Erzgebirge Aue vs Energie Cottbus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 25
  • Referee: Benen L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, RBB TV, tv.dfb.de
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
44%56%
Total shots
415
Shots on target
36
Corner kicks
310
Yellow cards
10
Total shots
415
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
19
Corner kicks
310
Offsides
21
Free kicks
1219
Throw ins
2119
Fouls
1711

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Bar M. , Clausen M. (A),
  • 7', Fallmann P. 🟨,
  • 12', 1 - 1, Manu K. S. , Michelbrink L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Michelbrink L. , Cigerci T. ,
  • 60', Hannemann M. , Moustfa C. Y. ,
  • 69', Guttau J. , Gunther-Schmidt J. ,
  • 80', Pelivan D. , Butler J. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Borgmann A. , Cigerci T. (A),
  • 88', Clausen M. , Schmid M. ,
  • 89', Collins J. , Ocansey V. A. F. ,
  • 89', Cigerci T. , Cvjetinovic M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Erzgebirge Aue
31.3%
Draw
25.7%
Energie Cottbus
43.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 25.6% 41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.6% 24.6% 43.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Erzgebirge Aue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Energie Cottbus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.98
    (2.82)
    3.61
    (3.63)
    2.14
    (2.24)
    8%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Aue will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Cottbus will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aue won 2.
    • Aue has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Cottbus is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Cottbus may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Cottbus will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Aue won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Aue won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus were as follows:
    17.09.2025 Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue 2:1
    29.03.2025 Energie Cottbus - Erzgebirge Aue 1:0
    22.10.2024 Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus 1:3
    10.01.2023 Erzgebirge Aue - Energie Cottbus 3:1
    Latest results of Erzgebirge Aue
    Latest results of Energie Cottbus
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck27157543:251852
    2Cottbus27157553:391452
    3Duisburg26138547:331447
    4Verl27129661:402145
    5Munich 186027136844:37745
    6Wehen26135840:291144
    7Hansa Rostock261110544:301443
    8RW Essen261110550:44643
    9Mannheim261231143:47-439
    10Viktoria Koln271151138:35338
    11Ingolstadt2699845:36936
    12Hoffenheim II271051251:48335
    13Regensburg271051236:40-435
    14Stuttgart II271051233:44-1135
    15Alemannia Aachen26951243:48-532
    16Saarbrucken26611935:38-329
    17Aue27591330:45-1524
    18Ulm27731735:55-2024
    19TSV Havelse26481436:56-2020
    20Schweinfurt26322123:61-3811

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation