New York Knicks vs Miami Heat – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
132:125
21/12/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Oneplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
germanyGermanySky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
italyItalySky Sport Uno
portugalPortugalSport TV2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field Goals Attempted
8587
Field Goals Made
4741
Field Goals %
55.29%47.13%
2-Point Field G. Attempted
4752
2-Point Field Goals Made
2724
2-Point Field Goals %
57.45%46.15%
3-Point Field G. Attempted
3835
3-Point Field Goals Made
2017
3-Point Field Goals %
52.63%48.57%
Free Throws Attempted
2135
Free Throws Made
1826
Free Throws %
85.7%74.3%
Offensive Rebounds
412
Defensive Rebounds
3233
Total Rebounds
3645
Assists
2826
Blocks
31
Turnovers
1311
Steals
75
Personal Fouls
2514
Technical Fouls
10

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York Knicks
71.6%
Miami Heat
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.4% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.3% 31.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York Knicks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New York Knicks's performance.
  • Miami Heat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miami Heat might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Knicks than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miami Heat than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • New York Knicks - Miami Heat Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.34
    (1.4)

    3.38
    (2.65)
    4.1%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 236.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)
    What is the prediction for New York Knicks - Miami Heat?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. New York will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Miami will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for New York: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. New York (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -8, OT - Miami (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -7.5, OT - Miami (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -8.5, OT - New York (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 236.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, 1st Half - Miami (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. New York (votes: 3 - 50%). Miami (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 122:115.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York won 3.
    • New York is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Miami is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • New York may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, New York is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in New York: McBride M. (Ankle Injury) Shamet L. (Shoulder Injury)
    • There will not play in Miami: Herro T. (Toe Injury) Jovic N. (Elbow Injury) Larsson P. (Ankle Injury) Rozier T. (Suspended)
    • There are questionable in Miami: Mitchell D. (Ankle Injury) Wiggins A. (Back Injury)
    • We predict that New York will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New York won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 2195:2164. (average 109.8:108.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New York won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1012:946. (average 112.4:105.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York Knicks - Miami Heat were as follows:
    17.11.2025 Miami Heat - New York Knicks 115:113
    14.11.2025 New York Knicks - Miami Heat 140:132
    26.10.2025 Miami Heat - New York Knicks 115:107
    02.03.2025 Miami Heat - New York Knicks 112:116
    30.10.2024 Miami Heat - New York Knicks 107:116
    Latest results of New York Knicks
    Latest results of Miami Heat
    19.12.2025 Boston Celtics - Miami Heat 129:116
    18.12.2025 Brooklyn Nets - Miami Heat 95:106
    15.12.2025 Miami Heat - Toronto Raptors 96:106
    09.12.2025 Orlando Magic - Miami Heat 117:108
    06.12.2025 Miami Heat - Sacramento Kings 111:127
    NBA Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Oklahoma City Thunder ✔ 7055158294:75240.786
    2San Antonio Spurs6951188213:77090.739
    3Los Angeles Lakers6944258029:79310.638
    4Minnesota Timberwolves7043278318:80460.614
    5Houston Rockets6841277741:74780.603
    6Denver Nuggets7042288449:81540.600
    7Phoenix Suns6939307756:76840.565
    8Los Angeles Clippers6934357824:77860.493
    9Portland Trail Blazers7034368066:82090.486
    10Golden State Warriors6933367936:78990.478
    11Memphis Grizzlies6824447869:80660.353
    12New Orleans Pelicans7024468103:83690.343
    13Dallas Mavericks7023477928:82920.329
    14Utah Jazz6920498085:86400.290
    15Sacramento Kings7018527751:84510.257


    Eastern Conference
    PlWLPCT
    1Detroit Pistons6849197984:74710.721
    2Boston Celtics6946237894:73800.667
    3New York Knicks7045258199:77420.643
    4Cleveland Cavaliers6942278221:79270.609
    5Toronto Raptors6839297752:76050.574
    6Orlando Magic6838307855:77650.559
    7Miami Heat6938318294:80650.551
    8Atlanta Hawks6938318147:80460.551
    9Philadelphia 76ers6937327954:80120.536
    10Charlotte Hornets6935347991:77440.507
    11Milwaukee Bucks6828407565:79020.412
    12Chicago Bulls6928417996:83000.406
    13Brooklyn Nets6917527339:79810.246
    14Washington Wizards6816527669:84180.235
    15Indiana Pacers7015557791:84170.214

          Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ NBA (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Oklahoma City Thunder is Qualified for NBA (Play Offs 1/8~finals)