Tampa Bay Lightning vs Colorado Avalanche – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
4:2
06/01/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2834
Shots off target
2014
Shooting PCT
14.29% (4/28)5.88% (2/34)
Blocked shots
1915
Goalkeeper Saves
3224
Saves PCT
94.12% (32/34)88.89% (24/27)
Penalties
53
PIM
186
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
33.33% (1/3)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)66.67% (2/3)
Hits
2120
Faceoffs Won
1738
Faceoffs %
30.9169.09
Giveaways
1219
Takeaways
54
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 03:58, Raddysh D. (2 min),
  • 18:14, Burns B. (2 min),
  • 19:48, 1 - 0, Guentzel J. (G), Kucherov N. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 2)
  • 03:22, 1 - 1, Kelly P. (G), Bardakov Z. (A), Solovyov I. (A2)
  • 07:28, Bardakov Z. (2 min),
  • 09:31, 1 - 2, Nelson B. (G), Makar C. (A),
  • 17:22, 2 - 2, Girgensons Z. (G), Gourde Y. (A), Holmberg P. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 01:19, D'Astous C. (2 min),
  • 08:31, 3 - 2, Hagel B. (G), Crozier M. (A), Kucherov N. (A2)
  • 18:35, 4 - 2, Cirelli A. (G), Hagel B. (A), Raddysh D. (A2)
  • 20:00, D'Astous C. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tampa Bay Lightning
37.3%		Draw
22.3%		Colorado Avalanche
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 21.5% 44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6% 20.3% 46.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tampa Bay Lightning has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • Colorado Avalanche has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tampa Bay Lightning than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Avalanche than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Colorado Avalanche could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.54 ↓
    (2.74)    		 4.27 ↓
    (4.39)    		 2.36 ↑
    (2.15)    		 5.2%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tampa Bay will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Colorado will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tampa Bay: 21.7% – 78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tampa Bay (votes: 3 - 60%). Colorado (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 3.
    • Tampa Bay is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Colorado is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Tampa Bay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tampa Bay has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Tampa Bay: Hedman V. (Elbow Injury) Lilleberg E. (Injury) Sabourin S. (Head Injury)
    • There will not play in Colorado: Blackwood M. (Lower-Body Injury) Landeskog G. (Upper-Body Injury) O'Connor L. (Hip Injury) Toews D. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tampa Bay: McDonagh R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Colorado: Kiviranta J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tampa Bay won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 71:59. (average 3.6:3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tampa Bay won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:23. (average 4.4:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche were as follows:
    04.11.2025 Colorado Avalanche - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:2
    25.11.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche 8:2
    30.10.2024 Colorado Avalanche - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:5
    15.02.2024 Tampa Bay Lightning - Colorado Avalanche 6:3
    27.11.2023 Colorado Avalanche - Tampa Bay Lightning 4:1
    Latest results of Tampa Bay Lightning
    03.01.2026 San Jose Sharks - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:7 ✺
    01.01.2026 Los Angeles Kings - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:5 ✺
    31.12.2025 Anaheim Ducks - Tampa Bay Lightning 3:4 ✺
    28.12.2025 Tampa Bay Lightning - Montreal Canadiens 5:4 ✺
    27.12.2025 Florida Panthers - Tampa Bay Lightning 2:4 ✺
    Latest results of Colorado Avalanche
    04.01.2026 Florida Panthers - Colorado Avalanche 2:1 ✺
    03.01.2026 Carolina Hurricanes - Colorado Avalanche 3:5 ✺
    31.12.2025 Colorado Avalanche - St. Louis Blues 6:1 ✺
    29.12.2025 Colorado Avalanche - Los Angeles Kings 5:2 ✺
    27.12.2025 Vegas Golden Knights - Colorado Avalanche 5:6 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche684051013254:173100
    2Dallas Stars6833101015237:18596
    3Minnesota Wild7025141219231:20190
    4Anaheim Ducks692315427229:23780
    5Utah Mammoth70288628219:19578
    6Edmonton Oilers70268927243:23977
    7Vegas Golden Knights692381424220:21576
    8Los Angeles Kings6818101624183:20572
    9Seattle Kraken68256928194:20871
    10Nashville Predators68238928202:22971
    11San Jose Sharks672012629207:23970
    12Winnipeg Jets682351129192:21267
    13St. Louis Blues682431130178:22465
    14Chicago Blackhawks691971231181:22264
    15Calgary Flames69235734173:21463
    16Vancouver Canucks68147839178:25450


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes693113619245:20594
    2Buffalo Sabres69367620242:20092
    3Tampa Bay Lightning67339421243:18688
    4Montreal Canadiens6825121021237:22584
    5Pittsburgh Penguins682951618235:21084
    6Detroit Red Wings692711823203:20484
    7Boston Bruins692810823230:21584
    8Columbus Blue Jackets6825111121223:21283
    9New York Islanders692514525202:19583
    10Ottawa Senators68296924229:21179
    11Philadelphia Flyers6820131223198:21078
    12Washington Capitals70305827218:20578
    13New Jersey Devils692312232187:20972
    14Florida Panthers69277332206:22971
    15Toronto Maple Leafs702181328219:24571
    16New York Rangers69199833196:22164

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