Nantes vs Montpellier – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Nantes - Montpellier
Result
3:0
17/05/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 34
  • Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 11
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.79
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
189
Shots on target
60
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
72
Passes
87% (374/432)90% (502/557)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.430.79
xG on target (xGOT)
2.050.00
Total shots
189
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
40
Corner Kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2715
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
914
Passes
87% (374/432)90% (502/557)
Long passes
57% (31/54)67% (28/42)
Passes in final third
65% (56/86)73% (83/113)
Crosses
39% (7/18)40% (6/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.931.04
Throw-ins
1416
Fouls
149
Tackles
68% (13/19)67% (10/15)
Duels won
5239
Clearances
2018
Interceptions
143
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
0.002.05
Goals prevented
0.00-0.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Simon M. (Pen),
  • 25', Tchato E. ↓, Ndollo Bille W. ↑,
  • 31', 2 - 0, Coquelin F. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Savanier T. ↓, Dzodic S. ↑,
  • 46', Mouanga Y. ↓, Sagnan M. ↑,
  • 49', Chennahi T. 🟨,
  • 53', Thomas S. 🟨,
  • 57', Pallois N. 🟨,
  • 71', Coquelin F. 🟨,
  • 72', Pallois N. ↓, Zeze N. ↑,
  • 72', Thomas S. ↓, Centonze F. ↑,
  • 73', Coquelin F. ↓, Lepenant J. ↑,
  • 79', 3 - 0, Abline M. ⚽, Simon M. (A),
  • 87', Simon M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
  • 88', Chirivella P. ↓, Assoumani D. ↑,

Chances of winning


Nantes
62.3%		Draw
22.2%		Montpellier
15.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59% 21.8% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 18.2% 23.1%

Nantes - Montpellier Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.53 ↓
(1.61)		 4.28 ↓
(4.37)		 6.21 ↑
(4.93)		 4.8%
(5.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nantes - Montpellier?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1 - Nantes (1.92) (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Users Predictions: Nantes will win (82 of 89 users predict this - 92.13%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 86.54% – 97.72%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nantes will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Montpellier is Relegated to Ligue 2
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 3.
    • Nantes is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Montpellier has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Nantes is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Nantes: Doucoure S. (Shoulder Injury) Mahamoud A. (Knee Injury) Mostafa Mohamed (Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Montpellier: Delort A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Fayad K. (Yellow Cards) Gueguin A. (Ribs Injury) Issoufou Y. (Injury) Maamma O. (International duty) Maksimovic N. (Thigh Injury) Nzingoula R. (Yellow Cards) Pays N. (Foot Injury) Sagnan M. (Thigh Injury) Sainte-Luce T. (Muscle Injury) Sylla I. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Montpellier: Jullien C. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Montpellier were as follows:
    31.08.2024 Montpellier - Nantes 1:3
    26.04.2024 Montpellier - Nantes 1:1
    22.10.2023 Nantes - Montpellier 2:0
    20.05.2023 Nantes - Montpellier 0:3
    15.01.2023 Montpellier - Nantes 0:0
    Latest results of Nantes
    10.05.2025 Auxerre - Nantes 1:1 ✺
    04.05.2025 Nantes - Angers 0:1 ✺
    27.04.2025 Nantes - Toulouse 0:0 ✺
    22.04.2025 Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1 ✺
    18.04.2025 Rennes - Nantes 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Montpellier
    10.05.2025 Montpellier - Paris Saint-Germain 1:4 ✺
    04.05.2025 Brest - Montpellier 1:0 ✺
    27.04.2025 Montpellier - Reims 0:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Olympique Marseille - Montpellier 5:1 ✺
    13.04.2025 Angers - Montpellier 2:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG1283124:111327
    2Marseille1281328:111725
    3Lens1281321:111025
    4Strasbourg1271424:16822
    5Lille1262423:15820
    6Monaco1262424:21320
    7Lyon1262418:15320
    8Rennes1246219:17218
    9Nice1252517:18-117
    10Toulouse1244418:16216
    11Paris FC1242618:21-314
    12Le Havre1235413:17-414
    13Angers1234510:15-513
    14Metz1232712:27-1511
    15Brest1224614:21-710
    16Nantes1224611:18-710
    17Lorient1224614:26-1210
    18Auxerre122197:19-127

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