Minnesota Wild vs Tampa Bay Lightning – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
5:1
03/03/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
portugalPortugalSport TV3
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2226
Shots off target
1412
Shooting PCT
22.73% (5/22)3.85% (1/26)
Blocked shots
1414
Goalkeeper Saves
2517
Saves PCT
96.15% (25/26)80.95% (17/21)
Penalties
46
PIM
820
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
16.67% (1/6)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)83.33% (5/6)
Hits
2224
Faceoffs Won
2527
Faceoffs %
48.0851.92
Giveaways
87
Takeaways
43
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 03:46, 1 - 0, Faber B. (G), Johansson M. (A), Boldy M. (A2)
  • 05:10, Hagel B. (2 min),
  • 13:31, Sabourin S. (10 min),
  • 15:05, Brodin J. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 03:10, (2 min),
  • 04:11, Kaprizov K. (2 min),
  • 04:24, Cirelli A. (2 min),
  • 04:59, 2 - 0, Zuccarello M. (G), Hughes Q. (A), Boldy M. (A2)
  • 05:05, Point B. (2 min),
  • 09:33, Hinostroza V. (2 min),
  • 15:07, 2 - 1, Kucherov N. (G), Point B. (A), Guentzel J. (A2)
  • 17:10, 3 - 1, Trenin Y. (G), Zuccarello M. (A),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:35, Raddysh D. (2 min),
  • 06:53, 4 - 1, Hughes Q. (G),
  • 16:41, 5 - 1, Kaprizov K. (G), Faber B. (A), Boldy M. (A2)
  • 19:01, Bogosian Z. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Minnesota Wild
33.3%		Draw
22.8%		Tampa Bay Lightning
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.4% 22.5% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5% 24.4% 44.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Minnesota Wild has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minnesota Wild than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
    •

    Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.82 ↑
    (2.64)    		 4.12 ↓
    (4.26)    		 2.16 ↓
    (2.33)    		 6.1%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Minnesota will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Tampa Bay will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 30.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Minnesota: 35% – 88%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS, OT - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Minnesota (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Minnesota Wild will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Minnesota (votes: 7 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 2.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Minnesota: Brodin J. (Lower-Body Injury) Foligno M. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Crozier M. (Muscle Injury) Goncalves G. (Injury) James D. (Leg Injury) Paul N. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Minnesota won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 63:55. (average 3.2:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 38:21. (average 3.8:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning were as follows:
    01.11.2024 Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:3
    24.10.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Minnesota Wild 2:4
    18.01.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Minnesota Wild 7:3
    04.01.2024 Minnesota Wild - Tampa Bay Lightning 1:4
    24.01.2023 Tampa Bay Lightning - Minnesota Wild 4:2
    Latest results of Minnesota Wild
    01.03.2026 Minnesota Wild - St. Louis Blues 1:3 ✺
    27.02.2026 Utah Mammoth - Minnesota Wild 5:2 ✺
    26.02.2026 Colorado Avalanche - Minnesota Wild 2:5 ✺
    04.02.2026 Nashville Predators - Minnesota Wild 5:6 ✺
    02.02.2026 Minnesota Wild - Montreal Canadiens 4:3 ✺
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
    28.02.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 2:6 ✺
    26.02.2026 Carolina Hurricanes - Tampa Bay Lightning 5:4 ✺
    25.02.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:2 ✺
    05.02.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Florida Panthers 6:1 ✺
    03.02.2026 Tampa Bay Lightning - Buffalo Sabres 4:3 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche60383910230:14991
    2Dallas Stars61317914212:16585
    3Minnesota Wild6223131016209:18082
    4Vegas Golden Knights612171419201:19470
    5Anaheim Ducks601914324200:21169
    6Utah Mammoth61257425193:16968
    7Edmonton Oilers62228824220:21068
    8Seattle Kraken60236922171:17667
    9San Jose Sharks591812425186:20764
    10Los Angeles Kings601591422155:17962
    11Nashville Predators61207826179:21062
    12Winnipeg Jets602041026171:18658
    13Chicago Blackhawks611851028163:19556
    14Calgary Flames60204729149:18155
    15St. Louis Blues60211929156:20853
    16Vancouver Canucks60126735153:22443


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes602810616208:17182
    2Tampa Bay Lightning59299417210:15880
    3Buffalo Sabres61306619209:18378
    4Detroit Red Wings612411620182:18376
    5Montreal Canadiens602211918213:20075
    6Pittsburgh Penguins602741316204:17575
    7New York Islanders612312521182:17275
    8Boston Bruins60268521202:18873
    9Columbus Blue Jackets602110821192:19170
    10Washington Capitals63265725199:18969
    11Ottawa Senators60236922201:19367
    12Philadelphia Flyers601991121177:18867
    13Toronto Maple Leafs611981024195:21164
    14Florida Panthers61246328186:20563
    15New Jersey Devils612010229156:18362
    16New York Rangers60149829160:19054

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