Result
 
                    1:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        03/06/2023 at  15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 38
 
                                                - Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)
 
                                                - Where to Watch on TV: 
 
                                                
                    
                    
                    
                    
 |  | 
|---|
 France | Amazon Prime Video | 
 Hungary | Match 4 | 
 Portugal | Eleven Sports | 
 Serbia | Arena Sport | 
 Turkey | beIN Sports 1 | 
                      
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 Troyes  7% | Draw  11.5% | Lille  81.4% | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Troyes - Lille Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			    | 
			   1 | 
			   X | 
			   2 | 
                           Marga | 
			    | 
			
			
			
			   Avarage Now (Initially) | 
			   13.58 ↑ (9.21) | 
			   8.23 ↑ (5.84) | 
			   1.16 ↓ (1.29) | 
			   5.6% (5.6%) |  | 
                               
			
- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Troyes - Lille?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            31 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). Lille will win (votes: 27 - 87.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.2%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Lille: 75.3% – 98.9%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - Troyes has the most likely position - 18 (67.92%),  project points - 24,  currently - 23,  a very good chance of relegated (>99%),  not chance of qualify for ucl.
 - Lille has the most likely position - 4 (65.68%),  project points - 68,  currently - 66,  not chance of relegated,  not chance of qualify for ucl.
 - This event has quality 49, very small importance 0, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
 - Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 2. 
 - Troyes has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0). 
 - Lille is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). 
 - In this match Lille is absolute favorite.
 - There will not play in Troyes: Ripart R.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tardieu F.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
 - There will not play in Lille: Djalo T.
(Knee Injury)
Gomes A.
(Leg Injury)
 - Last 12 head-to-head matches Troyes won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 15-18. 
 - Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.                        
 
                      
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Lille?
                    
                    
                        
                            Troyes has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Lille won against Troyes?
                    
                    
                        
                             Lille has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Lille were as follows:
                                                        
                                15.01.2023 
                                Lille 
                                - 
                                Troyes 
                                5:1
                            
        
                                                        
                                08.01.2023 
                                Lille 
                                - 
                                Troyes 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | PSG | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 | 24 | 
| 2 | Marseille | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 25:11 | 14 | 22 | 
| 3 | Lens | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 17:10 | 7 | 22 | 
| 4 | Lille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23:13 | 10 | 20 | 
| 5 | Monaco | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23:17 | 6 | 20 | 
| 6 | Lyon | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:12 | 4 | 20 | 
| 7 | Strasbourg | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 22:16 | 6 | 19 | 
| 8 | Nice | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:16 | 0 | 17 | 
| 9 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:15 | 2 | 15 | 
| 10 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 18:17 | 1 | 15 | 
| 11 | Paris FC | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 | 
| 12 | Le Havre | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 | 
| 13 | Brest | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 10 | 
| 14 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 8:15 | -7 | 10 | 
| 15 | Nantes | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 9 | 
| 16 | Lorient | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13:25 | -12 | 9 | 
| 17 | Metz | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10:26 | -16 | 8 | 
| 18 | Auxerre | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7:17 | -10 | 7 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ Ligue 2