Result
3:1
21/03/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Apertura - Round 7
- Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
 Venezuela | DirecTV Sports, Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 18', 1 - 0, Arezo M. ⚽,
- 26', 2 - 0, Angulo L. ⚽,
- 27', Sena N. ↓, Severo A. ↑,
- 30', Miranda A. 🟨,
- 39', Miranda A. 🟨,
- 44', Olivera M. 🟥,
- 45', Remedi E. 🟨,
- 45+1', 2 - 1, Barros C. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Sosa E. ↓, Amaro J. ↑,
- 46', Angulo L. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 50', Rodriguez K. 🟨,
- 51', Carlos R. 🟨,
- 58', Darias E. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
- 58', Lemos M. ↓, Gularte E. ↑,
- 60', Severo A. 🟨,
- 62', Carlos R. ↓, Aleman B. ↑,
- 71', Cambon A. 🟨,
- 72', Barros C. 🟨,
- 75', Cambon A. ↓, Paiva S. ↑,
- 78', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 80', Fernandez L. ↓, Muhlethaler S. ↑,
- 80', Arezo M. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 90', Suarez D. 🟨,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Fernandez N. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+3', Amaro J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
68.7% | Draw
21.1% | Cerro
10.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Cerro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.43) |
4.46 ↑
(3.98) |
9.05 ↑
(7.72) |
7.6%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 5 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.
- Peñarol is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Cerro is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Peñarol is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:14. (average 2.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Cerro?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cerro won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Cerro has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Cerro were as follows:
25.10.2025
Cerro
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
2:0
27.04.2025
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro
Abandoned
22.09.2024
Cerro
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
0:5
09.03.2024
Peñarol de Montevideo
-
Cerro
3:0
19.08.2023
Cerro
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
1:1
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Apertura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 7 | 16 |
| 2 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 14 |
| 4 | Maldonado | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11:8 | 3 | 13 |
| 5 | Liverpool M | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 11 |
| 6 | Danubio | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 11 |
| 8 | Wanderers | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 11 |
| 9 | Central Esp | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | Albion | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Progreso | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 5 |
| 15 | Juventud | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7:12 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | CA Cerro | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
