑,
- 62', Donnell C. ↓, Brandtman B. ↑,
- 68', Nduka C. ↓, Vergos N. ↑,
- 76', Eames H. ↓, Taniguchi K. ↑,
- 76', Roux S. ↓, Nasso J. ↑,
- 78', Velupillay N. ↓, Jelacic K. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Vergos N. ⚽, Mata J. (A),
- 90+3', Lino F. ↓, Davidson J. ↑,
- 90+3', Mata J. ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
- 90+4', 4 - 1, Davidson J. ⚽, Genreau D. (A),
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
66.6% | Draw
19.1% | Central Coast Mariners
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Central Coast Mariners has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Central Coast Mariners than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.49) |
4.99 ↑
(4.22) |
6.62 ↑
(5.88) |
5.5%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Central Coast will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Melbourne Victory: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 1.
- Now, both teams are in good form.
- Central Coast may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Melbourne Victory is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: D'Arrigo L.
(Leg Injury)
Davidson J.
(Inactive)
Hamill B.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Central Coast: Clark S.
(Injury)
Di Pizio M.
(Injury)
Sainsbury T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Theoharous C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 34:26. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Central Coast Mariners?
Melbourne Victory has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Central Coast Mariners won against Melbourne Victory?
Central Coast Mariners has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Central Coast Mariners were as follows:
01.02.2026
Central Coast Mariners
-
Melbourne Victory
1:0
08.03.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Central Coast Mariners
3:0
18.10.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Melbourne Victory
0:0
25.05.2024
Central Coast Mariners
-
Melbourne Victory
3:1
25.02.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Central Coast Mariners
0:1
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Central Coast Mariners
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 22 | 14 | 1 | 7 | 46:33 | 13 | 43 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 39 |
| 3 | Melbourne Victory | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38:28 | 10 | 35 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 39:32 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 29:23 | 6 | 33 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 28:36 | -8 | 28 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29:32 | -3 | 27 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 33:41 | -8 | 27 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 22:28 | -6 | 26 |
| 10 | Brisbane Roar | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 22:29 | -7 | 24 |
| 11 | Perth Glory | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 26:34 | -8 | 21 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
