Result
1:3
24/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports |
 Paraguay | Tigo Sports |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (457/548) | 77% (286/370) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 2.23 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (457/548) | 77% (286/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (36/71) | 40% (21/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (82/131) | 51% (48/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (8/21) | 17% (2/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.77 | 0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', Benitez C. 🟨,
- 8', 1 - 0, Carrizo F. (Pen),
- 17', Gauto N. 🟨,
- 23', Vera J. 🟨,
- 32', 1 - 1, Romero F. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Gauto N. ↓, Rayer T. ↑,
- 46', Ruiz Diaz A. ↓, Canete A. ↑,
- 56', Iturbe J. ↓, Aguayo G. ↑,
- 63', Dominguez F. ↓, Araujo S. ↑,
- 64', Zarza P. ↓, Baez Mendoza R. ↑,
- 64', Dominguez C. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Baez Mendoza R. ⚽, Rayer T. (A),
- 70', Carrizo F. 🟨,
- 71', Carrizo F. 🟥,
- 76', Camacho N. ↓, Cano Esteche A. B. ↑,
- 84', Morel J. ↓, Peralta F. ↑,
- 84', Amarilla L. ↓, Silvero F. ↑,
- 85', 1 - 3, Roman J. ⚽, Romero F. (A),
- 86', Romero F. ↓, Gaona M. ↑,
- 90+1', Perez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cerro Porteño
61.1% | Draw
23.6% | Sportivo Trinidense
15.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cerro Porteño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Sportivo Trinidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Trinidense than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↓
(1.64) |
4.13 ↑
(3.71) |
6.49 ↑
(5.22) |
3.9%
(7.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Cerro Porteño (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Cerro Porteño will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 2.
- In recent matches, Cerro Porteño has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sportivo Trinidense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sportivo Trinidense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Cerro Porteño is a strong favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 10 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:12. (average 1.9:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro Porteño won against Sportivo Trinidense?
Cerro Porteño has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sportivo Trinidense won against Cerro Porteño?
Sportivo Trinidense has won 2 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cerro Porteño - Sportivo Trinidense were as follows:
20.04.2025
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Trinidense
1:0
08.02.2025
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Cerro Porteño
1:0
21.11.2024
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Cerro Porteño
3:2
11.09.2024
Cerro Porteño
-
Sportivo Trinidense
1:1
06.04.2024
Sportivo Trinidense
-
Cerro Porteño
1:3
Latest results of Cerro Porteño
Latest results of Sportivo Trinidense
Paraguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guarani | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 29:12 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Cerro Porteno | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:13 | 6 | 21 |
| 3 | Sportivo Trinidense | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 20 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Sp. Luqueno | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | 2 de Mayo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 7 | Libertad Asuncion | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11:9 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | General Caballero JLM | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7:15 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Olimpia Asuncion | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 10 | Recoleta | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:16 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Ameliano | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 12 | Atl. Tembetary | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12:22 | -10 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
